Short
FTSE 100 Index
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In-depth trading ideas
Short
FTSE100 counter trend oversold bounce back?The FTSE continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a loss of support, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 10,160
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
A failed test and rejection at 10,160 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
9,614 – Initial support
9,500 – Intermediate support
9,380 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 10,160):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 10,160 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
10,270 – First resistance
10,400 – Further upside target
Conclusion
FTSE remains under bearish pressure, with the 10,160 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as the price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
FTSE oversold bounce back capped at 10160The FTSE continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a loss of support, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 10,160
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
A failed test and rejection at 10,160 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
9,614 – Initial support
9,500 – Intermediate support
9,380 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 10,160):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 10,160 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
10,270 – First resistance
10,400 – Further upside target
Conclusion
FTSE remains under bearish pressure, with the 10,160 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as the price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
UK100 Update – Buy Stop Breakout SetupBuy stop placed above LH as bullish divergence builds on 1H.
📊 What we see:
• Bullish divergence on higher timeframe
• Shift in structure → potential trend reversal
• Momentum picking up on lower TF
🎯 Outlook:
Break above ~10,078 confirms upside move toward 10,170+.
⚠️ Watch for:
• Fake breakout / rejection at LH
• Drop below ~9,984 invalidates setup
Overall: Early bullish reversal — waiting for breakout confirmation 🚀
Long
UK 100 Index – Facing a Potential Shift in SentimentDuring early March the UK 100 outperformed other European indices, in that it didn’t fall as much, when confronted with the challenge of the escalating Iran conflict. While general risk off sentiment saw selling of the UK’s primary index, its weighting towards multi-national corporates rather than simply UK affiliated businesses, alongside exposure to key commodity, energy and defense sectors helped to slow the drop off which udermined others such as the Germany 40, an index packed with industrial corporates heavily exposed to soaring energy prices.
However, last week saw a significant shift in sentiment as traders began to face up to the reality that the Iran conflict may last longer than hoped or initially anticipated. This raised inflation expectations and led to a spike in UK bond yields on the basis that the Bank of England may be forced to flip from cutting interest rates to support a sluggish economy, and pivot to hiking interest rates quickly to stop inflation from spiking due to higher cost of oil and natural gas.
These concerns reached a peak yesterday morning when major concerns about an imminent escalation of the Iran war were rippling through financial markets. At one point, UK bond yields reached their highest level since 2008, as investors priced in as many as 4 25bp (0.25%) hikes from the Bank of England in 2026, a massive shift from expecting 2 25bp (0.25%) cuts through 2026 before the Iran conflict started. This led traders to fret about the sustainability of UK government finances and the negative impact on growth in the economy, which ultimately saw the UK 100 fall to 4 month lows of 9669, before recovering some of its lost ground to trade at 9886 at the time of writing (0630 GMT). The rebound being supported by US President Trump’s decision to postpone bombing of Iran’s energy grid.
Looking forward, while UK 100 prices may continue to be driven by updates on whether a de-escalation of the Iran conflict is a real possibility, tomorrow’s UK CPI reading, released at 0700 GMT could also prove to be relevant. A higher-than-expected release could weigh on UK assets, while a tamer reading could help to calm frayed nerves.
UK 100 Index Technical Update: Gauging Potential Support Within Increasing Volatility Sell-Off
Since the outbreak of hostilities between the US and Iran, the UK 100 index has come under increasing selling pressure, falling as much as 11.5% from its highs in late February, as concerns over the impact of a prolonged conflict and rising energy prices weigh on global economic expectations. As the weekly chart below shows, this down move has produced a more extended retracement of the April 2025 to February 2026 advance.
Now, after Monday’s brief relief rally, traders may be asking where next for the UK 100? In this regard, it could be useful to identify what could be the relevant support and resistance levels that could help determine the next directional themes.
