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NATGAS Under Pressure! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the NATGAS next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 3.025 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 2.994 My Stop Loss - 3.058 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by AnabelSignals
2
Global Gas Shock Leaves Henry Hub Playing Catch-UpThe Iran war has triggered a sharp surge in global gas prices, particularly in Europe and Asia. However, Henry Hub has responded more modestly, reflecting its domestic focus. This note explores the divergence, key constraints limiting U.S. gas prices, and what the current setup implies for Henry Hub in the months ahead. GLOBAL SHOCK HITS HARD ABROAD WHILE U.S. GAS STAYS GROUNDED The Iran war, which began on 28/Feb, triggered a sharp repricing across global energy markets, with natural gas seeing one of the strongest reactions. Disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 20% of global LNG flows, significantly tightened global supply. Additionally, attacks on Qatar’s Ras Laffan Industrial City alone have taken out about 17% of LNG capacity, with repairs expected to take three to five years. As a result, global gas prices surged, particularly in Europe (TTF) and Asia (JKM), as markets priced in both immediate disruptions and longer-term supply losses. The sharp rise in TTF and JKM prices reflects both immediate supply disruptions and potential multi-year capacity losses. In contrast, Henry Hub has seen a much more muted response. Prices have moved higher, but only modestly. This divergence highlights a key structural feature of the gas market: Henry Hub remains largely driven by domestic fundamentals. The outperformance of the TTF can be attributed to several factors: Europe relies heavily on LNG imports and must compete for cargoes in a tight market. Storage levels are below average, leaving the region more exposed. The loss of Qatari supply has introduced concerns around longer-term scarcity. Henry Hub's upside is capped by strong U.S. supply, comfortable storage, and limited LNG export capacity. The chart below shows EU gas storage levels relative to the 5-year average, currently sitting near the lower end of the range. Source: Swiss Federal Office of Energy Overall, while Henry Hub has moved in the same direction, the magnitude has been far smaller, reinforcing that U.S. gas prices remain largely insulated from global dislocations. DOMESTIC CONSTRAINTS: WHY HENRY HUB CANNOT FULLY REPRICE Despite tightening global LNG markets, Henry Hub’s upside remains limited by domestic fundamentals. U.S. supply remains strong, and inventories are still at comfortable levels. At the same time, LNG export capacity is already running at full capacity, leaving little room to increase volumes, even as global prices surge. Source: EIA Natural Gas Storage Data While a larger-than-expected withdrawal of 132 Bcf (week ending 27/Feb) reflected strong winter demand, overall storage levels have not come under significant stress since the war began. Source: EIA and Investing.com On the supply side, U.S. production remains robust. Output has averaged around 109.6 Bcf/d in March, while 2025 production hit a record 118.5 Bcf/d. Production is expected to grow further in 2026, reinforcing the strength of domestic supply. According to LSEG data, U.S. LNG exports are currently running at approximately 19 Bcf/d, with export terminals operating near full capacity and little spare capacity available. This creates a key constraint; despite strong global demand, the U.S. cannot significantly increase exports in the short term. As a result, even though global arbitrage opportunities have widened sharply, at times exceeding 200%, Henry Hub has not seen a comparable price surge. Looking ahead, supply growth may also face delays. At CERAWeek, the CEO of Freeport LNG noted that geopolitical disruptions could slow new project timelines due to constraints in materials, labour, and supply chains. KEY DRIVERS IN THE MONTHS AHEAD Looking ahead, Henry Hub is likely to remain supported but not fully re-rated in line with global benchmarks. On the bullish side, persistent global LNG supply disruptions, particularly from Qatar, are expected to sustain strong demand for U.S. exports, providing a structural floor to prices However, prices will be anchored to U.S.