XAG/USD - Breakout Watch โ Silver Ready for a Bullish Expansion?๐ Description & Setu p FX:XAGUSD
XAGUSD is currently consolidating within a strong support zone after breaking out of a major descending trendline on the 1h chart. If we see a decisive bounce and sustained momentum from this base, it opens the door for a high-probability play toward our upper resistance targets.
๐งญ Daily Bias: Bullish ๐ข
๐ฏ Trade Intent: Looking for BUY setups ๐
๐ ๏ธ Technical Confluences:
โข Price reacting from strong demand zone (60.80 โ 63.10)
โข Multiple rejections from descending trendline resistance (weakening sellers)
โข Consolidation structure indicating accumulation before expansion ๐๐ฏ๏ธ
๐ Macro & Fundamental Catalyst:
Precious metals are supported by safe-haven demand and shifting rate expectations. Any signs of USD weakness or dovish central bank tone could accelerate upside in silver. ๐ฆโ๏ธ
๐ข Targets / Resistance:
R1: 77.124 (1st Resistance)
R2: 81.223 - 81.252 (2nd Resistance)
๐ด Invalidation / Support:
S1: 65.894 (Bottom of immediate accumulation zone)
S2: 63.123 - 60.842 (Major Lower Support Zone)
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#XAGUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingSetup #Silver #PreciousMetals
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Silver
XAUUSD Breakout Loading! Explosive Move Incoming?๐จ Market Situation TVC:GOLD
Gold is currently trading inside a tight compression (triangle structure), with price approaching a key descending resistance trendline.
After multiple higher lows, buyers are slowly building pressure โ a classic sign of a potential breakout setup.
๐ก Compression = Expansion coming soon
๐ฏ Key Levels (Must Watch)
๐ด Resistance Levels:
โ 4726 (First resistance)
โ 4805 (Second resistance / major target)
๐ข Support Zone:
โ 4387 (Key structural support)
๐ Trade Idea
๐ Break above trendline โ Expect bullish expansion toward 4726 & 4805
๐ Rejection from resistance โ Possible short-term pullback
โณ Wait for breakout confirmation โ avoid false moves
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer
This is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #ForexTrading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #BreakoutSetup
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Gold analysis and NWOG Introduction (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the 30m chart of Gold, it started dropping after today's open, but after reaching the 30m IFVG, it stopped above the IFVG C.E. and went back up from 4417 all the way to 4580, but dropped again to the high of March 26th NDOG, currently being traded at 4517, inside the March 26th NDOG.
Now, if Gold drops below the NDOG C.E. at 4514 and stabilizes there, it will go lower to retest the March 30th NWOG, and if it goes below this one's C.E. as well, at 4503, it can drop even further to the March 23rd NWOG Low at 4472.
However, if it holds itself above the NDOG C.E., it can bounce back up to the 4555 target and then 4580 level.
The targets for Gold: 4507, 4500, 4493, 4486, 4479 and 4472.
Bullish targets: 4530, 4536, 4542, 4548 and 4554.
Okay, now let's talk about NWOGs and NDOGs, what are they and why are they important?
NWOG: New Week Opening Gap, it's in the name! The NWOG is Friday's close and Monday's open. The reason they are important is that they act like a magnet to the price, and price is constantly drawn towards them, and usually around 70% of the time, the price comes back to the NWOG instantly and you can trade it based on that.
The general idea is that NWOGs can be used for 5 weeks. Does this mean that an NWOG loses value after 5 weeks? Not necessarily! Actually, there are NWOGs that you might work with for months! But the general idea is that after 5 weeks, you can move on.
NDOG and C.E. will be talked about tomorrow and the day after tomorrow.
Hope you find these useful.
Disclaimer: These are just an introduction to the concepts of NWOG, NDOG and C.E., do NOT trade on it unless you've learned how it works.
XAGUSD Bullish Structure Break & Trendline Continuation Setup
The chart shows a 1-hour timeframe of Silver (XAGUSD) with a clear shift from bearish to bullish structure. Initially, the market was in a downtrend within a descending channel (red zone), where a CHoCH (Change of Character) marked the early reversal signal.