Potential Support Levels:
The Fibonacci retracements from the April 2025 low (7525) to the 10,932 all‑time high can help highlight potential support areas to monitor through the remainder of this week. The 38.2% retracement at 9637 could mark the first key support zone and is possibly where traders are now focused.
As the chart above highlights, closing breaks below 9637 could expose further downside risks toward the 9425 level, which is the November 2025 low. If that also gives way, weakness may extend toward 9233, which is the 50% retracement.
Potential Resistance Levels:
While the initial support at 9637 holds any further price weakness, attention may shift to identifying resistance levels that could cap any rebound or lead to further price strength if they give way on a closing basis. In this regard, traders may be watching a resistance band at 9970/10061, which is a combination of the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracements of the March 18th to 23rd decline.
As the daily chart above shows, if closing breaks above 9970/10061 were seen, it could signal renewed attempts at price strength, opening the way for a move toward 10152, the 61.8% retracement. Sustained closes above 10152 could open potential for further gains toward 10452, which is the March 18th high.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
UK100 H1 | Falling Towards 50% Fib SupportThe price is falling towards our buy entry level at 10,019.87, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 9,853.87, which is a pullback support level.
Our take profit is set at 10,235.14, which is a pullback resistance that aligns witht he 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
Long
UK100 H1 | Bearish Reversal Off Pullback ResistanceBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off our sell entry level at 10,305.81, which is a pullback resistance.
Our stop loss is set at 10,460.09, which is a multi-swing high resistance.
Our take profit is set at 10,180.16, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
Short
UK100 - TIME TO RECOVERYTeam – UK100 Trade Plan
Team, 2–3 weeks ago we consistently shorted the UK100 for the whole month, with strong results. The last setup took a week before finally dropping 700–800 points due to the Iran–US conflict.
Right now, I’m looking at a bargain re‑entry opportunity.
LONG ENTRY
10056–10077
STOP LOSS - 9965
TARGETS
Soft Target 1: 10118–10135
→ Take partials and move the stop loss to BREAK EVEN.
Target 2: 10165–10225
Target 3: 10235–10292
Stay patient and let the price come to our zone. Risk control first, profits second.
LETS GO
FTSE 100 resilience hints at upside break above 10k this week:Current Price: 9967.4 (Analysis was generated on Monday Morning)
Direction: LONG
Confidence level: 48%(Professional trader snippets repeatedly describe the FTSE 100 as relatively resilient compared with other global indices and mention emerging upside pressure. However, price levels were not specified and social sentiment volume is extremely low, lowering overall confidence.)
Targets
Target 1: 10150
Target 2: 10300
Stop Levels
Stop 1: 9850
Stop 2: 9720
Key Insights:
Here's what's standing out from the trader discussions. Several professional traders highlighted that global equities are broadly under pressure right now — the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and DAX have all been sliding. Yet the FTSE 100 keeps appearing in the conversation as one of the few indices holding up relatively well.
That kind of relative strength matters. When traders see one index resisting a broader market pullback, it often signals defensive capital rotating into that market. Multiple traders also pointed out signs of upside trading pressure building in the FTSE, which could translate into a push higher if broader markets stabilize.
Another thing worth noting: traders repeatedly compared the FTSE to the Russell 2000 as two markets that “haven't done horrible” during the recent equity weakness. That wording sounds casual, but in trading terms it often means institutions are still willing to hold exposure there.
Recent Performance:
You can see this resilience directly in recent price action. While US indices experienced sharp declines — with the Nasdaq dropping over 2% in recent sessions and the Dow moving into correction territory — the FTSE has moved far less aggressively. One session even showed a modest gain while other markets fell, highlighting that divergence. Right now price sits just below the psychological 10,000 level, which is the big level traders are watching this week.
Expert Analysis:
This move has traders talking because of how the FTSE is behaving compared with global risk assets. Several traders specifically noted that even though the broader equity environment remains under pressure, the FTSE continues to show relative strength.
What's interesting is the link some traders made between FTSE momentum and the British pound. The collective view among traders is that rising pressure in the FTSE could eventually translate into broader confidence in UK assets. That doesn't guarantee a rally, but when multiple traders independently flag “upside pressure building,” it's something I take seriously.
