NASDAQ (US100)The Nasdaq index as a whole remains in a downtrend. Prices have a chance to test the support zone of $22879-$22749. If prices fail to break through $22749, a short-term rebound is possible.
Technically, if the price can remain above $22,643, we expect a short-term rebound is possible.
However, the Nasdaq index is still likely to face selling pressure, especially near the key resistance zone of $24,639-$24,838. If the price fails to break through $24,987, could present a high-probability opportunity for sellers to step back into the market, in line with the dominant downtrend.
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๏ปฟNASDAQ Sell Setup: Why 24,200 Could Trigger the Next Drop?Hey Traders,
In todayโs trading session, we are monitoring the NASDAQ Composite Index for a selling opportunity around the 24,150โ24,200 zone. The index is currently trading in a broader downtrend and is undergoing a corrective phase, approaching a key resistance area that aligns with the prevailing bearish structure.
From a fundamental perspective, the current macro environment is becoming increasingly challenging for equities, particularly growth-heavy indices like the NASDAQ.
One of the primary drivers is the resurgence of inflationary pressure. The recent surge in oil prices, fueled by ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, is pushing inflation expectations higher once again. This shift is forcing markets to reprice monetary policy expectations.
On the policy side, the Federal Reserve is maintaining a โhigher for longerโ stance, with rate cuts being delayed and even the possibility of further tightening being discussed. As a result, US bond yields are rising, increasing the cost of capital and putting direct pressure on equity valuations.
This environment is particularly negative for the NASDAQ, as it is heavily weighted toward growth and tech stocks, which are highly sensitive to interest rates. Higher yields reduce the present value of future earnings, making these stocks less attractive compared to safer, yield-bearing assets.
Additionally, the risk of a stagflation-like scenarioโwhere inflation remains elevated while economic growth slowsโis another major headwind. Slower growth can weigh on corporate earnings, while persistent inflation limits the ability of central banks to provide support. This combination creates a difficult backdrop for equities to sustain upward momentum.
While markets have shown resilience in recent months, cracks are beginning to appear as macro conditions tighten. Any upside in the NASDAQ is likely to face selling pressure, especially near key resistance zones.
Technically, the current corrective move toward the 24,150โ24,200 area could present a high-probability opportunity for sellers to step back into the market, in line with the dominant downtrend.
Overall bias: bearish, with a preference for selling rallies rather than chasing downside.
Multi-timeframe analysis
If you find yourself confused by timeframes, unsure why the market appears to be in a downtrend on one timeframe while showing an uptrend on another, and you do not know how to interpret this information, then this educational material is for you.
Multi-timeframe analysis is the foundation of any approach to chart analysis. The essence of this approach is that you use several timeframes to analyze the market.
I will refer to timeframes as three different perspectives.
The first is the long-term perspective.
This is the timeframe you use to analyze the overall context. In essence, this is where you form your bias regarding the market. It is always the higher timeframe.
The second is the medium-term perspective.
This is your intermediate timeframe. Very often, the medium-term perspective is used to track the movement of price toward the targets that you identified on the higher timeframe.
The third is the short-term perspective.
This is your lowest timeframe. This is where you will most often execute your trade entries.
There is one small clarification here. If you are just starting out, three timeframes will be sufficient for forming your bias and executing entries. However, more experienced traders may use more than three timeframes. Even so, they will still belong to the same three categories: long-term, medium-term, and short-term perspectives.
For example, two timeframes may be used for the long-term perspective, but they will still belong to the same category and simply complement each other.
So why is multi-timeframe analysis necessary at all?
I like to compare it to looking at a painting. If you observe a painting from very far away, you may miss important details and fail to understand the meaning the artist intended to convey. But if you look at it from too close, you will no longer be able to understand what the painting represents as a whole.
In both cases, your understanding of the painting will be incomplete.
The core idea behind multi-timeframe analysis is that when you move to a lower timeframe, you are essentially zooming in on a specific section of the chart and beginning to see more details within the price movement.
Now let us imagine the following section of a chart.
It belongs to the long-term perspective.
If you switch to the medium-term perspective, you will be looking at a smaller portion of the chart that is broken down into more detailed movements.
Here is the part of the chart you will be observing (this depends on how much you zoom in or zoom out):
And here is how that section may be broken down into more detailed movements:
For better understanding, I will overlay one chart on top of the other.
The black line represents the long-term perspective, and the blue line represents the medium-term perspective.
To understand this more clearly, let us perform a simple analysis.
Within the long-term perspective, the price is in an uptrend.
At the moment, the price is undergoing a correction.
Conditionally speaking, we expect the uptrend to continue.
Within the medium-term perspective, this appears as a range. However, if we break it down into local trends, we can clearly see both an upward and a downward trend.
The downward trend is essentially the correction within the long-term perspective.
