AMAZON 1D Death Cross confirms Bear Cycle. Minimum Target $150.Amazon (AMZN) completed earlier this month a 1D Death Cross while its 1W MACD made a Bearish Cross (at 20.00). The last time both these happened at the same time was in 2022 at the beginning of the previous Bear Cycle.
Actually the time symmetry (and price patterns to some extent) among the two fractals and the structure preceding the Bear Cycles, are very similar. Both started in a December (2018 and 2022) and topped in a December (2021 and 2025 respectively). Now (March 2026) we are in a similar trading sequence/ consolidation below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as in March 2022.
Incredible time symmetry, which if it continues to hold, expect the price to target the 1M MA100 (red trend-line) next (which is where the 2022 Bear Cycle bottomed) around $150 at least. That is our minimum Target for this Bear Cycle. If global geopolitics along with uncontrolled inflation and prolonged rate pauses (or even hikes) continue to dominate the economic environment, then the Cycle could drop by -56.90% (like in 2022) targeting $115.00, which is closer to the 0.786 Fibonacci level and can make contact with the 1M MA150 (black trend-line).
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AMZN Holding Range - Waiting for Direction. Mar. 23Looking at AMZN right now, price is coming off a selloff but starting to stabilize around the 205–207 area.
This looks like a base forming, but it’s still sitting right under a key resistance zone.
1H Structure - Downtrend Trying to Slow
On the 1H chart, AMZN has been trending lower with consistent lower highs.
The recent bounce from around 204 shows buyers stepping in, but price is still below the main supply area around 208–209.
That means sellers still have control unless this level breaks clean.
15-Min Structure - Range / Early Transition
On the 15-minute chart, price is starting to compress.
We had a push down, then a bounce, and now consolidation between 205–207.
* Liquidity was taken below 204
* Buyers reacted quickly
* Price reclaimed into the range
* Now it’s moving sideways
This is typical behavior when price is transitioning, but not trending yet.
Phase Context
We had distribution near 208–209
Then a markdown move down to 204
Now price is attempting to build a base
So currently, AMZN is between markdown and early accumulation — still neutral until we get confirmation.
GEX Context (Simple Read)
Options positioning shows strong resistance stacked above around 230–250.
That suggests upside may be capped unless momentum really builds.
On the downside, support is building around 195–200, which aligns with where buyers stepped in before.
So for now, GEX supports more of a range unless price breaks out of this zone.
Key Levels
Resistance - 208 to 209
Major resistance - 210+
Support - 205
Major support - 204 to 200
Scenarios
If AMZN breaks and holds above 209, we could see continuation toward the 210+ area.
If price rejects again and loses 204, the downtrend likely continues.
Simple View
Right now AMZN is:
* holding a base
* sitting under resistance
* waiting for direction
This is a decision zone, not a clean setup yet.
Possible AMZN setups**PLAY OF THE DAY**
**AMZN**
Watching for two different scenarios here depending on what we see across the markets as a whole. Both setups looks like they have great potential to finally get us back on track with some great options trades this week!
**SHORT SETUP**
**ENTRY** - 202-202.75
**SL** - over 203.25 (if entering closer to 202 then SL over 202.75)
**PT** - 201.15 / 200 / 199
**LONG POSITION**
**ENTRY** - over 203.25
**SL** - under 202.75
**PT** - 204.35 / 205.25 / 206
@everyone
AMZN - Heading Back to the LowsAmazon has now seen its second breakdown of the smaller bear flag on the daily chart.
The primary pattern has been the parallel channel (or flag) that broke and gapped below on February 6th. Price then came very close to retesting the bottom of that channel as new resistance (Bearish Retest). Now, price has decisively broken below its LTF support which is something that is even more clearly visible on the lower timeframes such as the 1H, 2H, or 4H charts.
Given the significance of this move, once the $198 level is closed below (the 0.618 of the micro trend) the next primary target becomes the 0.618 of the macro trend, putting price around $150. There have also been several key points of price action around $160, making this less of a single level and more of a range to watch between $150 and $160.
In addition to that, the weekly RSI has a clear bearish divergence that has been present for some time. This drop in price is likely catching up with the weakness that printed on the RSI around the November 2025 highs.
Amazon macro long Amazon is down to the .618 retrace. This is my largest holding. I am very bullish on the business long term. I expect well over 300$ in the year to come. Markets can remain irrational for a while. I do not believe their capex will yield a low return, they can always use all of the data center buildout for AWS which has a massive backlog.
AMZN Sitting at Key Support, Bounce or Breakdown? Mar 31 SetupAMZN is not in a random spot right now.
Price is sitting at a level where it either stabilizes or continues lower. This is one of those setups where I stay patient and let price show its hand.
Daily
On the daily, AMZN already rolled over after failing near the 240 to 250 area.
I can see clear lower highs forming and price breaking down from previous support. That 210 to 213 zone is now acting as resistance. Price tried to hold it before and failed, so now it becomes a ceiling.
