Nike, Inc.
Short

Nike to fall 73% if Head and Shoulders plays out

548
Bearish about to drop through the floor,

* **Weak demand in China** – One of Nike’s largest markets is slowing, with lower consumer spending and stronger local competitors hurting sales.
* **Profit margins under pressure** – Higher costs (tariffs, promotions, supply chain) are squeezing margins even when revenue grows.
* **Tariff impact and rising costs** – Nike expects tariffs to cost roughly **$1B**, forcing cost cuts and potential price increases.
* **Restructuring and layoffs** – Around **$300M in restructuring charges** tied to layoffs signals operational challenges in the short term.
* **Slowing direct-to-consumer / digital sales** – Nike’s push into direct sales hasn’t grown as expected, leading to a shift back toward wholesale partners.
* **Longer-term downtrend in the stock** – The share price has been below its 2021 highs for years, so rallies tend to get sold as investors wait for clear turnaround signals.

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