Copper Futures
No trades
In-depth trading ideas
waiting for directionwaiting to see if price reaches FVG and how it reacts, believe we retest soon. if not will wait to see how one of the upper bearish FVG effect price when it reaches those areas.
Possible Playpossible play leading into next week?
heavy bearish sentiment all last week, but price is coming into some heavy bullish FVG's.
will play it either way depending on price action.
Taking my shot at a pullback.Large bearish FVG in current price range with a moderate bullish below, looking for a pullback to 5.44 before a further push up.
Fingers crossed.
Short
Copper: Between Structural Demand and Geopolitical Tension Copper: Between Structural Demand and Geopolitical Tension from Iran
Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
The copper market shows a mixed scenario, where strong global demand combines with the pressure of geopolitical uncertainty. Structural demand remains solid, driven by the energy transition, electrification, electric vehicles, and construction. In the long term, growth of over 40% is projected by 2040, consolidating copper as a critical metal for the green and digital economy.
China, the world’s largest consumer, shows mixed signals. Concentrate imports show slight increases, while refined copper imports have fallen 16.1% in the first months of 2026, reflecting resistance to high prices and precautionary buying. Despite relatively high inventories in LME and Shanghai, a structural deficit in refined supply persists, generating short-term volatility.
Geopolitically, the escalation of the conflict with Iran adds pressure to the market. Although production is not directly affected, possible logistical interruptions and shortages of inputs, such as sulfuric acid, could impact supply, temporarily pressuring prices. Analysts indicate that prolonged tension could push prices back toward USD 12,000 per ton, while a de-escalation could drive levels to USD 13,500‑14,000.
Copper Futures Analysis (Ticker AT: Copper May 2026)
Technically, copper reached a recent high of USD 658.15 on January 29 and a low of USD 554.50 on February 2, with an average of USD 588, coinciding with the point of control area. Throughout the quarter, the price has formed a consolidation range, with a low this week at USD 653.80, showing that buyers are defending key levels. The current consolidation reflects a balance between buyers and sellers, while technical supports and resistances mark the path for the coming weeks.
The 50-day moving average was surpassed this European morning, still supporting the price above the 100-day moving average. If the price holds above 581, we could see a new upward impulse toward USD 620; if this level does not hold, the support zones at 563.80 and 554.50 USD will be the next levels to test. Currently, the RSI indicator is in neutral territory, and the MACD has entered negative territory, indicating a lack of upward momentum.
In conclusion, copper maintains a structural bullish bias due to long-term demand, although geopolitical volatility and price consolidation suggest caution in the short term.
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Copper MCX Future - Intraday Technical Analysis - 6 Mar., 26MCX:COPPER1!
Copper Futures — Intraday Structure Outlook (4-hr | MCX)
(If these levels support your preparation or execution, a quick boost or comment helps maintain structured updates.)
Copper is trading around 1,194.60, sitting exactly near the Zero Line – 1,194.85. Price is compressing inside equilibrium after rejection from the 1,215 zone. Expansion will come only after acceptance beyond this compression.
Bullish Structure
Longs activate above 1,202.56 sustained acceptance.
Targets:
1,206.16 – first upside objective
1,213.15 – extended expansion zone
Control:
Intraday bullish structure weakens below 1,200.40 (Add Long Pos. level)
Sustained trade below 1,196.46 (Long Exit) cancels aggressive longs
Bearish Structure
Shorts activate below 1,198.24, especially if price loses the 1,194.85 support decisively.
Targets:
1,183.54 – first downside objective
1,176.55 – extended breakdown zone
Control:
Immediate short covering required above 1,204.34 (Short Exit)
Bias shifts only if price re-accepts above 1,209.55 (Sell Till Safe level)
Neutral Zone
1,198.24 – 1,202.56 is the decision band.
Inside this range, price is rotational and liquidity-driven. Wait for acceptance, not spikes.
Structure first. Confirmation next. Execution last.
No anticipation. No emotional bias. Let price confirm intent.
COPPER LONG 4 R/R Im 4/5 on posted trade set ups so far with one trade still outstanding lets get the 5th win here with copper 4:1 R/R hype in the chat look at those higher lows and upsloping moving averages with successful backtests sniper entry
Long
Copper MCX Future - Intraday Technical Chart Analysis - 4 Mar.MCX:COPPER1!