After that, price formed a BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside, confirming bullish momentum. The market is now respecting an ascending trendline, indicating strong buyer control.
Price has also reclaimed support above the Ichimoku cloud, further supporting bullish continuation.
๐ฏ Target:
The projected move is toward the 73.50 โ 74.00 zone, as marked by the target area, following the trendline support and bullish structure continuation.
โ ๏ธ Key Levels:
Support: Trendline + 69.30 โ 69.50 zone
Resistance/Target: 73.50 โ 74.00
XAG/USD | Strong move needed (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the 30m chart of XAGUSD we can see that after this week's open, it dropped a bit but after reaching the March 23rd NWOG high and stabilizing above the NWOG Consequent Encroachment, it bounced back up from 67.6830 to 71.2456, which is inside the March 26th NDOG, and then dropped a bit, currently being traded at 70.8335.
I expect Silver to retest the March 26th NDOG, and if it goes through it strongly, I expect it to go for the IFVG at 73.1971 to 73.5838.
However if Silver fails at retesting the NDOG, it could drop to the Volume Imbalance at 70.2970, and if it fails to stabilize above it, it could drop further to the March 30th NWOG.
Targets for Silver: 71.3000, 71.6000, 71.9000, 72.2000, 72.5000, 72.8000 and 73.1000.
Bearish targets: 71.7000, 71.4000, 71.1000, 70.8000, 70.5000 and 70.2000.
BTC/USDT | Break the resistance (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 4H chart of BTCUSDT, we can see that after reaching 72k last week, it dropped yet again all the way to 65,000, sweeping the liquidities there, reaching the Bullish OB and then bounced back up, currently being traded at 67,500.
Now, I expect Bitcoin to retest the 4H FVG, and if it goes through it, we could see a move to 71,400. It has also the 68,920 resistance ahead of it which is essential to break above it strongly and then go through the 4H FVG.
However, If BTC fails at breaking the resistance or retesting the 4H FVG, it could drop all the way 67,300 first, and if this support zone is lost, then it could go further down, even below the 65,000 level to sweep the liquidity there and then start another move.
Targets for BTC: 68,000, 68,500, 69,000, 69,500, 70,000, 70,500 and 71,000.
BTC targets if it fails at breaking the resistance or retesting the 4H FVG: 68,000, 67,500, 67,000, 66,500, 66,000, 65,500 and 65,000.
EUR/USD | Bearish run over or further drop? (READ THE CAPTION)Well hello folks, Amirali here.
As you can see in the hourly chart of EURUSD, it reached 1.1484 a few minutes ago and swept the liquidity below there and then went back up, now being traded at 1.1493. I don't expect EURUSD to go lower than 1.1471 level for the time being.
I expect it to retest the March 30th NWOG right now and if it goes through and stabilizes over the 1.1575, we could see it go higher than 1.1511 and then for it to go higher, break the resistance at 1.1523 and then retest the March 27th NDOG at 1.1529.
However, if EURUSD fails at retesting the March 30th NWOG, it may go lower to the 1.1471 level and then if this support is lost, it could go lower than the 1.1443 level to sweep the liquidity there and then going a bit lower to touch the 4H Bullish OB and then go back up.
Targets for EURUSD: 1.1502, 1.1510, 1.1518 and 1.1526.
Bearish targets in case of NWOG retest failure: 1.1486, 1.1479 and 1.1472.
