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Nvidia - Starting the final bearish drop!💩Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) can drop a final -20% 🔎Analysis summary: A couple of months ago, Nvidia perfectly retested the major channel resistance trendline. Thus we already witnessed a clear rejection of about -20%. And looking at the higher timeframe, Nvidia can still drop another -20% before it will retest a major support level. 📝Levels to watch: $150 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by SwingTraderPhil
24
NVDA - On Verge of Breakdown This is an update to my last post: I have been monitoring this trendline for quite some time, and with Friday's close, NVDA has broken below a trendline it has been holding for the past six to seven months which is a significant development. It is possible for NVDA to reclaim this trendline on Monday, as occurred previously (marked by the yellow circle on the chart). However, for now it is best to assume that will not be the case, and that price will either continue lower from here or stage a brief retest of the trendline before declining further. The first breakdown target sits around $153, marked by the yellow dotted line. However, given that this would represent a loss of the range NVDA has been trading within for so long, a much larger correction becomes very plausible from here.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by VIAQUANT
19
NvdaBear flag here playing out .. Short answer I see us heading to 169 minimum this week. Bear flag says we head lower but I respect the weekly 50sma in combination with the .786 fib level that I got from using All time high and 2022 lows. So 169 will be strong support. Bigger picture here is Drifting inside this weekly channel in the middle of no where Bollingerbands have really tightened. Last 2 times this happened we had a significant move, one to the Down side and one to the upside.. So I expect 300 or 90 by June (Maybe sooner). Short entry -177.00 Stop loss 179.00 Target 169. Only a strong long over 185.50
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by ContraryTrader
8
NVIDIA bearish & bullish · NVDA in bearish dominionNVIDIA has been moving sideways. It is a strong chart but has bearish potential. The price is very strong but... Good evening my fellow trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day. Here is the tricky situation with NVDA. Bearish or bullish? The low from September 2025 remains unchallenged, which is bullish. The low from late November 2025 also remains unchallenged. When NVDA moved down that month it found support at EMA144 (blue line on the chart). It has been sideways. There is a top with an inverted cup pattern (October). In late February, a month ago, we have a lower high. Here we start to see the mixture of signals. The support levels that were activated remain unchallenged, but there are no new highs and even a lower high is now in place. The lows from September and November are not tested but the chart continues to weaken. The market found support at EMA144 back then. Yesterday, NVDA challenged EMA144 as resistance and there was a rejection. So the action is already below this level which was a support last year. And then comes MA200. Yesterday NVDA lost two support levels at once, EMA144 and MA200, two long-term moving averages. This signal coupled with the lower high, has more meaning than the lack of new lows. It is mixed, but the bears are gaining ground. It is possible to see a drop in the coming days. It is not necessary to see a drop right away tomorrow because we are about to witness a major crash, the biggest in years. This move is being consolidated, the build-up process. So it can happen that the market continues to fluctuate. Going sideways, a little up, a little down. In this way, when sellers are fully positioned, the catalyst comes out; some sort of news related event, then we get the crash. The crash can happen tomorrow just as it can happen next week or next month. The market tends to take as long as it needs, but NVIDIA isn't going up. This is a bearish chart. Bearish as in bearish potential. 135, 111 followed by 90. More or less. These are the levels that will become relevant in the coming days. Thank you for reading. When a market grows for years then suddenly stops, it is time to run away. There is still time to sell while the action happens close to resistance. There is no way that this market will start a new bull run with this chart structure. First comes a correction and then a new cycle can start. The market moves in waves. The period of expansion being over, we will see a phase of contraction now, a major correction. Something the majority of holders do not expect. Holders not traders. Traders are ready and prepared. Somehow, they always know. Namaste.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by MasterAnanda
6
NDVA weekly view. Headline risks.Nvidia has been pulling back from the $190 level since the start of the war and is currently sitting below the 200d sma. Big tech is under pressure from rising oil prices, a stronger dollar and a possible self-induced recession if oil prices remain elevated. I have outlined two balanced area's on the chart; Balance Area #1 and Balance Area #2. I still have a bullish bias on the chart as long as price stays in Balance Area #2. Since late 2022 NVDA stock does not fall below the 40's RSI level very often on the weekly. Therefore there could be a chance we get an oversold bounce soon. If this occurs then I believe we could bounce back up to the 200d ma ($179)- roughly a 7% move. If we do and it rejects then I think it's possible we reject all the back down to the bottom of Balance Area #2 ($149). Or, If you take the top of Balance Area #1 and measure the percent move down to the bottom, it is 41%. The price has moved down 19% since the ATH. If you add another 21% to total the 41% move from Balance Area #1 you get $122; falling outside of Balance Area #2 and about 50% into Balance Area #2. I don't think NVDA is a trade unless it can reclaim the 8d sma (approx. $174).