Right now price is sitting around 200, which is the next important area.
What stands out to me is what is missing. I do not see any strong bullish candle or clear reversal signal. There is no real sign that buyers stepped in with strength.
So for me, the daily is still bearish. This bias can stay in play for the next few days unless price can reclaim back above 210.
1H
On the 1H, the story becomes even clearer.
There is a clean downtrend and price keeps respecting the trendline from the highs. Every bounce has been sold.
Structure is still intact with lower highs and lower lows. Nothing has changed yet.
Now look at current price action around 199 to 200.
Candles are small and movement is slow. If this was strong support, I would expect a sharp bounce. Instead, price is just sitting there.
That usually means support is being tested and getting weaker.
Also notice the last bounce could not even reach the prior high. That tells me buyers are not in control yet.
GEX
Looking at GEX, there is strong support built around the 195 to 200 zone.
Above price, there is room toward 205 to 210, but not a strong wall right away. Higher up, resistance is stacked near 230 and above.
So right now price is sitting right on a key gamma level.
If this area holds, we can see stabilization and a bounce.
If it breaks, price can move lower faster because there is not much support underneath.
Putting it together
When I combine everything, this is how I see it.
Daily is still bearish with no reversal
1H is weak at support with no strong buyers
GEX shows we are sitting on a level that can trigger a move
So this is not a spot where I try to guess direction.
This is a level where I wait and react.
My plan for Mar 31
If price holds 200 and I see buyers step in, then I want to see a move back above 203 to 205.
If that happens, I will look for continuation toward 208 and possibly 210.
If price breaks below 200 and stays there, then I will look for continuation down toward 195 and possibly lower.
That move aligns better with the current trend and structure.
What I’m watching
Right now the level is clear.
Price is sitting at support, but the reaction is weak so far.
So I am not forcing a trade here. I will let price confirm first.
If buyers show up, I go with the bounce.
If not, I follow the breakdown.
Amazon Corporation (AMZN): Market Update, Expect Buy!As of March 20, 2026, Amazon (AMZN) stock has a consensus Strong Buy rating, with analysts predicting a potential 34% -36% increase over the next 12 months, targeting an average price of approximately $280-$284. the stock recently closed around $205-$208, a significant growth from the recent slight dip. continued AWS cloud dominance and artificial intelligence initiatives are the key drivers.
Technical outlook:
The stock is on a bullish trend, scaling on highs and lows in respect of the structure. price is currently at the support trendline as we anticipate bullish demand from this level.
Key points:
A confirmed reverse above the support, triggers a buy position to $216-$222 as possible levels.
Thanks for reading.
AMZN Wait For The Crack!This is a complete structure with 4 points, 3 waves, and a hook revealing a rising wedge.
The first mini-crack has already taken place.
The structure is all set up, valid, and ready to crack! All you have to do is wait.
🚨CAUTION! To all the bulls!
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Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
Amazon Breakdown Signals Further Downside Before Key SupportAmazon is moving lower as expected, continuing its bearish trajectory after a clear breakdown below the corrective channel. The decline has been impulsive, with price now trading well below the 227 level, reinforcing the presence of strong selling pressure.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the move can still be interpreted as an extended wave C. However, the structure appears incomplete, as five distinct subwaves have yet to fully develop. This suggests that the current decline may extend further before reaching a meaningful bottom.
Looking ahead, key retracement levels come into focus. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement near 193 and the 0.786 level around 178 represent potential downside targets. These zones could gradually form a more attractive support area where a rebound may develop.
That said, bearish momentum remains firmly in control. In the short term, traders should be prepared for continued downside within subwave “v” of (C) before any significant recovery takes place.
Highlights:
• Wave C breakdown below corrective channel confirms weakness
• 193–178 area can be attractive for a rebound
$AMZN Amazon | Solid Empire, Shy Price ActionThis analysis reflects personal views and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decision.
Amazon remains a macro powerhouse with an unrivaled portfolio of businesses spanning e commerce, cloud infrastructure (AWS), logistics, advertising, and strategic investments including a significant stake in Anthropic. The company is well positioned for the datacenter buildout cycle and the growing intersection of AI and energy infrastructure. On paper, this should be a no brainer.
And yet, the stock refuses to move with conviction. Despite the breadth of the business moat, price action has been underwhelming, failing to reflect the quality of the underlying franchise. This disconnect between fundamental strength and technical apathy is frustrating but real.
Technical outlook:
On the daily timeframe, price has touched the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting a short term oversold condition and a potential mean reversion setup. The weekly EMA 200 at $182 now serves as the immediate technical magnet, with price gravitating toward that level.
The projected path would see a recovery from the current floor toward $238, with a secondary resistance cluster around $241 expected to cap upside around late May 2026. This represents a reasonable move but not a compelling one relative to capital deployed.
Bias: Bullish, but for modest returns only. The upside to the $238 to $241 zone is there, but the risk/reward profile does not justify aggressive positioning at this stage. Capital may be better deployed elsewhere for those seeking higher asymmetry.