Since we expect the continuation of the long-term uptrend, it would be logical to wait for a shift in the local bearish order flow on the medium-term perspective. After that, we can begin looking for entry models that align with the continuation of the uptrend.
Now let us talk about the short-term perspective.
In the same way, when you move from the medium-term perspective to the short-term perspective, you will be looking at a smaller portion of the chart that is broken down into even more detailed movements.
Here is the portion of the chart you will be observing (again, this depends on how much you zoom in or zoom out):
And here is how it may be broken down into more detailed movements:
Here is what happens if we overlay one chart on top of the other:
If we try to overlay the short-term perspective onto the long-term perspective, the section of the chart you are observing will look like this:
Let us continue our analysis.
Suppose we waited for the shift from the local downward movement to an upward movement on the medium-term perspective.
In this case, we achieve synchronization between the long-term and medium-term perspectives.
The long-term perspective is in an uptrend, and the medium-term perspective is also in an uptrend.
To synchronize with the short-term perspective, it is sufficient to simply look for long opportunities on the lower timeframe.
In this situation, all three perspectives are aligned. Your position therefore has a higher probability of working out.
Open your charts and try applying what you have just read. You will be surprised by how simple it actually is.
If you still have questions, feel free to write them in the comments.
Enjoy!
NASDAQ Is it a buy at least for the short-term?Nasdaq (NDX) shifted from he Falling Wedge of about 2 weeks ago (March 13, see chart below) to a Channel Down:
Now that our 23850 Target got hit, we see the opportunity for a short-term buy (though the long-term trend remains bearish as we are at the start of the new Bear Cycle) since additionally, the 1D RSI is oversold.
Given that the Bearish Leg that was just completed declined by -8.25%, a little over that the Channel's first, we expect the subsequent rebound to also test the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci range.
As a result, our short-term Target on this assuming the pattern holds, is 23950 (Fib 0.5).
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NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Pullback From Support
There is a high probability that US100 will pull back from
the underlined key support.
As a confirmation, I spotted a double bottom pattern on an hourly time frame.
Goal - 23880
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Nasdaq | Bearish Pressure Still ActiveMy short-term view on Nasdaq remains cautious, although price is now approaching a key reaction area on the daily chart. The market is still trading within a clear corrective structure after the rejection from the highs, and the descending channel remains intact, confirming that momentum is still in favor of sellers. Price is currently testing a daily demand zone around 23,200โ23,400, where I would expect at least an initial response. However, as long as price stays below channel resistance and the last broken structure, I still view upside moves as corrective rather than a confirmed reversal.
From a COT perspective, non-commercials remain net long (78,111 longs vs 54,029 shorts), which suggests positioning has not fully turned bearish. That said, the increase in spread positions and open interest points to rising participation but mixed conviction. Overall, this does not yet support an aggressive bullish stance, and I see the market more in a transition phase than in a completed correction. Commercials remain net short, which is typical for index futures.
Seasonality adds context: March has historically been weak, aligning with current price action, while April tends to be significantly stronger. This is why I am cautious about chasing further downside at current levels, as we may be approaching a timing window for stabilization or a rebound.
Technically, the key question is whether buyers can defend current support. A reaction from this zone and a reclaim of the upper channel could open the door for a move toward 23,900โ24,300, although this would still likely be corrective unless structure improves. If support breaks decisively, the next downside target sits around 22,200โ21,800, which I consider the more relevant daily demand zone.
Overall, my bias remains bearish to neutral: bearish from a structural perspective, but neutral in the very short term given the proximity to support and the potential seasonal shift. Nasdaq is not yet in a confirmed reversal, but it is approaching a zone where sellers will need to prove continued control.
NAS - GET READY FOR BIG RIDE AGAINTeam, I was quiet last week because the market has been extremely unpredictable during the current conflict.
The bots are hunting both sides โ SHORT and LONG โ and the volatility has been brutal.
I took a few stop losses earlier, but I stayed patient and managed to catch a strong 1,200โpoint move. Now the market is starting to consolidate again, and Iโm seeing signs of another potential push toward 24,500โ24,800.
Here is our plan:
Main Entry: 24,075โ24,050
Add / Double Volume: 23,800โ23,700
Target 1: 24,115โ24,200
Target 2: 24,225โ24,385
Target 3: 24,500โ24,800
Stay disciplined, follow the levels, and donโt rush.
LETโS GO
US100 Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
US100 looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 23065 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 23611
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ (NDX) set to crash - Bitcoin - Good news & bad newsThe bad news: It will be a very strong crash.
The good news: It will be fast.
NASDAQ (NDX) vs Bitcoin
While Bitcoin crashed in early 2026 hitting the lowest price since late 2024, the NDX stayed near resistance close to its all-time high.
While Bitcoin started a major, five months long bear market in October 2025, the NDX on the 10th October witnessed only a red day, then it kept on growing.