NASDAQ:NVDA
by naturner1966
4
NVIDIA (NVDA) – Daily Timeframe AnalysisOverall Structure • The market is forming a distribution structure • Your marked pattern resembles a Head & Shoulders / Lower High sequence • Price is breaking or about to break the ascending trendline 👉 This is a major potential trend shift signal Bearish Scenario (Primary Bias) • Formation of lower highs • Breakdown of bullish structure • Price trading below the MA 📉 Targets: • 155 (first support) • 150 (key level) • 140 (extended target) 👉 Confirmation: • Daily close below trendline • Strong continuation bearish candles Bullish Scenario (Less likely) If this turns into a fake breakdown: 📈 Targets: • 180 (first resistance) • 190–200 (supply zone) 👉 Confirmation: • Strong reclaim of the trendline • Holding above the MA Professional Summary • Structure: Distribution → Potential Downtrend • This setup is often seen before larger corrections • If breakdown confirms → broader risk-off sentiment may follow Strategy Insight: • Short: After confirmed breakdown (best setup) • Long: Only on strong reclaim • No Trade: If price stays choppy between levels Important Insight: NVDA is a market leader in AI, so if it drops, it often impacts: • Apple • Meta Platforms • Microsoft 👉 Meaning: This could be a broader market move, not just one stock.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by isahebdadi
1
NVDA flat for 8 months, sub $100 soon?NVDA has been trading in a tight 170-$196 range (except for few days) since July '25. Weekly red candles on high volumes show sign of distribution. Since Sep 30th price during trading hours has declined significantly (-$68 total decline from 9.30.25 to 2.27.26). This means that the the stock is nearly flat during that time only due to after hours pumps. Market makers pump price overnight and dump it on the retail during trading hours. If market is going to have significant decline, as I am expecting, NVDA will see sub $100 quickly. The only positive development on the chart that I see is price actions on the very short time frame 3.2.26 to 3.11.26. Unfortunately it did not come on the high volume. There are a lot of news around disruption of helium supply due to Iran conflict which is needed for chip making process; oil disruptions to Taiwan that could potentially impact production/supply of chips. I am not sure what exactly will be the trigger, but chart doesn't scream investors confidence.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Otradehouse
1
Why Nvidia's Stock Looks Relatively Cheap?After a sluggish start to the year, shares of Nvidia—alongside Broadcom, AMD, and Marvell—are beginning to appear attractively valued, according to analysts at Deutsche Bank. The investment firm noted that when measured by their two-year forward price-to-earnings ratios, these four semiconductor stocks are currently trading at a significant discount relative to their historical valuation averages. A Bargain in the Making Nvidia’s stock, in particular, is emerging as a potential bargain, according to the German bank’s analysts. Following a weak performance in the early months of the year, the artificial intelligence chipmaker’s shares are now trading at approximately 16 times projected earnings for 2027. This multiple stands roughly 45% below the company’s historical median valuation, a disparity that the analysts suggest presents an opportunity for investors to acquire shares at a discounted price. Deutsche Bank’s assessment extends beyond Nvidia. The analysts indicated that Broadcom (AVGO), AMD (AMD), and Marvell Technology (MRVL) are also trading at valuation multiples well below their respective historical norms. Collectively, the firm characterized these four semiconductor companies as looking "relatively cheap" based on their current pricing relative to long-term earnings expectations. What This Means for Investors The valuation analysis comes at a time when Nvidia’s stock has struggled to gain momentum in 2026, despite sustained and even booming demand for its artificial intelligence chips. This disconnect highlights a broader shift in sentiment toward segments of the AI trade that had previously enjoyed significant investor enthusiasm. Nvidia’s shares (NVDA) were trading around $175 on Tuesday, showing little movement for the day and leaving the stock down approximately 6% year-to-date. This performance is notable given the company’s continued strong financial results and its dominant position in the AI chip market. The subdued stock movement contrasts sharply with 2025, when Nvidia’s shares soared by nearly 40%. Diverging Performance Across the Semiconductor Sector The valuation picture varies across the semiconductor landscape. While Marvell’s stock has gained about 8% in 2026, its forward price-to-earnings multiple—comparable to Nvidia’s at around 16 times—is