DAX Bearish sideways consolidation capped at 23,133The DAX continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests an oversold bounce back, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 23,113
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
A failed test and rejection at 23,113 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
22,183 – Initial support
21,916 – Intermediate support
21,566 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 23,133):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 23,133 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
23,420 – First resistance
24,640 – Further upside target
Conclusion
DAX remains under bearish pressure, with the 23,133 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as the price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX Index
No trades
In-depth trading ideas
DAX to add 15% index value from here to the upside!! ..MoustafaI know you miss me! but I am not any more on MINDS and will never be again!!
but reach out private if you want further help!! I launch a public free idea for all you once in a month or two though!
DAX, as I always say, if you miss the big view, then you want see the truth!
broadening triangle pattern on the weekly chart! and currently the price tests again the lower side!
There is also another important thing.. the last three week candles shape are bullish pattern but majority do not know about it!
As long the last week top in the big bullish trend is not broken when a week candle closes under its top of the candle body, then we are going to bounce from here!
If price fell under that top or broke the broadening triangle lower line, then will will go lower...
But till that happen, I am bullish no single doubt! because the reward is almost 15% increase in the DAX index value!!!
Take it as one shot and stay focused and ignore any bearish retracement on the way to the target!!
I am targeting the upper side or the upper orange line!
Stay safe but trade big! ...
Moustafa
Note:
Please do not share or copy my own work! It reflects my own vision and view to that index and it is advertised to not be taken as a legal advice for traders to follow, however, it is not more than an own opinion and analysis to be shared with you!
DAX could be on the brink of collapse. 1D Death Cross inevitableDAX (DE40) may be on the brink of collapse here as following Monday's rebound just above the 1W MA100 (black trend-line), a Support that has been intact since October 30 2023, it is reversing again today, forming a very aggressive 1-month Channel Down.
With the German economy being more affected by the energy crisis of the Iran - U.S. war than the other indices, this situation can easily get worse, given also that technically the index failed to reclaim and got rejected on its 1W MA50 (red trend-line) in the past 2 weeks.
Above all, we are about to see the first 1D Death Cross since October 09 2023, which was the formation that basically confirmed the Bearish Cycle in February 2022.
As a result, failure to break above this pattern, has high probabilities to send DAX to a Channel Down Lower Low. So far this violent March drop resembles that of a year ago (Tariff war) that completed a -19.85% decline. We expect DAX to repeat that and hit 20500 soon, which will be close to the next Support, the 1W MA150 (yellow trend-line).
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DAX INDEX: Bearish Outlook Explained
Dax Index is positioned to drop lower.
The market is retesting a recently broken major structure.
I expect another bearish wave from that.
Goal - 22000
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DAX Analysis: A Decisive Battle at the 23.000 MarkThe DAX is deep in a correction. After a massive drop below the psychological 23.000-point mark. the index was only able to find a tentative bottom at the overarching trend line. The current technical rebound has now brought the price back exactly to the 23.000 mark - the former support level has now turned into resistance.
The scenarios:
- Bearish: If the 23.000 mark is not recaptured. the technical breakout remains active. A renewed sell-off toward 22.000 or even 21.500 points is then likely.
- Bullish: Only a sustained rise above 23.200 to 23.900 points would brighten the short-term outlook and pave the way back to the old trend.
The Big Picture:
Despite the painful correction. the overarching uptrend remains technically intact as long as the index does not fall below the critical 18.500-point level. We are currently in a volatile macro consolidation phase. The coming days around the 23.000-point mark will be decisive: recovery or continuation of the correction?
DAX (GER40) Is Sitting at a Possible M PatternHi,
Last week US equity market indices fell hard and along with that world wide indices participated too. But comparatively DAX showed more resilience than US equity indices such as NASDAQ and SNP500. Now we can see that DAX is sitting at an M pattern. As the market conditions are not great at the moment for a bullish sentiment, we will have to wait and watch how the market opens this week. If this M pattern or an extended M pattern works, thus may be a good sign for US equity indices too as all of these are correlated.
No an advice as usual!
Be careful of the geopolitical situation though and manage the risk.
Follow for more. Please support this analysis by liking, commenting, and sharing with friends, colleagues, traders, and trading communities. Thanks👍🙂
DAX 40 Structure Holds Strong Upside Still Active!📈 DE40 (Germany 40) Bullish Re-Accumulation Setup 🚀
Asset: DE40 — Germany 40 Index (DAX 40) 🇩🇪
Type: Day / Swing Trade Opportunity
🔍 Market Structure & Plan
🔥 Bullish Bias CONFIRMED — Re-Accumulation Phase Detected
Smart money behavior indicates a re-accumulation structure, suggesting continuation of the broader bullish trend after recent correction.