Gold Weekly Levels: Get ready for Volatility 4400/4600 USD๐ฑ GOLD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT โ EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
โ๏ธ Gold closed the week at 4495 USD, establishing a neutral outlook for the days ahead
๐ Expect a two-sided market, focusing on trading fresh liquidity levels above and below the current price
๐บ Key Bearish OB resistance zones: 4555, 4590, and 4630 โ watch for short-selling opportunities on sweeps
๐ก Fresh bullish liquidity below: 4460 and 4447 โ prime areas for dip accumulation
๐ฏ Primary upside magnet: Fresh OBs cluster near 4590 USD
๐งฒ Deep liquidity clusters stacked below: 4397 and 4357
โ ๏ธ Buy low near liquidity clusters and target overhead OBs, while bears should focus on sweeps near the sell-side OBs
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๐งจ Market Structure & Liquidity Outlook
โข Weekly close at 4495 USD signals a neutral stance, requiring a level-to-level approach
โข Upside objective remains the fresh OBs cluster near 4590 USD
โข 4555, 4590, and 4630 are key bearish Order Block (OB ) levels where bears will look to short sweeps
โข 4460 and 4447 are the immediate fresh bullish liquidity levels to defend
โข Deeper downside sweeps may target the stacked liquidity clusters at 4397 and 4357
โข Momentum is neutral โ the market will likely offer a two-sided trade:
โก๏ธ Buy low near the 4397/4357 liquidity clusters
โก๏ธ Sell sweeps into the 4555โ4630 bearish OB zones
Silver sideways range consolidation supported at 6533 The silver remains in a neutral trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 6533 โ a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 6533 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
7667 โ initial resistance
7900 โ psychological and structural level
8130 โ extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 6533 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
6170 โ minor support
5900 โ stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Neutral bias remains intact while the Silver trades around the pivotal 6533 level. A sustained break below or above this level could shift momentum.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Compression Apex โ Breakout or Breakdown Trap?XAGUSD Market Structure Update
Price is currently trading around the 69.8 level, consolidating within a symmetrical โ ascending triangle transition after a recovery from the sell-off. This suggests the market is building pressure for a potential breakout move.
โค Market Structure
โข Market formed a strong impulsive drop, followed by a recovery โ early accumulation signs.
โข Current structure shows compression (triangle pattern) โ liquidity building on both sides.
โข Internal structure is mixed, but still forming lower highs, indicating hidden bearish pressure.
โข Price is respecting the ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support.
โข This is a classic liquidity trap zone โ breakout will likely be aggressive.
โค Key Levels
โข Resistance (Triangle Top): 71.5 โ 72.5
โข Breakout Level: ~70.5 โ 71.0
โข Current Price: ~69.8
โข Trendline Support: ~69.0
โข Sell Side Liquidity (SSL): 62.0 โ 61.0
โข Buy Side Liquidity (BSL): above 72.5
If price holds above the ascending trendline and breaks cleanly above 71.5, it would confirm an ascending triangle breakout, opening the path toward the 73.5 โ 74.5 liquidity zone.
However, if price fails and breaks below the trendline, it would invalidate the bullish structure and trigger a liquidity sweep to the downside, targeting the 62.0 zone.
G/S ratio update: war and downtrendOn this graph 4h tmf G/S: BB, MA 50/200, 3 Pierce-Box reg trend
+ vol, rsi, macd
Ratio G/S 0.55,
For an unidentified reason g/s ratio started to peak down from November, strong trend -8%/month
>>this is translated in a raw monthly silver rate double the gold in the last 6 months (109 vs 46> 14%silver vs 7%gold monthly)
1-7 Feb comex margin change : this only caused a parallel upmove of the ratio; not a reduced angle because:
- silver demand is lively high through industrial inelastic demand
- silver market is 1/10 of the gold, so liquidity is not an issue
also war caused a tmeporary upspike of ~6% for gold; economy can suffer but war is highly demanding of silver.
All-time low around 34 (3 months, due to registered Silver depleted by then, or at all time low)
1 million $ question is what is going to happen in 3 months, when out of the BB again. Silver 256x subscribed by silver paper, physical deliveries have been requested by 95% of traders this months vs 4% usually.
To reflect this, an important Analyst Company prognosed an important variability in Silver price :160-320+
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD TVC:SILVER
Gold analysis and NDOG Introduction! (READ THE CAPTION) Earlier in morning today, Gold managed to go as high as 4619, sweeping the Liquidity above the 4602 level, and hitting all of our targets from yesterday's analysis, hope you used it! After reaching 4619, Gold began to drop, going as low as 4529, going inside the FVG and then bouncing back up, now being traded at 4582.
Currently Gold is on its way to sweep the Liquidity above the 4619 level and then go for the March 20th NDOG at 4650.
I expect Gold to test the NDOG and if it goes through, the next target for it will be 4736! Let's see if Gold can hold itself and go for the higher targets, I'm leaning towards the Bullish side.