Recently, the NDX broke its main support, the 21-November 2025 low and is set to crash. A lower low.
Bitcoin has been producing higher highs recently.
There are some similarities between the two but the broader chart structure is completely different.
While Bitcoin trades above a long-term support, the NDX trades below a long-term resistance.
The NDX is about to crash and will produce the lowest reading since May 2025. This simply means there will be a crash on all the major tech stocks. NVDA, TSLA. I already reviewed those.
Hopefully, the Cryptocurrency market will be spared from this crash because it already crashed. We don't need a second one.
When the chart becomes like this, there is no going back. Gold, the SPX, all the major stocks. The entire TradFi sector looks really bad. It seems we are about to experience the biggest crash in a generation.
Sell everything and buy Crypto.
Namaste.
Hypothesis: History doesn't repeat but it often rhymesWEEKLY CHART
check: RSI nov 2019 - mar 2020 (similar chart formation)
draw: support from the previous top (before it gets pull back) - possible bounce area
As you can here, most of the oversold RSI gets a reversal. Here is the potential outcome if this will play out perfectly. We also have a support based on chart before. The risk however is a black swan event that will make us go lower than predicted. Without other forces at hand. Q2 & Q3 will probably down, Q4 is usually good for the market.
Reminder: Trade cautiously, don't trade what you cannot afford to lose. When buying, buy in spreads - don't go all in. Good luck!
STRUCTURE IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN RRThe 4 Hours shows us how price fails to deliver above the holding swings, the more we deviate from candle closes and open we run a risk of considering a stop run as part of our price action, the news revealed how US was holding swing highs yesterday but most of us could not see it simply because we run away from the simplest price action we were once taught in the beginning of our trading journey, how candles close is more important.
As choppy as price is and the big yapper still delivering lies, we run a large possibility of seeing price tank, NQ put a couple of highs that might be ran before a move down, should it happen that the markets are going back up, there is a holding swing that will serve as a manipulative move before distributing higher. Happy trading.
NASDAQ 1W MA50 hit. Can Trump's 5-day ceasefire save the market?Nasdaq (NDX) hit early today its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the week of May 05 2025 (more than 10 months after). Trump's announcement earlier about a 5-day ceasefire sent a very strong boost on the markets. The question is, can it be sustainable and kick-start a new Bull Phase or end up a short-term comfort and resume the correction?
Almost 2 months ago (February 02, see chart below) though, we gave a strong Bear Cycle warning, citing similarities of today with 2022:
As you see, those similarities we confirmed and the index, after making a Double Top, reversed to the downside, validating our fears. Obviously this is not emotional but technically based. And we are updating that original analysis we've made, with some minor additions for greater context.
Most components of the price action that preceded the 2022 Top have been similar with those that preceded the 2026 Top. Today's 1W MA50 test simply comes as the 2nd Step to confirm the Bear Cycle following the Double Top and on symmetrical terms, we are in a same spot as January 18 2022. The 1W RSI also validates that as it was at 40.50 at the time of that 1W MA50 test and is at 42.00 today.
Based on the 2022 blueprint, the Bear Cycle should now test the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), with our Target expectation for contact being around 22000 and then bottom within 20,000 - 19,000 towards the end of the year, after breaking below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
The 1W MA200 has been intact since the bottom of the 2022 Bear Cycle, which basically was priced marginally below the 1M MA50 (red trend-line) even. This is how we derive the 20,000 - 19,000 final Target Zone, which is still a rather modest estimate, as it is still above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the 2022 Low and much less than the -38.00% total drop. The 2022 Bear Cycle completed a -38.00% correction, bottoming within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fib Zone from the December 2018 bottom.
So to answer the original question. Trump's 5-day ceasefire isn't more powerful long-term Cycles on stocks, the USD or bonds and much less effective than macro monetary policy, like the Fed's stance last week against rate cuts until September at least. The markets will continue adhering to super cycles as they have been doing so very consistently for decades.
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Nasdaq Forecast: Risks Build for Another Downturn In line with the double top pattern formed between the December 2024 and February 2025 highs, which preceded a sharp downturn and dip-buying opportunity in April 2025, similar risks are now emerging for April 2026.
The Nasdaq continues to consolidate below the October 2025 and January 2026 highs, forming a potential double top below the 26,300 level, while currently testing the 23,500 neckline.
Bearish Scenario:
A close below 23,500, combined with a weekly RSI trending below the neutral 50 level, would confirm the double top pattern and extend drawdown risks toward 22,400 and 22,200โlevels aligned with the previous structure and potential dip-buying zones.
Bullish Scenario:
The index needs to reclaim 24,600 and 24,900 to restore bullish momentum toward 25,500 and 25,800. A break above these levels would open the path back toward 26,300 and the 27,000 zone, signaling a continuation of the long-term uptrend.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
It's not too late to press SELL!So, admit it, who at the beginning of the week believed Trump's tweets that the Iran deal was up his sleeve?