approximately 27% below its long-term median. AMD, meanwhile, trades at a forward multiple that is about 20% below its historical average. Broadcom’s multiple, at roughly 17 times projected earnings, is only about 5% off its long-term median, suggesting a more modest discount relative to its own history. Deutsche Bank analysts noted that not all semiconductor-related firms have experienced the same valuation compression this year. They described the current market dynamics as displaying "puzzling dislocations in relative valuation across the sector," pointing to notable divergences between chip designers and semiconductor equipment manufacturers. In contrast to the four AI-focused chipmakers, semiconductor equipment companies such as KLA Corporation (KLAC), ASML (ASML), and Applied Materials (AMAT) have been categorized by Deutsche Bank as "expensive" based on the same forward-earnings metric. These stocks have posted substantial gains in 2026, soaring approximately 29%, 31%, and 45%, respectively. As a result, they now trade at a premium to their historical valuation norms, standing in stark contrast to the discounted multiples seen among Nvidia and its peers. A Shift in Market Sentiment The analysts’ observations underscore a shifting landscape within the semiconductor sector, where investor enthusiasm appears to have rotated away from some of the high-flying AI chip designers toward equipment manufacturers that have demonstrated resilience and strong performance in the current market environment. For investors, the current valuations may present a decision point: whether to view the discounted multiples of Nvidia and its peers as a buying opportunity or to interpret the sector-wide divergences as a signal to exercise caution.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by KalaGhazi
NVDA - Still Maintaining TrendFirst, I want to thank @TradingView for selecting my last idea as an Editor's Pick — it is truly appreciated. This is an update to that post: In my last post, I noted that one of the scenarios for NVDA was to reclaim the trendline on Monday, as had occurred previously, marked by the yellow circle on the chart. That is exactly what has happened, aided by Trump continuing to hint at de-escalation discussions. As a result, the breakdown is not yet confirmed. This is precisely why the last post was titled "On-the-Verge of a Breakdown." For the breakdown to be confirmed, NVDA must see two consecutive daily candle closes below the trendline. That could still happen with today's daily close, but for now the trendline reclaim must be respected. With de-escalation discussions potentially gaining traction, I have added some additional levels to this chart to prepare for a recovery scenario. I want to be clear that I still consider this the less likely outcome based on everything outlined in my previous posts, but it is always important to be prepared for every scenario. What I have added is an upper white trendline. Setting aside the false break, NVDA could clearly be forming some sort of flag structure. Under normal circumstances, this would be classified as a bull flag with a bullish bias. If price is able to break above the flag and clear the $194–$200 level with higher timeframe candle body closes, that would be the breakout confirmation to watch for. From there, NVDA could see an additional 20% move, putting price around $240. This level represents both the bull flag measured move target and the 1.618 extension of the micro trend, giving it strong confluence. Therefore, watch for either of these two signals to confirm. Breakdown confirmation: Two consecutive daily closes below the lower trendline. Breakout confirmation: A break above the upper trendline followed by consecutive daily closes above the $194–$200 range, targeting $240.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by VIAQUANT
NVDA after last week selloff — how I’m looking at tomorrow (Mar 1H view I’m starting with the 1H and this one is clean… trend is clearly down. You had that push up near ~180–182, then it rolled over hard and since then it’s just: * lower highs * steady sell pressure * no real bounce structure Now price sitting around 166–167, which was a prior support zone… but like the others, once it breaks, it usually turns into resistance later. So for me, key zone above is 170–174. That’s where sellers showed up before. 