Copper — Intraday Structure Outlook (1-hr | MCX)
(If these levels support your preparation or execution, a quick boost or comment helps maintain structured updates.)
Copper is trading around 1,205.00, sitting exactly near the Zero Line – 1,202.70. Price is compressing inside equilibrium after rejection from the 1,230 zone. Expansion will come only after acceptance beyond this compression.
Bullish Structure
Longs activate above 1,204.85 sustained acceptance.
Targets:
1,226.40 – first upside objective
1,241.05 – extended expansion zone
Control:
Intraday bullish structure weakens below 1,200.33
Sustained trade below 1,192.07 cancels aggressive longs
Bearish Structure
Shorts activate below 1,195.80, especially if price loses 1,202.70 support decisively.
Targets:
1,179.00 – first downside objective
1,164.35 – extended breakdown zone
Control:
Immediate short covering required above 1,208.58
Bias shifts only if price re-accepts above 1,219.50
Neutral Zone
1,200.33 – 1,204.85 is the decision band.
Structure first. Confirmation next. Execution last.
No anticipation. No emotional bias. Let price confirm intent.
Copper MCX Future - Intraday Technical Analysis - 2 Mar., 26MCX:COPPER1!
Copper — Intraday Structure Outlook (15-min | MCX)
(If these levels help your preparation or execution, a quick boost or comment supports consistent, structured market analysis.)
Copper is trading around 1,221.10, holding just below the zero line (1,222.35) after a strong vertical expansion from 1,210 zone. Structure is bullish, but price is currently compressing near resistance. Acceptance above equilibrium is required for continuation.
Bullish Structure
Longs activate above 1,222.35, with sustained holding above the zero line.
Targets:
1,233.91 – first upside objective
1,241.05 – extended expansion target
Control:
Bullish structure weakens below 1,216.44
Sustained trade below 1,209.30 cancels aggressive longs
Bearish Structure
Shorts activate below 1,216.44, especially if price loses 1,220.86 support decisively.
Targets:
1,210.79 – first downside objective
1,203.65 – extended breakdown zone
Control:
Immediate short covers required above 1,222.70
Bias shifts only if price re-accepts above 1,222.35
Neutral Zone
1,220.86 – 1,222.35 is the active decision band.
Inside this range, price is rotational — wait for acceptance, not impulse candles.
This framework is built around structure, patience, and disciplined risk control.
No anticipation. No emotional bias. Let price confirm intent.
If this setup improves your execution clarity, boost or comment to keep structured analysis consistent.
HG1! Copper: 2026 Structural Analysis1. Market Structure & Character Shifts
The chart indicates a transition from a distribution phase to an accumulation phase.
Change of Character (CHoCH): The most critical observation is the internal shift around the 13th–17th. After a series of Lower Highs (LH), the price failed to create a lower low, instead establishing a Higher Low (HL). This is a technical "break in soul" for the bears, suggesting the previous downward momentum is being absorbed by buy-side liquidity.
Compression: We are seeing a narrowing range. When price "squeezes" between established highs and lows, it typically precedes a high-velocity expansion. The current consolidation at 5.7850 represents an equilibrium point where the market is waiting for a fresh fundamental catalyst.
2. Liquidity and Order Flow
The red projection line on your chart identifies a high-probability Liquidity Sweep scenario.
The "Stop Run": Markets often move toward where the most "pain" is for retail traders. There is likely a cluster of "Sell Stops" sitting just below the 5.6250 HL.
The Thesis: The projected path suggests a brief dip into the 5.5000 area to "wash out" weak long positions and grab the necessary liquidity to fuel a move back toward the 6.1250 supply zone.
Order Flow: The green-shaded area is acting as a Mitigation Block. Price is returning to this level to "clear" old orders before the next trend leg begins.
3. Volatility and Target Mapping
The report identifies a clear imbalance between the current price and the overhead supply.
Upper Convergence: The red-shaded box (6.3750+) represents a significant "sell-off" origin point. Until the price reaches that zone, the path of least resistance—following a successful liquidity sweep—is upward.
Mean Reversion: The grey zone near 6.0000 acts as the "Fair Value" for this current range. We expect the price to gravitate back to this median before a final decision is made on whether to challenge the 6.5000 highs.