Market recently pulled back ~8–9% monthly → healthy correction before continuation
Price stabilizing above key demand zones → accumulation signs
Trend context: Higher timeframe still bullish
🎯 Trade Execution Plan
💰 Entry:
Flexible entries — scale-in approach allowed across intraday structure
(confirmation-based entries preferred for precision traders)
🎯 Target (TP): 23600
Major resistance zone
Moving averages acting as dynamic supply (⚠️ “police zone”)
Overbought + liquidity trap expected → secure profits smartly
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 22300
Below structure support
Protect capital against invalidation
⚠️ Risk Management Note
Dear Traders,
This setup provides a framework, not financial advice.
You can secure profits earlier based on your strategy
Manage SL/TP based on your risk profile
💡 Your capital → Your control → Your responsibility
🌐 Correlation & Related Markets to Watch
Strong intermarket relationships — watch these closely:
CAPITALCOM:US30 (Dow Jones) → US equity sentiment driver
CAPITALCOM:US500 (S&P 500) → Risk-on / risk-off confirmation
OANDA:EURUSD → Strong euro = pressure on German exports
$GER10Y / Bund Yields → Rising yields can weigh on equities
📊 Key Insight:
If US indices push higher → DE40 follows bullish continuation
Strong USD / weak EUR → bullish for DAX exporters
Risk-off sentiment → fast downside volatility
📰 Fundamental & Macro Drivers (Latest)
📅 Current Market Context (March 2026):
DE40 trading around 23,000 zone after rebound
Market recently impacted by:
Geopolitical tensions (US–Iran risk) → volatility spikes
Heavyweight stock moves (SAP impact) → index sensitivity
📊 Macro Outlook:
ECB potential easing → bullish liquidity support
German fiscal stimulus + infrastructure spending → long-term bullish
PMI data weak → short-term volatility risk
⚠️ Upcoming High-Impact Catalysts:
EUR inflation data (CPI)
ECB policy signals
US macro (affects global risk sentiment)
🧠 Technical Confluence
✔ Re-accumulation structure
✔ Trend continuation bias
✔ Liquidity build-up below highs
✔ Resistance cluster near TP
✔ Correlation alignment
💭 Trader Psychology Edge
Markets move from:
➡️ Accumulation → Manipulation → Distribution
Right now: We are inside accumulation → preparing expansion
⚡ Execution Reminder
Don’t chase price ❌
Let price come to your level ✅
Protect capital first, profits second
🏴☠️ Trader Motivation
💬 “Market rewards discipline, not emotions.”
💬 “Take what the market gives — not what you want.”
💬 “Consistency builds accounts, not luck.”
🔥 Stay sharp. Stay patient. Let the market pay you.
DAX-Bullish Reaction from HTF Demand Price is currently trading into a major higher timeframe support zone, aligned with a bullish order block + FVG from April 2025.
This area represents institutional demand, and we can already observe key reactions:
🔻 Selling pressure is getting absorbed
🔻 Momentum to the downside is weakening
🔻 Price starts to stabilize at lows (weak low formed)
🔍 Lower Timeframe Refinement 15M-5M
After refining into lower timeframes:
✔️ We see a clear slowdown in bearish momentum
✔️ Internal CHoCH to the upside forms
✔️ Early signs of accumulation / shift in order flow
This gives us confirmation that buyers are stepping in.
🎯 Trade Idea
📍 Entry: 21,935 (within demand zone)
📍 Stop Loss: Below the weak low / liquidity
📍 Targets:
• First: internal structure highs
• Second: higher timeframe imbalance / supply
⚡ Confluence
• HTF Bullish Order Block
• HTF FVG (imbalance)
• Sell-side liquidity taken
• Absorption of selling pressure
• LTF market structure shift
🧠 Model Logic
Support → Liquidity Taken → Absorption → Structure Shift → Expansion Up
💡 When selling pressure fades at key HTF demand, smart money is usually accumulating — not selling.
👇
📊 GER40 (DAX) – Bullish Reaction from HTF Demand
Price is currently trading into a major higher timeframe support zone, aligned with a bullish order block + FVG from April 2025.