The trading volume on Monday indicates a significant position has been taken. However, can you definitively ascertain the direction in which this position was initiated?
By the end of the week, all U.S. indexes had fallen below their November 2025 lows. Traders are now noticing a shift to a more negative market outlook, as it's the fifth consecutive week of selling pressure.
This is particularly clear on the S&P 500 and DJIA charts. I warned that the American market will fall...
We still have a smooth development of the first sub-wave in Wave A. What do we know about Wave A?
There are several important aspects:
1) The most convincing signal of the appearance of this wave is its division into 5 waves of a smaller order, while an increase in volume corresponds to a decrease in price.
2) Wave A travels the full or almost the full distance made by Wave 5.
Yes, there are instances where A equals 0.50% or 0.618% of the wavelength of 5. However, Wave A can also completely suppress the growth of the 5th wave; this is also quite common.
Are you ready for the fact that the American indices may return to the minimum values of last year?
NASDAQ BROKEN KEY SUPPORT LEVEL, INDEX TARGETING VALUE ZONESThis week saw Nasdaq closing below a key support level after the index has been showing weaknesses for the past few weeks. With the current structure, Nasdaq will likely be dragged lower to its value zones. The index may also want to retest the new resistance level or continue straight further down.
N.B!
- NASDAQ price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#nq!
#nasdaq
Historical Pattern, Correction after double topLast year, NAS100 made a double top around 22270 area. Later it fell below daily EMA200 in March, and correction continued to 0.5 Fib levels, till 16420 area.
NAS100 is following exact same pattern so far this year. It did hit double top near 26290 area and it just closed below EMA200 on daily TF, and that too in Month of March (some seasonality in play?). I'd expect correction (call it a fall). A daily close below EMA 200 is already a strong bearish sign but still it closed above psychological support of 24000. If it doesn't reverse from here, I'd expect a prolonged correction towards 21300 area (0.5Fib levels), with some intermediate support around 23000.
NAS100 Indicating A Short Term PullbackAfter a strong downtrend, there is a bullish divergence appearing on the 4H timeframe for NAS100. There is potential to break the current downward parallel channel and retest the supply zone in the range of 24100-24200.
It is a low risk and high reward set up but plan your risk accordingly.
Entry: CMP
SL: 23150
TP: 24150
Risk: 0.4%
RR: 1:6
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade as per your own risk.
NAS100: Crashed to 22,900 Then Bounced โ Bullish MSS This analysis uses SmartFlow SMC (Free) โ auto-detects BoS, MSS, EQH/EQL, BSL/SSL, and Sweeps. No repainting. Community Scripts. Pro version coming soon.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ STRUCTURE
NAS100 had the most dramatic move of the four. Crashed from 24,400 to 22,900 โ a nearly 1,500-point drop. Then bounced with bullish MSS and BoS stacking to 23,259.
SmartFlow shows LONG/Bullish, but EMA200 is at ~23,500 โ still $240 above price. The structure has flipped but the macro filter hasn't confirmed yet.
This is where gold was about a week ago: bullish structure but below EMA200. The question is whether NAS100 follows gold's path (eventually reclaiming EMA200) or repeats the failed pattern.
โ KEY LEVELS
Resistance: 23,500 (EMA200 โ the key test)
Resistance: 23,800 (prior BoS zone)
Support: 23,100-23,200 (BoS structure base)
Below: 22,900 (Sweep low โ invalidation)
โ CROSS-ASSET SCORECARD
End of week 3 โ the macro picture has shifted dramatically:
XAUUSD: โ
LONG / Above EMA200 / Bullish โ LEADER
BTCUSD: โ
LONG / Above EMA200 / Bullish โ following gold
EURUSD: โ SHORT / Below EMA200 / Bearish โ dollar strength holdout
NAS100: โณ LONG / Below EMA200 / Bullish โ structure flipped, EMA200 test ahead
Two weeks ago, all four were bearish. Now 3 of 4 have bullish structure. Gold is leading the recovery.
Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
USNAS100 at Key Level 24330 | Market Awaits BreakoutUSNAS100 | Technical Outlook
The Nasdaq is currently trading around the pivot level at 24330, placing the market in a key decision zone.
Technically, as long as price remains below 24330, the downside movement is expected to continue toward 24220, and a break below this level could extend further toward 24040.
However, a confirmed 1H candle close above 24330 would support a bullish move toward 24510 โ 24700.
From a macro perspective:
Geopolitical de-escalation may support further upside toward 25140
Escalation may reinforce bearish pressure
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 24330
Support: 24040 โ 23930 โ 23730
Resistance: 24510 โ 24700 โ 25140






