-centric factors such as: Export capacity constrained at 19 Bcf/d. Strong domestic production. Weather-driven demand. Weather forecasts will play a key role in Henry Hub’s price action in the coming months. As winter draws to a close in March, prices often soften amid lower heating demand and rising storage injections, before finding support again in the summer (June -August) due to air-conditioning load. OPTIONS MARKET SIGNALS LIMITED DOWNSIDE WITH UPSIDE TAIL RISK Options positioning in Henry Hub shows a bullish setup, with a put-call ratio of 0.67. Source: CME QuikStrike However, the structure of positioning is more telling. There is meaningful open interest in far out-of-the-money calls (above USD 4), indicating the market is pricing upside tail risk, a scenario where prices could spike if supply disruptions worsen. At the same time, put positioning is concentrated close to current levels, suggesting that the market sees limited downside from here. Source: CME QuikStrike In short, the options market is not aggressively bullish, but it is clearly skewed toward asymmetric upside risk, with downside seen as relatively contained. HISTORICAL EXAMPLE The Russia-Ukraine War created a similar backdrop, where disruptions to global gas flows had an immediate and outsized impact on European prices. TTF prices surged sharply following the outbreak of the war, reflecting Europe’s heavy dependence on Russian gas. While prices initially spiked, they briefly pulled back before rallying again as supply concerns deepened and the market repriced longer-term scarcity. Henry Hub, on the other hand, reacted differently. The initial move was relatively muted, but prices gradually trended higher in the following weeks and months. This was driven by stronger LNG exports, tighter domestic balances, and increasing global demand for U.S. LNG. Long CME Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures (NGK2022) Entry: USD 5.50/MMBtu Exit: USD 7.20/MMBtu PnL: 10,000 × (7.20 – 5.50) = USD 17,000 Market participants can also utilise CME Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures to implement a similar position. However, the micro contract was only introduced later (launched on 06 November 2023) and was not available during the 2022 period. Long CME Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures (Illustrative Equivalent) Entry: USD 5.50/MMBtu Exit: USD 7.20/MMBtu PnL: 1,000 × (7.20 – 5.50) = USD 1,700 While the drivers behind the 2022 rally may not fully apply today, the broader dynamic remains similar. Henry Hub may not react sharply to global shocks, but it tends to grind higher over time when LNG demand strengthens and global balances tighten. This content is sponsored. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading setups and more effectively express market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs at tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by mintdotfinance
NATURAL GAS Approaching Major Trendline Resistance – 4H Natural Gas has rallied from the demand zone and is now testing the descending 4H trendline. Price is also reclaiming short-term EMAs, indicating improving momentum. However, this is a critical decision area. Resistance Zone: 290–295 Retest Zone: 282–284 Demand Base: 270–272 Breakout - A sustained move above 295 can trigger expansion toward 320–342 zone. Rejection - Failure near trendline may lead to retest of 282 and possibly 270 demand. Structure is compressing. Volatility expansion likely soon. Confirmation is key. No breakout, no trade. Only for education purpose.
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Long
by Shalvisharma5
Natural Gas to Rise to a Minimum of $6 with Yields and SoftsNatural Gas is looking to rise to a minimum of $6/MMbtu as yields rise with grains and other softs and as it bullishly diverges at a historic Support/Resistance level. A rise to $6 would serve to fill some unfilled gaps above us and would be near the 0.618. There is a chance that natural gas could then rise even higher towards the 0.886 at $9 if that previous high is broken. I think that as natural gas rises we will see the price of oil and natural gas trading red and green days against each other until oil eventually fills it's own gap at $66 and they both start rising again with Bond Yields, CPI, and the M2 Money Supply.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by RizeSenpai
Natural Gas – Short-Term Market OutlookThis is the 15-minute timeframe chart of Natural Gas. Natural Gas is currently trading near an important support zone of 284–286. If this level holds, we can expect a short-term bounce towards the 305–312 levels. The breakout level is 297—once the price sustains above this level, the market is likely to move towards the mentioned targets. However, if the price breaks below the support zone, it may lead to further downside pressure in the market. It is advised to wait for confirmation before taking any position and trade with proper risk management.