This area represents institutional demand, and we can already observe key reactions:
🔻 Selling pressure is getting absorbed
🔻 Momentum to the downside is weakening
🔻 Price starts to stabilize at lows (weak low formed)
🔍 Lower Timeframe Refinement
After refining into lower timeframes:
✔️ We see a clear slowdown in bearish momentum
✔️ Internal CHoCH to the upside forms
✔️ Early signs of accumulation / shift in order flow
This gives us confirmation that buyers are stepping in.
🎯 Trade Idea
📍 Entry: 21,935 (within demand zone)
📍 Stop Loss: Below the weak low / liquidity
📍 Targets:
• First: internal structure highs
• Second: higher timeframe imbalance / supply
⚡ Confluence
• HTF Bullish Order Block
• HTF FVG (imbalance)
• Sell-side liquidity taken
• Absorption of selling pressure
• LTF market structure shift
🧠 Model Logic
Support → Liquidity Taken → Absorption → Structure Shift → Expansion Up
💡 When selling pressure fades at key HTF demand, smart money is usually accumulating — not selling.
#DAX #GER40 #SmartMoney #OrderBlock #FVG #TradingView #PriceAction
DAX40 Oversold bounce back capped at 23,133The DAX continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests an oversold bounce back, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 23,113
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
A failed test and rejection at 23,113 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
22,183 – Initial support
21,916 – Intermediate support
21,566 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 23,133):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 23,133 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
23,420 – First resistance
24,640 – Further upside target
Conclusion
DAX remains under bearish pressure, with the 23,133 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as the price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GER30 H4 | Bearish Reversal Off Pullback ResistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise towards our sell entry level at 23,293.42, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 23,976.05, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 21,894.88, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
GER40: SHORT RALLIES!This idea entails a very specific scenario for GER40.
We need to see a rally at the London Open, for the first 15-30 mins.
The rally should push to either one of 2 regions:
1) 22,814: Local Resistance Level
2) 23,075: Low Volume Node (LVN)
If price fails to hold above these 2 levels (Wicking on the 5/15M), that is where we can wait for a retest of those levels (or enter right away) to enter shorts.
We also have to pay attention to volume, making sure that sellers are showing strong signs of taking over when we enter short. We can get further confirmation when price re-enters and closes strongly below VWAP.
The macro intuition behind this is that Brent oil prices are still hiking, and US equities still in the red, so i expect a large move to the downside. However, I do not want to sell blindly (or low) and will look for a short-term rally/retracement before entering shorts.
If you choose to follow this analysis, please wait for confirmations, or just use it as a supplement for your own ideas.
This is why you don´t sell into Demand Price tapped into a high timeframe bullish order block + FVG,
and what happened next?
👉 Selling pressure got absorbed
👉 Market structure shifted
👉 Clean bullish expansion
📍 Entry: 21,935
🎯 TP1: Hit ✔️
Smart money buys where retail panics.
Follow for more high-probability setups 📈🔥
#trading #smartmoney #forex #dax #priceaction #ict
GER30 H1 | Bearish Reversal SetupBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price towards our sell entry level at 22,690.92, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 23,077.08, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 21,998.00, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
DAX 40 Falls as Middle East Tensions Weigh on Risk AssetsThe DAX 40 index is correcting near 22822.0, with investor sentiment pressured by the escalation of tensions in the Middle East and capital rotation into safe-haven assets such as gold and the US dollar.
Growing geopolitical risks and rising energy costs continue to weigh on European equities.
⸻
Energy Risks Pressure German Economy
German Economy Minister Katherina Reiche warned of increasing risks to the energy market amid the US-Iran standoff:
• Rising gasoline and diesel prices
• Higher aviation fuel costs
• Risk of supply disruptions by late April
Germany remains vulnerable due to external energy dependence.
According to the German Economic Institute:
• Potential losses up to €40 billion
• Rising inflation pressure
• Weakening industrial outlook
These factors increase the risk of stagflation and may influence ECB policy expectations.
⸻
Weak German Data Adds Pressure
Recent economic data also weighed on sentiment:
• Business expectations: 86.0 (down from 90.2)
• Current conditions: 86.7 (above forecast)
• IFO business climate: 86.4 (down from 88.4)
The mixed data highlights fragile economic recovery.
⸻
Rising Bond Yields Reduce Risk Appetite
European bond yields remain elevated:
• 5-year bonds: 2.720%
• 10-year bonds: 2.953%
• 20-year bonds: 3.367%
• 30-year bonds: 3.425%
Higher yields reduce demand for equities and pressure risk assets.