The real technical story is simple: if buyers push the index through the 10,000 area, momentum traders may step in quickly.
News Impact:
Macro conditions are still the biggest driver. Rising bond yields and geopolitical uncertainty have been pushing global equities lower recently. However, the FTSE often behaves differently because of its heavy weighting in commodities, energy, and defensive sectors. That structure can help it outperform when US tech-heavy markets struggle. If commodity-linked sectors remain stable this week, that could continue supporting the index.
Trading Recommendation:
Here's my take. I'm leaning LONG because trader commentary consistently highlights the FTSE's relative strength compared with other global indices. When markets are weak but one index refuses to drop with them, that often leads to a breakout once selling pressure eases.
The trade setup is straightforward: look for momentum above the 10,000 area with targets around $10150 first and potentially $10300 if the move accelerates. Risk management matters here — if the index drops below $9850, the relative strength argument weakens, and a deeper pullback toward $9720 becomes possible.
Confidence isn't high because the signal mainly comes from trader observation rather than strong sentiment volume. But the setup is clear: if the FTSE keeps acting stronger than global peers, buyers could push it through the 10k barrier this week.
Long
UK100 | long Trade-Setup📌 After the breakout from the last high at $10,116, a bullish structure has now been activated on CAPITALCOM:UK100 and the B-C correction area is now tradeable.
Trademanagement:
- I'm placing long orders at each level. (If the price continues climbing, I’ll adjust the trend reversal level accordingly and update my limit orders.)
- Once the trade reaches a 2 R/R, I’ll move the stop-loss to break-even.
- From a 3 R/R onward, I’ll start locking in profits.
✅ I welcome every correction from here on.
Price can also continue climbing up without reaching the total correction zone!
Price can also continue climbing below the correction zone, but the highest chance of a reversal is there.
Stay safe & lets make money
Long
UK 100 Index – Facing a Potential Shift in SentimentDuring early March the UK 100 outperformed other European indices, in that it didn’t fall as much, when confronted with the challenge of the escalating Iran conflict. While general risk off sentiment saw selling of the UK’s primary index, its weighting towards multi-national corporates rather than simply UK affiliated businesses, alongside exposure to key commodity, energy and defense sectors helped to slow the drop off which udermined others such as the Germany 40, an index packed with industrial corporates heavily exposed to soaring energy prices.
However, last week saw a significant shift in sentiment as traders began to face up to the reality that the Iran conflict may last longer than hoped or initially anticipated. This raised inflation expectations and led to a spike in UK bond yields on the basis that the Bank of England may be forced to flip from cutting interest rates to support a sluggish economy, and pivot to hiking interest rates quickly to stop inflation from spiking due to higher cost of oil and natural gas.
These concerns reached a peak yesterday morning when major concerns about an imminent escalation of the Iran war were rippling through financial markets. At one point, UK bond yields reached their highest level since 2008, as investors priced in as many as 4 25bp (0.25%) hikes from the Bank of England in 2026, a massive shift from expecting 2 25bp (0.25%) cuts through 2026 before the Iran conflict started. This led traders to fret about the sustainability of UK government finances and the negative impact on growth in the economy, which ultimately saw the UK 100 fall to 4 month lows of 9669, before recovering some of its lost ground to trade at 9886 at the time of writing (0630 GMT). The rebound being supported by US President Trump’s decision to postpone bombing of Iran’s energy grid.
Looking forward, while UK 100 prices may continue to be driven by updates on whether a de-escalation of the Iran conflict is a real possibility, tomorrow’s UK CPI reading, released at 0700 GMT could also prove to be relevant. A higher-than-expected release could weigh on UK assets, while a tamer reading could help to calm frayed nerves.