Summary of the Outlook
The chart shows a market that is exhausting its bearish trend. The presence of the HL (Higher Low) and the CHoCH suggests that the "smart money" is no longer interested in selling at these sub-5.8000 prices. The primary risk to this report is a daily candle close below 5.5000, which would invalidate the reversal thesis and signal a deeper structural breakdown.
Long
Copper MCX Future - Intraday Technical Analysis - 25 Feb., 26MCX:COPPER1!
Copper Futures — Intraday Structure Outlook (15-min | MCX)
(If these levels help your preparation or execution, a quick boost or comment supports consistent, structured market analysis.)
Copper is trading around 1,200, stabilizing after a sharp dip and reclaiming the 1,199–1,200 equilibrium (zero line). Price has shifted back into balance, indicating a pause after volatility. Directional clarity will come only on acceptance away from this zone — avoid forcing trades inside value.
Bullish Structure
Longs activate above 1,202.05, provided price sustains above this level with higher-low confirmation.
Targets:
1,214.20 – first resistance and partial booking zone
1,224.25 – extended upside target if momentum expands
Control:
Intraday control below 1,199.08
Aggressive longs must exit on sustained trade below 1,193.65
Bearish Structure
Shorts activate below 1,196.10, especially if price fails to hold above the zero line on pullbacks.
Targets:
1,183.55 – first downside objective
1,173.95 – extended breakdown target if selling pressure accelerates
Control:
Immediate short covers required above 1,204.50
Avoid holding shorts if price re-accepts above the equilibrium band
Neutral Zone
1,199.10 – 1,202.05 is today’s decision band.
Inside this range, price is rotational — wait for acceptance, not impulse candles.
This setup is built around structure, patience, and disciplined risk control.
No anticipation, no emotional bias — let price confirm intent.
If this framework improves your intraday clarity, a boost or comment keeps disciplined analysis flowing.
New Geopolitical threats ... indicates Copper at range lows !!!The Copper is testing the lower end of its range 5.8 and trying to see some support for a bounce back. This struggle for this consolidation is seen especially at the times where Iran and US declare war anytime soon and this is likely to create panic to the existing supply chain.
With this sort of a sentiment in place there is quite a natural tendency to stay in tandem with gold and silver prices which are also gearing up for some sort of a major up move. The dollar which used to have some sort of support from 96 to 97 in the last few weeks is struggling to hold on the gains and likely to give us some gains in near term.
The daily stochastics is trending in the oversold condition and shows momentum character is still range bound market. Though you may see weakness to 5.6 or 5.4 in the near term, this could be a momentary and the bias could be an attempt back into the levels above 6. looking at the moving average support also at the 100 day SMA support which is seen at 5.5 also shows that the downside is not that great enough or mostly a short term event.
So, what will happen to the broader copper rally when there is some improvement in the LMER stocks certified stocks, is that the elevated geopolitical concerns can cause copper prices to stay supported even making a new high possible in intermediate term.
Copper HG- Potential Long SetupDespite all the talk about copper demand lately – especially from data centers and the whole AI build‑out – price has basically been stuck in a range since December. That’s not necessarily bad; it actually shows some relative strength versus the other metals, with silver still about 36% below its all‑time high and gold roughly 11% off, while copper has been holding up much better. At the same time, gold and silver charts are also starting to show potential long setups, and with all the headlines about possible US‑Iran action in the coming days, there’s a good chance investors look to hedge more with metals, which could indirectly support copper as well.
We do have important economic data coming out tomorrow, so that’s something to be careful with. The long idea in copper is pretty simple: I’m looking to buy near the bottom of the range, aiming for the top of the range, but I’ll be paying close attention to price action around the middle of the range.
On the 4H timeframe there’s a clear inverse head and shoulders forming, which, if it confirms, would add conviction to the long setup. Trigger is more a matter of personal/system preference: either wait for a small pullback and enter on a lower timeframe, or, for pattern traders, enter on the break of the neckline. Invalidation is also straightforward: either the lows of Tuesday, or for those who prefer a wider stop, the lows of last Thursday.
Let’s see if the setup actually triggers. All the best and have a good trading session.
Long
Copper is Next - After Gold & SilverLast week, we came across news: China calls for more copper stockpiling.
Therefore, is Copper Next to Rally After Silver and Gold?