⸻
Top Movers in DAX 40
Gainers
• Siemens Energy (+4.55%)
• Infineon (+3.51%)
• Deutsche Bank (+3.22%)
• RWE (+3.19%)
• Commerzbank (+3.02%)
Decliners
• Deutsche Börse (−1.08%)
• SAP (−0.49%)
• Deutsche Telekom (−0.37%)
• Siemens Healthineers (−0.19%)
• Deutsche Post (−0.36%)
⸻
Technical Analysis
The index remains in a corrective trend within an expanding formation:
• Pattern range: 26000–21500
• Bearish pressure remains dominant
Indicators:
• Alligator: bearish signal
• AO: forming negative bars
⸻
Key Levels
Resistance
• 23200.0
• 24100.0
Support
• 22400.0
• 21800.0
⸻
Trading Scenarios
Bearish Scenario
Sell below 22400.0
• Entry: 22399.5
• Target: 21800.0
• Stop-loss: 22800.0
• Timeframe: 7 days or more
⸻
Bullish Scenario
Buy above 23200.0
• Entry: 23200.5
• Target: 24100.0
• Stop-loss: 22800.0
⸻
Outlook
DAX 40 remains under pressure from geopolitical risks, energy concerns, and weak economic data.
• Break below 22400 → bearish continuation
• Break above 23200 → corrective rebound
Short-term bias remains bearish.
Technical Analysis Weekly (30-02-26)Germany 40 continues to trade well below the VWAP as bearish momentum persists following the sharp sell-off of recent weeks. The RSI remains depressed but has recovered from its most extreme readings. The index remains in an impulsive mode, with the VWAP and downtrend line acting as the first meaningful resistance overhead.
Wall Street remains under pressure, continuing to trade below the VWAP as the bearish trend persists. The RSI is holding in oversold-adjacent territory, suggesting sellers remain in control, though the pace of decline has moderated slightly. A reclaim of the VWAP is needed to shift the near-term bias.
UK 100 has pulled back sharply from its all-time highs and is trading below the VWAP, though it is showing tentative signs of stabilisation after the recent steep decline. The RSI has recovered from its most oversold levels and is now in moderate territory, suggesting selling pressure may be easing. The index remains in an impulsive phase until a sustained move back above the VWAP.
GBP/USD has been trading in a 200-pip range for most of March, now trading below a flat VWAP. The RSI has softened to 40 after touching 50, reflecting the modest but steady bearish pressure. The long-term range remains intact, and the pair will need to take out the high or lows of the range to start a new trend.
EUR/USD is back below the VWAP after a strong bounce off long term support ~1.14 with the bearish trend persisting. The RSI is hovering around the mid-40s, reflecting a neutral-to-bearish bias rather than extreme pessimism. A move back above 1.16 would be required to shift the near-term outlook, while a break below the recent swing low at 1.14 would reinforce the downtrend.
USD/JPY continues to trade near its highs but volatility has compressed around 160 and it is only just above the VWAP. The RSI remains comfortably above the midpoint, suggesting healthy momentum. A decisive break and hold above 160 would be a significant technical development, while a fakeout would open a return to 2026 lows.
Gold remains well below the VWAP, though selling pressure has eased after a long pin-bar ~4100. The RSI has recovered only slightly from oversold territory, suggesting the lows might still not be in. However, bulls will need to reclaim the VWAP to signal a genuine recovery is underway rather than just a temporary pause in the downtrend.
Brent Crude is sitting inside a volatile triangle pattern as it continues to trade above the VWAP, maintaining the broader bullish structure. The RSI has eased from overbought levels into more neutral territory, consistent with a healthy consolidation after the explosive move higher. The uptrend means a breakout is higher probability but a breakdown through the triangle support and VWAO could signal a double top.
Short DAX => 16 K Today it happened. Next week will likely be one of the biggest bearish weeks in recent years. We've broken through a crucial support level. The last few days have seen the completion of the expanding triangle formation, with a characteristic completion of 50% of the move. A 50% move is quite typical for wave 2. If we've entered wave 3, the coming days will be quite dynamic. These are several overlapping signs. We also have a Wyckoff pattern. Cash accumulation by large players, war, rising oil prices, and the impending credit crisis (Blackrock, etc.).
DAX eyes 22000 as the first stop of the Bear Cycle.Exactly a month ago (February 20, see chart below) gave a strong Sell Signal on DAX (DE40) as the price was about to get rejected near its recurring Lower Highs pattern:
Not only did our 24000 short-term Target get hit but the price also touched the 9-month Support Zone.