UK 100 Index Technical Update: Gauging Potential Support Within Increasing Volatility Sell-Off
Since the outbreak of hostilities between the US and Iran, the UK 100 index has come under increasing selling pressure, falling as much as 11.5% from its highs in late February, as concerns over the impact of a prolonged conflict and rising energy prices weigh on global economic expectations. As the weekly chart below shows, this down move has produced a more extended retracement of the April 2025 to February 2026 advance.
Now, after Monday’s brief relief rally, traders may be asking where next for the UK 100? In this regard, it could be useful to identify what could be the relevant support and resistance levels that could help determine the next directional themes.
Potential Support Levels:
The Fibonacci retracements from the April 2025 low (7525) to the 10,932 all‑time high can help highlight potential support areas to monitor through the remainder of this week. The 38.2% retracement at 9637 could mark the first key support zone and is possibly where traders are now focused.
As the chart above highlights, closing breaks below 9637 could expose further downside risks toward the 9425 level, which is the November 2025 low. If that also gives way, weakness may extend toward 9233, which is the 50% retracement.
Potential Resistance Levels:
While the initial support at 9637 holds any further price weakness, attention may shift to identifying resistance levels that could cap any rebound or lead to further price strength if they give way on a closing basis. In this regard, traders may be watching a resistance band at 9970/10061, which is a combination of the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracements of the March 18th to 23rd decline.
As the daily chart above shows, if closing breaks above 9970/10061 were seen, it could signal renewed attempts at price strength, opening the way for a move toward 10152, the 61.8% retracement. Sustained closes above 10152 could open potential for further gains toward 10452, which is the March 18th high.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
FTSE Bearish continuation pattern in play?The FTSE continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a loss of support, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 10,160
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
A failed test and rejection at 10,160 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
9,614 – Initial support
9,500 – Intermediate support
9,380 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 10,160):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 10,160 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
10,270 – First resistance
10,400 – Further upside target
Conclusion
FTSE remains under bearish pressure, with the 10,160 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as the price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
UK100 Chart Analysis Current UK100 Analysis.
Price had dropped into the 9900 zone, from that initial drop price has risen and settled in consolidation, also respecting certain levels. As of Wed 25 March 2026, price hadn't moved much. Key levels have continued to be respected with breakouts, retracements.
Keys levels identified..
PDH - 10,130
PDL - 9,997
Current price 10,080.
Bullish Outcome :
Price stays above VWAP especially at UK Market pre open. RSI and MACD showing Bullish sentiment along with rise in volume. Price heads towards 10,130, watch for rebound or breakout followed by volume increase, next level would be 10,210.
Bearish Outcome :
Price stays below the VWAP through pre open time, staying below 10,080 and increase in volume to push further down to level 10,040, if broken through 10,000 is the next step down.
Always confirm with technicals and of course your implemented strategy. Eyes on DXY and VIX for opposite movements for further confirmation. Manager your risk and discipline above all else, protect your capital.
Key Levels :
Bulls
10,080
10,130
10,210
Bears
10,080
10,040
10,000
I will come back and comment to see the outcome over the next couple of days, especially now with minimal economic effects and the ongoing war between US, Israel and Iran.
Managing risk is key, the market is currently unpredictable in many ways, be cautious, tight stops, reduce size, be patient.
UK100 Update – Double Top Breakdown SetupDouble top formed on both 1H & 15M, with sell stop placed below key HL.
📊 What we see:
• Weak structure → LH forming
• Rejection from resistance zone
• RSI showing bearish pressure
🎯 Outlook:
Break below ~10000 zone confirms downside toward 9680 area.
⚠️ Watch for:
• Fake breakdown / liquidity sweep
• Reclaim above 10130 invalidates setup
Overall: Bearish bias below resistance — waiting for clean breakdown 📉
Short
FTSE 100 Wave Analysis – 23 March 2026- FTSE 100 reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 10100.00
FTSE 100 index recently reversed from the support area between the support level 9670.00 (which reversed the price twice in December), lower daily Bollinger Band and 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from last May.
The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the previous impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (C) from the start of March.