15M view Zooming in, this looks even more controlled. You can see: * breakdown * small bounce * continuation lower Now it’s just grinding sideways near lows around 165–167. That’s not strong buying… that’s more like sellers pausing. No real CHoCH or reclaim yet. Until that happens, I’m still leaning downside. GEX / options positioning This is where it gets important. There’s heavy negative gamma below: * 165 * 160 * lower levels stacked That means if price starts slipping again, it can accelerate fast. Above price: * big resistance around 180 area (call wall / HVL zone) * nothing strong in the middle to support a bounce So upside doesn’t have much fuel right now, but downside has room. How I’d approach tomorrow If price pushes into 170–174 This is my main spot. If it pops there and slows down, I’d expect sellers to step in again. From there I’m watching for: * 166 retest * then 162–160 If it breaks below 165 early Then I’m not trying to catch bottom. That opens: * 162 * then 160 And with negative gamma, this can move quick. If bulls want control back They need to reclaim 174+ and hold above it. Not just a wick… I want acceptance. If that happens, then maybe we see: * 178 * possibly 180 But right now, nothing on the chart says that yet. How I’m thinking about it Same story as the rest of the market. This doesn’t look like accumulation… it looks like: * breakdown * pause * likely continuation So I’m keeping it simple: * short into resistance * or wait for real reclaim before thinking long Anything in between is just chop.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
NVIDIA - Main PlanNASDAQ:NVDA stock formed its peak at the end of October 2025. All price action since then is considered corrective. The primary scenario remains bearish - a move down toward the start of the fifth wave. The only question is the structure of the correction. It’s possible that the main downside move has already begun, so let’s define the targets. Key targets: 137 - local correction 114 100 Potential move from current levels: ~31-40% The ideal scenario would be a move back up toward the 212 area first - and only then a decline toward the targets mentioned above. --- Liked the idea? Hit Boost 🚀 Disagree? Share your targets in the comments. ---
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by NotBoringTrading
NVDA - Confirmed BreakdownAfter monitoring this key support trendline for several weeks, today Nvidia has finally given the breakdown confirmation candle. To get fully caught up on how price action has developed with this level over time, please refer to my previous ideas: Price has now seen a second consecutive close below the trendline, confirming the breakdown. While it is possible for NVDA to push back to the upside and retest the trendline as new resistance (Possible Retest?) this appears to be the less likely scenario at this point. The reason for that assessment is that NVDA has also broken the white horizontal ray, marking the (Loss of the Micro Lows). This is the first time NVDA has created a lower low since the micro uptrend began in September 2025, a significant structural shift that should not be taken lightly. Breakdown Targets: 0.382 Fibonacci ($164) The first target is the 0.382 Fibonacci level around $164, which price is already approaching. This level marked the origin of the trendline, giving it added significance as a potential area of interest. Yellow Dotted Line ($153) The second target is the yellow dotted line around $153 which is a level I have had outlined for quite some time now. 0.618 Macro + 1.618 Breakdown Extension (Most Significant) ($134) The final target is the most compelling of all. The $134 level represents not only the 0.618 of the macro trend but also the 1.618 breakdown extension of the micro rally from the $164 low to the $212 high. This double confluence makes it an extremely significant level that could act as a major local low or potentially the bottom. Keep a very close eye on this level!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by VIAQUANT
Nvidia: Potential BreakdownNvidia has been stalling for months, and now some traders may think it’s breaking down. The first pattern on today’s chart is the potential double top between the peaks of November 20 and February 25. Second, NVDA dropped sharply after that potential reversal pattern. It retraced about half the move before stalling, which may confirm its direction has turned bearish. Third, the mid-March closing highs were also near the February 26 closing price of $184.89. That could indicate resistance has been established around a prior low. Fourth, the chip giant spent most of last week under its 200-day simple moving average -- a potential sign of longer-term bearishness. Fifth, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is below its 21-day EMA. MACD is also falling. Those patterns may reflect short-term bearishness. Next, the stock bounced a few times near its November 25 low of $169.55. However, it closed under that level on Friday. Is support breaking? Finally, NVDA is a highly active underlier in the options market. (Its average daily volume of 2.9 million contracts ranks first in the S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That could help traders take positions with calls and puts. