Shanghai Dragon at a Historic Breakout Level

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The SSE Composite Index is testing a long-term descending trendline.
Price is currently trading around 4,080, right at a major multi-year resistance zone.

Momentum is improving as the moving average is sloping upward.

Short-Term Outlook (1–3 Months)

Bullish Break Scenario:

If monthly close above 4,100:

Targets:
• 4,400
• 4,800
• 5,200

Stop Loss:
Below 3,800

Rejection Scenario:

If price fails to break:

Targets:
• 3,600
• 3,300
• 3,000

Stop Loss (Short Bias):
Above 4,250

Long-Term Outlook (6 Months – 2 Years)

If breakout confirms:

Targets:
• 4,800
• 5,500
• 6,000 (Previous major high)

Long-term invalidation:
Sustained move below 3,500

Fundamental Summary
• Chinese government stimulus measures
• Real estate sector stabilization
• Domestic demand recovery
• US–China geopolitical tensions
• GDP growth expectations

Continuation of policy support significantly increases breakout probability.

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