However, if Gold fails, it can drop all the way to below the FVG meaning reaching 452X levels, and since there are plethora of NWOGs and NDOGs there, they could draw the price to themselves.
As long as Gold keeps itself above the 4500 level, it could go back higher.
Targets: 4600, 4610, 4620, 4630, 4640 and 4650.
Bearish targets: 4570, 4560, 4550, 4540, 4530 and 4520.
Now, let's talk about the NDOGs, what are they and why are they important?
NDOGs: New Day Opening Gap. Unlike the NWOGs, they are yesterday's close and the day after's open. They also act as a magnet to the price, and for them, it is 5 days that you can use them, and same as NWOGs, it doesn't necessarily mean that they lose value after 5 days.
If we're above an NWOG and there's a clustering of NDOGs below, all of last week's NDOGs for example, the price is likely to be drawn towards them.
Basically: more NDOGs at one side of the chart => Price being drawn to it.
Disclaimer: This is just an introduction to the concepts of NWOG, NDOG and C.E., do NOT trade on it unless you've learned how it works.
EUR/USD | Further drop incoming? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the hourly chart of EURUSD we can see that it has been consolidating after a long bearish run, which started from 1.1639 all the way to 1.1443, and now is being traded at 1.1465.
After today's open, EURUSD went back to it once and bounced back up but it dropped back again and is consolidating above the March 31 NDOG. I expect EURUSD to go back to it once more and then bounce back up. Eyeing 1.1485 as resistance and if EURUSD goes through it, it can reach 1.1500.
However, if GBPUSD fails to stay above the NDOG and drops, it could go back again to the 1.1443 level that it reached last night to sweep the liquidity there again and hit the Bullish OB and then go back up. But if it fails to bounce back up, first target will be 1.1411 and 1.1400!
Bullish targets for EURUSD: 1.1475, 1.1482, 1.1489 and 1.1496.
Bearish targets for EURUSD: 1.1455, 1.1445, 1.1435, 1.1425, 1.1415 and 1.1405.
GBP/USD | 1.3100, not that far off! (READ THE CAPTION)Hello folks, hope you are all well.
As you can see in the daily chart of GBPUSD, it has been on a bearish run for a long while now, going from 1.38700 in the January to 1.3159 today, sweeping the Sellside Liquidity below the 1.3179 level! After reaching that low, going below the Nov 17th NWOG, it bounced back up and recovered a bit, currently being traded at 1.3212.
Now, GBPUSD has failed to break above the 1.3218 resistance level once, but I expect it to retest the resistance once more and if it breaks above it, next target will be 1.3252 and then 1.3286.
However, if it fails to break above the resistance, it could go even lower to the 1.3124 and then 1.3100!
Let's see how GBPUSD will move in the coming hours and days.
Targets for GBPUSD: 1.3225, 1.3238, 1.3250, 1.3262, 1.3274 and 1.3286.
Bearish targets: 1.3190, 1.3175, 1.3160, 1.3145 and 1.3130.
XAUUSD: bearish retest below 4,600๐ Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, Gold is recovering from the 4,100 base, but the rebound is running directly into a strong resistance cluster around 4,555โ4,600. Price has already produced several rejections in this area, while the descending trendline from the previous swing high continues to cap the upside. At the same time, the recent recovery is still supported by a rising trendline from the local bottom, which means the market is sitting at a key decision point. For now, the structure looks more like a bearish retest of resistance than a confirmed bullish breakout. As long as XAUUSD stays below the 4,600 zone, sellers keep the short-term advantage. A break below the rising support line could trigger a sharper downside extension toward the 4,100โ4,120 support area marked on the chart. Only a clean breakout and consolidation above 4,641 would weaken this bearish setup.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ๏ธ Trade Parameters (SELL)
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โก๏ธ Entry Point: Sell โโnear 4462.45 with a confirmed support breakout
๐ฏ Take Profit: 4,107.60
๐ด Stop Loss: Above 4,641.06
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
XAU/USD Buyers Take Control โ Rally Toward Key ZonesGold has broken above a major descending trendline after multiple rejections , signaling a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Price is now holding above the key demand zone and forming higher lows, which suggests buyers are stepping in. If bullish momentum continues, XAU/USD could push toward the psychological resistance followed by the upper key supply zone. However, a drop back below the support area would weaken the bullish scenario. OANDA:XAUUSD
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โ ๏ธ Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only
SILVER Is Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 7,088.6.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 6,914.7 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBP/USD | To the NWOG! (READ THE CAPTION)Same as EURUSD, GBPUSD is also on a bearish run, having swept away liquidity pools on its way and I'd like to see it go for the Liquidity below the 1.3218 level as well, but it may not go below there and might go higher for the March 30th NWOG. Currently GBPUSD is being traded at 1.3238.