Given the strong daily uptrend, FTSE 100 index can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 10100.00 (former low of wave (A)).
Long
UK100 Update – Bearish Continuation SetupSell stop placed after breakdown of previous LL with strong bearish structure.
📊 What we see:
• Clear LH & LL forming → downtrend intact
• Rejection from resistance zone
• RSI weak → momentum still bearish
🎯 Outlook:
As long as price stays below 10,000 zone, downside toward 9,650 remains likely.
⚠️ Watch for:
• Weak pullbacks (sell opportunities)
• Break above 10,050 invalidates bearish bias
Overall: Trend remains bearish — continuation favored 📉
Short
FTSE100 Update – Pullback After RejectionSell activated after rejection from resistance with bearish structure intact.
📊 What we see:
• Clear lower high formed
• Downtrend structure → LL & LH continuing
• RSI weak → momentum fading
🎯 Outlook:
As long as price stays below 10,040 zone, downside toward 9,670 remains likely.
⚠️ Watch for:
• Weak pullbacks (continuation signals)
• Break above 10,100 invalidates bearish bias
Overall: Trend still bearish — rallies likely to be sold 📉
Short
FTSE Bearish breakdown capped at 10,300 resistanceThe FTSE continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a loss of support, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 10,030
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
A failed test and rejection at 10,030 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
9,614 – Initial support
9,500 – Intermediate support
9,380 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 10,030):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 10,030 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
10,160 – First resistance
10,270 – Further upside target
Conclusion
FTSE remains under bearish pressure, with the 10,030 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as the price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
FTSE 100 Wave Analysis – 20 March 2026
- FTSE 100 broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 9645.00
FTSE 100 Index recently broke the support zone between the support level 10100.00 (which has been reversing the price from January) and the support level 10000.00, coinciding with the daily up trendline from 2025 and 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from June.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active impulse wave C – which belongs to the intermediate ABC correction (2) from February.
FTSE 100 Index can be expected to fall to the next support level 9645.00 (target price for the completion of the active ABC correction (2)).
Short
FTSE remains under bearish pressure below 10,200The FTSE continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a sideways consolidation, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 10,200
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
A failed test and rejection at 10,200 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
9,9570 – Initial support
9,914 – Intermediate support
9,866 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 10,200):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 10,200 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
10,240 – First resistance
10,270 – Further upside target
Conclusion
FTSE remains under bearish pressure, with the 10,200 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as the price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
UK100 (FTSE) Long Setup – Divergence ReversalUK100 is showing bullish divergence on the H1 timeframe, indicating weakening bearish momentum after a strong downtrend.
📈 Trade Idea
• Entry: 10,100
• Stop Loss: 9,987.60
• Take Profit: 10,324.80
Price has broken above a recent lower high on M15, suggesting a potential shift in structure. If buyers maintain control, continuation toward the 10,320 resistance/liquidity zone is likely.
Bullish bias remains valid while price holds above the recent higher-low structure.
Long
UK100 (FTSE) Sell Setup – Trend ContinuationUK100 remains in a strong bearish trend, with consistent lower highs and lower lows on both H1 and M15 timeframes.
📉 Trade Idea (Sell Setup)
• Entry: 10,064
• Stop Loss: 10,074
• Take Profit: 9,900
Price is pulling back into a minor resistance zone within the downtrend. With the H1 trend still pointing downward, continuation toward the 9,900 support/liquidity zone remains likely.
Bias remains bearish while price stays below resistance.
Short
UK100 (FTSE) Short Setup – Double Top ReversalUK100 formed a double top on the H1 timeframe with clear bearish divergence, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. Price has already started reacting lower from the resistance area.
📉 Trade Idea
• Entry: 10,328
• Stop Loss: 10,449.9
• Take Profit: 10,121
After the rejection from the highs, a break below the intraday structure confirms potential downside continuation toward the 10,120 support/liquidity zone.
Bias remains bearish while price stays below the double-top resistance.
Short