Key levels:
- Weekly EMA 200: $182
- Target zone: $238 to $241
- Timeframe: Late May 2026
Panduhh's Amazon ViewpointThese are the equilibrium levels for the current structure in Carnival Corporation
Levels are derived from internal framework using structure and geometric relationships—not time-based inputs.
Focus is not on prediction, but on order flow response at price.
Reaction at each level determines outcome:
– Acceptance → continuation within value
– Rejection → rotation away
– Failure → discovery beyond the range
AMZN: Multi-Zone Alignment Signals Bullish ContinuationAmazon is setting up inside a high-probability confluence structure, with Sigmanomics forecast zones aligning across multiple timeframes.
📊 Forecast Breakdown
7-Day Setup (Best R/R)
Zone: 208 – 274
Status: Price just below → trigger on reclaim
R/R: 2.3:1 (strongest)
Play: Wait for move into 208+ for confirmation
14-Day Setup
Zone: 199 – 274
Status: Already inside → valid long
R/R: 1.6:1
Play: Active positioning zone
28-Day Setup
Zone: 200 – 218
Status: Inside, but compressed upside
R/R: 1.0:1 (weak)
Play: Not ideal alone — only relevant with higher TF alignment
Amazon: $AMZN – Holding Steady Above $210 After Feb PullbackNASDAQ:AMZN trades at ~$214.45 (up +0.37% intraday on 1H chart), consolidating after a steep drop from its late-2025 high near $258.59. The stock had a strong rally through 2025 on AWS growth and efficiency gains, before correcting sharply into early 2026 and testing lows around $196.13.
Key observations:
- Downtrend from Nov 2025–Feb 2026 formed lower highs, but price has stabilized above $210 support with moderate volume on bounces.
- Recent action shows tentative higher lows forming near $210–$215.
- Momentum neutral; holding just above the 50-period MA.
Analytical buyer outlook:
- Upside trigger: Break $220–$225 on volume — targets $235–$245 retest.
- Support to defend: $210–$212 zone; break risks retest of $200–$196.
- AWS growth and cost discipline remain key tailwinds.
Verdict: Correction looks healthy after strong run. Buyers defending $210–$215 zone — constructive setup if $220 clears. Bias neutral-positive.
Sentiment: Market sentiment around AMZN is cautiously optimistic. Investors are focused on AWS margin expansion and AI investments, viewing the current consolidation as a healthy pause rather than a breakdown.
AMZN: Head & Shoulders Breakdown – Short SetupDescription:
AMZN: Earnings Breakdown & Structural Failure
The Setup:
Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) has suffered a major technical deterioration, triggered by a massive Breakdown on bad earnings . This fundamental catalyst caused the stock to slice right through the floor of a 4-Month Consolidation phase, instantly trapping a significant number of long positions who were positioned for a breakout.
Following the initial plunge, the stock attempted a weak recovery, resulting in a Pullback to the falling 50SMA . This low-volume bounce took the exact shape of an Inverted Wedge —a notoriously bearish continuation pattern. Hitting the declining 50-day moving average proved to be a brick wall, confirming that old support has become new resistance and sellers are in full control. Zooming out, this entire sequence completes a massive Head and Shoulders pattern , signaling a definitive trend reversal and presenting a high-probability short setup.
Reasoning:
Head and Shoulders Pattern (Classic major trend reversal structure)
Breakdown on Bad Earnings (Fundamental catalyst driving the mass exit)
Breakdown of 4-Month Consolidation (Major structural failure trapping longs)
Pullback to falling 50SMA (Bearish retest of moving average resistance)
Inverted Wedge (Weak, bearish counter-trend bounce indicating exhausted buyers)
US – S&P 500 | Amazon.com Inc. | Structural CensusAmazon’s long-term chart reflects a classic secular compounder.
Following the recovery from the early-2000s technology collapse, the stock entered a persistent structural advance driven by the expansion of e-commerce and cloud infrastructure.
Despite periodic corrections, the dominant behaviour remains a Sustained Impulsive Structure.
Part of the ongoing S&P 500 Structural Census.
Structure → Level → Trigger → Probability
#SP500Census #MarketStructure #StructuralAnalysis
$AMZN — Some say Amazon is cheap.NASDAQ:AMZN
Some say Amazon is cheap. That may be true. But personally, I’d have a hard time sleeping at night being long Amazon here — and it’s not only the chart that worries me.
One major concern is the massive AI and infrastructure spending.
Amazon is planning extremely large capital expenditures to expand its AI and cloud infrastructure. Some estimates suggest spending could reach around $200B by 2026, which has already started to make investors nervous.
The risks are clear:
• Returns on these investments may take years to materialize
• Free cash flow could decline significantly
• If revenue growth slows, the spending could quickly look excessive
Some analysts even warn that free cash flow could turn negative if capital expenditures exceed operating cash flow.
Happy to hear the other side of the argument. Reply if you disagree.
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