Now, GBPUSD has 1.3246, 1.3257 and 1.3267 resistances ahead of it, as well as the March 30th NWOG. I expect GBPUSD to go for them all and the main obstacle is the NWOG for me and if it goes through it and stabilizes there (a strong close above the NWOG), I can see it go for the 1.3287 level.
GBPUSD: bearish potential๐ Technical Analysis : On the daily timeframe, GBPUSD remains under bearish pressure after another failed recovery into the 1.3470โ1.3550 resistance cluster. Price is trading below all three major moving averages, with the SMA 50, SMA 100, and SMA 200 all acting as overhead dynamic resistance and reinforcing the weak structure. The recent bounce from the 1.3220 area formed a short-term rising support line, but the rebound lacked follow-through and was rejected before reaching the upper supply zone. This suggests the move higher was corrective rather than a true reversal of the broader downswing. The key near-term battle is now around the 1.3220โ1.3250 support region, which has already reacted several times on the chart. If sellers force a daily breakdown below that base, the next major downside target comes into view near 1.3050. Only a sustained recovery back above 1.3470 and then 1.3550 would weaken the current bearish overview.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
๐ Market Overview: GBPUSD is sitting just above a critical daily support zone, and the main focus now is whether this base holds for another rebound or finally gives way and opens a broader move toward 1.3050.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
Silver Holding Key Support, Rotation Potential BuildingSilver price action is currently trading around the $66 level, a key support zone that has remained significant over the past few months.
This level aligns closely with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, reinforcing it as a critical area for potential demand and market stability.
Key Technical Points:
๐ Major Support: $66 holding as a strong base
๐ฅ Confluence Zone: 0.618 Fibonacci support
๐ Structure: Potential consolidation before rotation
From a technical and structural standpoint, silver is currently positioned within a consolidation phase at this support level. The ability for price to hold above $66 suggests that buyers are maintaining control in this region, preventing further downside continuation.
Rather than an immediate breakout, price action is more likely to develop internal rotations within this zone. This type of behaviour typically reflects a market building liquidity before establishing its next directional move.
As long as the $66 level remains intact, the broader structure supports the potential for a bullish rotation. A sustained hold at this level would allow price to stabilise and gradually build momentum for a move higher.
Looking ahead, confirmation of a rotation from this region could signal the beginning of another leg to the upside, potentially leading to new highs as market structure continues to develop.
XAGUSD โ Short-Term Bullish Rebound Into Major SupplyThe broader structure is still influenced by the previous bearish move, but currently we see a clear bullish reaction from discount (PDL), supported by internal CHoCH + BOS confirmations.
Price has reclaimed the key 69.4โ69.8 zone, suggesting a potential intraday continuation move toward higher liquidity areas.
However:
price remains below EMA200 โ higher timeframe trend not fully bullish
current move should be treated as a retracement / expansion into supply
๐ Current context:
โ๏ธ Reaction from discount / liquidity sweep
โ๏ธ Bullish CHoCH + BOS (internal)
โ๏ธ Reclaim above PDL (69.4)
โ ๏ธ Below EMA200
โ ๏ธ Major supply at 73.3 โ 74.0
๐ฏ Main scenario (Bullish intraday):
As long as price holds:
69.4 โ 69.8
Expected continuation toward:
72.4
73.3 โ 74.0 (major supply zone)
๐ด Invalidation:
Break below 69.4
Strong bearish continuation below 68.15
๐ง Conclusion:
โก๏ธ Short-term momentum is bullish
โก๏ธ But this is likely a move into supply, not a full reversal
โก๏ธ Upper zones may offer reaction / sell opportunities






