Why Is China Stockpiling Copper?
In the video I posted last week, I explained that the Gold/Copper ratio may face resistance at the upper band of its long-term parallel channel. We should start monitoring it closely. If the ratio begins to react or move lower, it could indicate that copper’s rate of change on the upside may exceed that of gold.
I conducted a very similar analysis on the Gold/Silver ratio in mid-2025. Subsequently, we saw that silver’s percentage gains exceeded those of gold.
Video version:
Micro Copper
Ticker: MHG
Minimum fluctuation:
0.0005 per pound = $1.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
Long
Copper – Targets for the Year: 15,760 > 16,600 – 16,800 > 14,800Good day, friends. Today we will try to analyze the current situation in the copper market for this year and identify key targets for the year. Let's start with the news that had the biggest impact:
🔴 Codelco — El Teniente: Tunnel Collapse (July 2025) A tragedy at the world's largest underground copper mine, caused by seismic activity triggered by mining operations. Current Situation:
Partial resumption — 8 underground sectors deemed safe are operational, running at ~75% capacity
Production Losses in 2025: 48,000 tonnes of copper
❌ Exact recovery date not announced. Forecast — no earlier than late 2026.
Codelco — A Chilean state-owned company and the world's largest copper producer. Operates legendary deposits: • El Teniente — the world's largest underground copper mine • Chuquicamata — one of the largest open-pit mines • Radomiro Tomic — high-grade ore Codelco faces challenges: aging assets, declining copper ore grades, and the need for large-scale investments in modernization.
🔴 Freeport-McMoRan — Grasberg: Landslide and Force Majeure (September 2025) A serious incident at one of the world's largest copper mines Force majeure declared on deliveries
Recovery Plan: • Big Gossan and Deep MLZ mines (unaffected) restarted in Q4 2025 • Main mine Grasberg Block Cave — phased restart from Q2 2026 Phase 1 - Q2 2026 - Beginning of phased restart of Grasberg Block Cave Phase 2 - H2 2026 - Reaching 85% capacity Full Recovery - 2027 - 100% capacity
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) An American company with the world's most profitable copper mine — Grasberg in Indonesia. Key facts:
• Grasberg is also one of the largest gold deposits (gold bulls send their regards) • Largest copper producer in the USA (Morenci mine in Arizona) • Actively developing underground mining at Grasberg
🔴 DR Congo — Copper Mine Collapse (November 2025) This is not a major corporate mine, but the incident highlights the risks of mining in the region. • African Copper Belt — DR Congo and Zambia are attracting major investments
✅ Kamoa-Kakula — Smelter Launch (November 2025) This is the biggest event in the industry. Estimated Smelter Capacity - 500,000 tonnes/year (direct-to-blister) Product - Copper anodes (first melt completed) Production in 2025: 388,838 tonnes of copper in concentrate Forecast for 2026: Sales 20,000 tonnes above production (inventory realization)
p.s. There is no incentive to sell inventory now; better to wait for price growth and sell in Q2 2026 for higher margins.
Ivanhoe Mines and Zijin Mining launched their own 500,000 tonnes/year smelter directly on-site in DR Congo. This allows production of high-purity copper anodes instead of exporting concentrates, significantly increasing margins.
🟡 Escondida and Zaldivar — Strike (January 2026) The world's largest copper mine is experiencing disruptions. Protesters are blocking access roads to the mines. Blockades affect access to Escondida (BHP) and Zaldivar in the La Negra industrial sector, Chile.
📈 Factors Supporting DEMAND
China — Massive investments in renewable energy Target by 2035 - 3,600 GW of solar and wind capacity (new commitment) State Grid Investments - 89 billion USD planned for 2025 — a record level Each GW of solar capacity requires ~2,500-5,000 tonnes of copper . Grid expansion and energy storage require even more. This creates sustainable long-term demand.
USA — Tariff Policy (Section 232) November 1, 2025 - 25% tariff imposed on imports of medium and heavy trucks and parts November 14, 2025 - Framework agreement announced with Switzerland and Liechtenstein (rate reduction) November-December 2025
Impact on copper Tariff uncertainty stimulated frontloading by American importers, temporarily boosting demand.
Electric Vehicles — Continued Growth In 2025, over 18.5 million electric vehicles were sold globally, accounting for ~25% of new sales. Each EV contains 80-100 kg of copper (4 times more than ICE vehicles).