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Long
by FiveCircles
Natural Gas Stock Forecast | Oil | Dollar | Silver | GoldIn this weekly commodities forecast, we break down the technical analysis for Natural Gas, Crude Oil, the US Dollar (DXY), Gold, and Silver. I cover the key support and resistance levels you need to watch for profitable trades this week. 0:00 Intro 0:29 Natural Gas NYMEX:NG1! 4:15 Oil NYMEX:CL1! 5:33 US Dollar 7:14 Gold COMEX:GC1! 9:47 Silver COMEX:SI1! 11:33 Outro 📉 Assets Covered in This Video: Natural Gas (NG): Detailed price prediction and trend analysis. Crude Oil (CL): Bullish and bearish scenarios for oil traders. Precious Metals: Gold (XAUUSD) and Silver (XAGUSD) technical breakdown. US Dollar Index (DXY): How the dollar's strength is impacting commodity prices.
NYMEX:NG2!Long
by ArcadiaTrading
3
26.03.31 natural gas analysisHello, this is Bootopia, building a utopia of wealth based on clear standards, not intuition. Here is the technical analysis for Natural Gas as of March 31st. 1. Daily Outlook: Downward Momentum Easing and Potential Long-term Consolidation Natural Gas has experienced a sharp decline of approximately 65% since its peak in January 2026. The market is currently positioned at a significant psychological and technical turning point. Major Support & Price Action: The price is hovering near the 2.775 level, which previously acted as support in late February 2026. If support holds here, we expect price action to fluctuate within the liquidity zone between 3.494 and 3.736. Downside Risk: A failure to hold 2.775 will likely trigger a further slide toward the 2.622 and 2.21 levels for subsequent support tests. Trend Reversal Conditions: A definitive shift to a bullish trend requires a breakout above 3.736 (Red Box), which aligns with the Fibonacci 0.236 retracement level. If the price struggles to reach this level, Natural Gas may enter a prolonged consolidation phase, similar to the historical orange box section on the left. 2. 2-Hour Chart: Short-term Rebound Signals and 'Double Bottom' Formation In the short-term timeframe, the breakout above the 3.063 level remains the primary focus. Technical Patterns: A bounce is currently emerging from the 2.775 major support. If momentum is sustained from this area, it will confirm a 'Double Bottom' pattern, signaling a potential floor for the current decline. Short-term Entry Point: A simultaneous breakout above 3.063 and the descending resistance trendline (active since March 9th) would provide a high-probability signal for a tactical rebound. Cautionary Note: While a move above 3.494 strengthens the bullish case, market participants should not interpret this as a complete trend reversal until the 3.736 threshold is decisively cleared. Conclusion Natural Gas is currently testing the resilience of the 2.775 support level following an oversold period and stands at a crossroads for a technical recovery. Essential Benchmarks: Monitor 3.063 (short-term) and 3.736 (medium-term) for upside breakouts, while keeping a close watch on the 2.775 level for downside support. Execution Strategy: For aggressive traders, the simultaneous breach of 3.063 and the resistance trendline serves as the first primary entry signal. Final Guidance: While the market is in the process of bottoming out, heavy overhead resistance suggests that a full trend reversal may take time. Maintaining a range-bound trading strategy is advised until 3.736 is breached. Trade with discipline and good luck.
NYMEX:NG1!