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. Learn more here about TradingView’s Broker of the Year! Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your TradeStation Securities’ account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. See www.TradeStation.com . Visit www.TradeStation.com for full details on the costs and fees associated with options. Margin trading involves risks, and it is important that you fully understand those risks before trading on margin. The Margin Disclosure Statement outlines many of those risks, including that you can lose more funds than you deposit in your margin account; your brokerage firm can force the sale of securities in your account; your brokerage firm can sell your securities without contacting you; and you are not entitled to an extension of time on a margin call. Review the Margin Disclosure Statement at www.TradeStation.com . TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradeStation
Down to $147The daily chart has no supports, so we've got to rely on the weekly. Next support is the 100sma (dark blue). We should get there in the next 4-6 weeks. Stocks are entering the fear phase. Expect bigger drops as large players get fearful and take profits. If retail also becomes fearful this will compound. You can see the next 2 supports under that. $100 NVDA is completely possible sometime this year. Good luck everyone! Hope you're not holding on for the long-term. NVDA has had 4 months of distribution (December-March). The longer the distribution, the great the next move will be. The move beforehand was down, this move will be bigger than the decline we saw in November. (Not financial advice) Comment below.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by MonetaryRebel
NVDA Deeper correction underway, target $109NASDAQ:NVDA has completed a textbook Elliot motif wave of 5 waves up from bottom. Weekly RSI has been printing bearish divergence for some time and ready to play out. Price is testing the weekly pivot as support, losing that bring up the S1 pivot as the next target, also the weekly 200EMA and High Volume Node at $109. This is where the .236 Fibonacci retracement also sits, a likely area for wave 2 to end in a stronger trending asset, as opposed to the golden pocket. The candle pattern is also a head and shoulders. Hitting this target will give us deep undervaluation and good potential for longing. Safe trading
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Maddox_Metrics
Nvidia and Emerald AI Forge Strategic Alliance with Major EnergyIn a significant development at the intersection of artificial intelligence and energy infrastructure, Nvidia has partnered with Emerald AI to collaborate with three of the nation's largest energy companies—AES Corporation, Constellation Energy, and NextEra Energy—on an initiative to deploy flexible AI factories built on the Vera Rubin DSX platform. These advanced facilities are designed to function not merely as computational hubs but also as dynamic assets integrated directly into the electrical grid, capable of responding to energy demand fluctuations and contributing to grid stability. The collaboration encompasses a commercial-scale rollout of DSX Flex infrastructure at Nvidia's planned Virginia AI Factory Research Center, marking a major step toward realizing a new generation of AI infrastructure that is both high-performance and energy-responsive. By positioning these AI factories as grid-aware assets, the partnership aims to address one of the most pressing challenges facing the rapid expansion of AI: the substantial and often volatile energy demands of large-scale computing. The initiative reflects a growing recognition among technology and energy leaders that the future of AI deployment must be intrinsically linked to sustainable and resilient energy management. The announcement comes amid a broader easing of geopolitical tensions that have weighed on the semiconductor and AI sectors. President Trump's decision to pause planned U.S. military strikes against Iran has helped alleviate some of the geopolitical uncertainty that had been pressuring chip and AI stocks, including Nvidia. The reprieve has been welcomed by investors who had grown increasingly concerned about the potential for escalating conflict in the Middle East to disrupt global supply chains, particularly for critical semiconductor components, and to introduce broader market volatility. Together, these developments—the strategic energy collaboration and the easing of geopolitical risks—have contributed to a more favorable backdrop for companies at the forefront of AI infrastructure development, underscoring the increasing intersection of technological innovation, energy policy, and global geopolitical dynamics.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by KalaGhazi