Summary November 2025 became a turning point for the copper market: The combination of factors — China's massive investments in renewable energy, US tariff policy, and multiple disruptions at the world's largest mines — created a powerful bullish impulse that supported prices above 13,000 USD/tonne. Particularly significant is that the three largest producers (El Teniente, Grasberg, Escondida) simultaneously faced problems, which is a rare coincidence that amplified the supply deficit.
Now for the technical analysis. In this forecast, we use Fibonacci extension zones for price and time, projecting onto the industry information and expected events we've gathered. The overall trend is bullish. I assume that the current uncertainty with strikes will last up to 2 months, and we will observe sideways movement for some time while buyers accumulate positions and replenish inventories for subsequent resale, amid growing demand and increasing deficit due to accidents at major facilities.
Next — growing demand (including the new Kamoa-Kakula smelter) will push the price toward 15,760 – 15,800 (which we should reach by May).
Then — relative price stabilization in the range of 15,780 – 16,600 Likely price breakout ~ 16,800
After which , amid news of the restart of Grasberg Block Cave and other damaged mines, as well as news of increased copper production in DR Congo , buyers will take profits , leading to a phased price correction .
As copper production in DR Congo continues to grow:
2025 - ~3,210 thousand tonnes | +0.3%
2026 (forecast) - ~3,404 thousand tonnes | +6%
First correction target: ~ 14,800
Second target: ~ 13 200
What do you think?
With Respect to Everyone, Your #SinnSeed
Long
CopperHS and inverse continuation after heads slap down.
Multiple ways to play this. But fiver for copper is on cards
GL!
Short
Short
Copper (HG1) Market Watch Simple & Clear!Copper’s looking strong right now 💪 and it might be setting up for a big move.
Here’s the key level I’m watching:
📈 If copper breaks and closes above 5.41, that could open the door for a run all the way up to 7.13.
That’s a big potential move but only if we hold strong above that breakout level.
💡 Right now, it’s all about confirmation ; a clean close above 5.41 could shift the trend in a big way.
Want to see the chart setup I’m using and how I’m planning around that 5.41 breakout?
💬 DM me “COPPER” and I’ll send you the exact breakdown directly. 🚀
Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
Long
Copper consolidation with a bearish Bias ....The copper prices are in a strong consolidation after a massive rally to 6.58 end jan’26 after which there was a sharp sell off and the prices mostly consolidated with most of the sell offs having bought back.
This sort of a price action is likely to form into a diamond pattern which is a broad consolidation pattern with volumes often seem low. Well the momentum of a broader uptrend may still stay intact but the problem with the trend today is about prolonged consolidation with plenty of geopolitical situations trying to causing sell offs.
Through the medium uptrend is still positive the chances of copper prices making a move downward towards 5.4 is much higher before the upfront picks up
This isn't the first time that we are seeing a sharp spike into a new swing high this sort of behavior was seen since 2024 where the prices made a new swing high and almost retraced back to close to 80%. The Copper prices today even though dictated by shortages the uptrend seems to have factored plenty of the supply issues but the main issue is buying interest at these levels . So the possibilities of weakening are much higher before an uptrend.
Short
Copper STILL not in a bull era.Copper STILL not in a bull era.
For those that don't know, bull market is when you go up priced in fiat. Bull era is when you also go up vs the stock market.
Copper bull flag Copper bull flag reminds me of the gold bull flag when it was around 220$ (GLD). Unfortunately this thing looks like it wants to rip, weird market we are in.
Long
Copper: Following Gold and SilverAs the weekly chart indicates, we foresee a pronounced sell-off as part of the green wave , but not before finishing its current run to conclude the magenta wave (Y) and therefore the overreaching green wave around the $7.00 mark.
The then following and before mentioned wave should bring copper down into our green long target zone between $4.56 and $4.06.
Copper - Next for the parabolic?Price kicked off in 2002,
ever since then it's been a parabolic rise on both the upside and the downside.
Given that the world needs copper for datacentres and power, and datacentres are currently sucking most of the inventory for DDR5 and hard drives, both have gone 300% and 200% respectively in Jan 2026 in last 6 months.
this is a train that can't stop any time soon.
sell your gold, buy copper ftw!
jk, never sell your gold
Long