by JELLO_X
Gold Stock Forecast | Oil | Dollar | Silver | Natural Gas0:00 Intro – Commodities Overview (Natural Gas, Oil, Dollar, Gold, Silver) 0:28 NG2 NYMEX:NG1! – Natural Gas Analysis (Range, Trendline Break, Key Support Levels) 2:50 Oil NYMEX:CL1! – Crude Oil Analysis (Geopolitical Impact, Resistance, Breakout/Flush Levels) 4:33 DXY – US Dollar Analysis (Uptrend, $100 Resistance, Breakout Setup) 7:17 Gold COMEX:GC1! – Technical Analysis (Range Breakdown, Structure Support, Trend Outlook) 9:35 Silver COMEX:SI1! – Technical Analysis (Following Gold, Downtrend, Potential Reversal) 11:36 Outro – Weekly Recap & Key Levels
NYMEX:NG2!Long
by ArcadiaTrading
TTF - EU Natural gas; Heikin Ashi Trade Idea📈 Hey Traders! Here’s a fresh outlook from my trading desk. If you’ve been following me for a while, you already know my approach: 🧩 I trade Supply & Demand zones using Heikin Ashi chart on the 4H timeframe. 🧠 I keep it mechanical and clean — no messy charts, no guessing games. ❌ No trendlines, no fixed sessions, no patterns, no indicator overload. ❌ No overanalyzing the market ❌ No scalping, and no need to be glued to the screen. ✅ I trade exclusively with limit orders, so it’s more of a set-and-forget style. ✅ This means more freedom, less screen time, and a focus on quality setups. ✅ Just a simplified, structured plan and a calm mindset. 💬 Let’s Talk: 💡Do you trade supply & demand too ? 💡What’s your go-to timeframe ? 💡Ever tried Heikin Ashi ? 📩 Got questions about my strategy or setup? Drop them below — ask me anything, I’m here to share. Let’s grow together and keep it simple. 👊
ICEENDEX:TFM1!Short
by Matej_trader
2
NATGAS Expected Growth! BUY! My dear subscribers, NATGAS looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 3.133 pivot level. Bias - Bullish My Stop Loss - 3.103 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 3.194 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by AnabelSignals
1
Small NG Buy Possibility **NG1! (Natural Gas Futures) is currently trading at 3.520, pressing into a key daily resistance zone after a clean liquidity sweep below the 3.209 equilibrium low on March 12, with price now showing a textbook ICT-style reversal — a displacement leg up through the blue demand block (3.250–3.310 area), a brief consolidation forming a Fair Value Gap, and a projected continuation toward the pink Institutional mean sitting at 3.369, which represents the primary draw on liquidity.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by YenDaqGas
Natural Gas: Bullish fake-out at the VAL? Natural Gas is putting in a really interesting setup here. We've just dipped below the Value Area Low (VAL) of the current volume profile, which usually looks like a breakdown, but I'm thinking it's a massive fake-out. If you look at the momentum, we've got a clear hidden bullish divergence printing. Price is making a higher low while the oscillator is making a much deeper low. This is a classic trend continuation signal. We've got that Naked POC (NPOC) sitting just below around 2.92. It wouldn't surprise me if we sweep that level just to clear out the last of the liquidity before the real move starts. If we can reclaim that VAL quickly, it's a "look below and fail" setup that's going to trap a lot of late shorts. The trend is still up, and this looks like the perfect spot for a reversal to catch everyone off guard. Lets see..
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by Turttle_Trader
2
NATGAS My Opinion! SELL! My dear subscribers, NATGAS looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 3.182 pivot level. Bias - Bearish My Stop Loss - 3.236 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable NATGAS continuation. Target - 3.099 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by AnabelSignals
2
Natural Gas MCX Future - Intraday Technical Analysis - 9 Mar. 26Natural Gas — Intraday Structure Outlook (1-hr | MCX) Next Sharing is Only After 10 Boosts, or Next Monday! (If these levels support your preparation or execution, a quick boost or comment helps maintain structured updates.) Natural Gas is trading around 294.5, sitting just below the Zero Line – 295.60. Price has shown a strong vertical expansion from the 270 zone and is currently testing immediate overhead resistance. Acceptance above the Zero Line is necessary for the next phase of expansion. Bullish Structure Longs activate above 288.40 sustained acceptance. Targets: 312.10 – first upside objective 322.30 – extended expansion zone Control: Intraday bullish structure weakens below 285.25 (Add Long Pos. level) Sustained trade below 279.50 (Long Exit) cancels aggressive longs Bearish Structure Shorts activate below 282.10, especially if price fails to reclaim the 295.60 Zero Line decisively. Targets: 279.10 – first downside objective 268.90 – extended breakdown zone Control: Immediate short covering required above 291.00 (Short Exit) Bias remains positive above the 271.90 (Long Till Safe) zone Neutral Zone 285.25 – 288.40 is the decision band. Inside this range, price is rotational and liquidity-driven. Wait for acceptance, not spikes. Structure first. Confirmation next. Execution last. No anticipation. No emotional bias. Let price confirm intent.
MCX:NATURALGAS1!
by ChartPathik