Now back to the long-term 1W time-frame, we see that DAX is so far repeating two recent patterns: February 2022 and October 2023. The first was the start of the 2022 Bear Cycle and the second the first sub 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) correction since the Bear Cycle bottom.
The structure that has preceded all three patterns is identical. Higher Highs rise on a Bullish Megaphone pattern that broke below both its 1D MA150 (black trend-line) and the 1W MA50, before testing the Support. However, the 2023 correction stopped on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement (blue) level and the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), while the 2022 Bear Cycle naturally crashed much lower.
The current pattern has already tested (and held) the 0.382 Fib and eyes the 1W MA100 next. At the same time it is about to touch the 3-year Channel Up bottom for the first time since the March 2025 Tariff War crash. As a result, if it breaks below, it is a first confirmation that the price action is closer to the 2022 Bear Cycle than the 'weaker' 2023 correction.
In any case, the 1W MA100 is waiting for a price contact around 22000 based on its current trajectory. If it breaks below and confirms the Bear Cycle without a doubt, we expect the index to eventually complete again a -27.50% decline in total, targeting 18500. That would be marginally below the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement (dashed) level, just like the October 2022 bottom was, which even breached marginally the 1M MA100 (red trend-line) that is the stock market's multi-year Support.
On a sidenote, notice how the 1W RSI hit the 36.50 level, which is of high symmetrical importance as it supported the October 23 2023 Low, while at the same time it was breached on February 21 2022, when DAX broke below the Megaphone's Support. Perfect market symmetry among fractals that always explains a lot.
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Heading towards pullback resistance?GER40 is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 23,351.22
Stop loss: 23,864.48
Take profit: 22,737.32
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Dax-Bullish Setup 🔍 Market Context
Market structure is bullish (clear BOS)
Price broke out of a range / accumulation
Currently approaching:
Breaker Order Block (BE.OB) → resistance
Daily FVG above → liquidity target
Below price:
Demand zones (discount area)
Equal Lows (EQL) → liquidity pool
👉 Overall Bias: BULLISH
⚡ Scenario 1 — Breakout Entry (Aggressive)
✔️ Conditions:
Strong candle closes above BE.OB
No bearish CHoCH
Clear bullish momentum
🎯 Entry:
Buy:
On breakout
OR
On small pullback after breakout
❌ Stop Loss:
Below last Higher Low / below OB (~23,750 zone)
🎯 Take Profit:
TP1: internal liquidity
TP2: Daily FVG
TP3: Strong High
👉 Style: fast execution, higher risk
🎯 Scenario 2 — Sniper Entry (Pure ICT)
This is the high-probability setup.
✔️ What to wait for:
Price breaks above BE.OB (liquidity grab)
Then pulls back
On lower timeframe (M1–M5):
Look for CHoCH (bullish shift)
Entry from:
FVG
Order Block
Breaker Block
🎯 Entry:
Buy from:
Lower timeframe FVG
Small OB inside the pullback
👉 Best entry:
Around 50%–62% retracement (discount zone) of the impulse
❌ Stop Loss:
Below local low (tight stop)
🎯 Take Profit:
TP1: previous high
TP2: Daily FVG
TP3: Liquidity above (Strong High)
👉 Style: high RR (1:5+), low risk
⚠️ Alternative Scenario (Bearish Shift)
If:
Price fails at BE.OB
Forms a bearish CHoCH
👉 Then:
Short towards demand zone
Targets:
Equal Lows (EQL)
Weak Low
🧭 Simple Trading Checklist
Bias:
✔️ Bullish
Avoid:
❌ Buying directly into resistance without confirmation
Look for:
✅ Liquidity sweep
✅ CHoCH on lower timeframe
✅ Entry from FVG / OB
✅ Continuation to Daily FVG
💡 Core ICT Idea Here:
Breakout = speed
Sniper entry = precision & consistency
DAX40 Momentum Shift: Layered Buy Setup for Clean Profit Flow🚀 DAX40 (GER40) BULLISH BREAKOUT ALERT! | Layer Strategy for MAX Gains 🚀
📈 DAX40 BULLISH BREAKOUT CONFIRMED! 🏆 (Swing/Day Trade Setup with Layer Entry)
📊 Idea: Strong bullish momentum on the GER40 / DAX 40 following a decisive breakout above key moving averages! Perfect setup for a structured "thief-style" layered entry to capitalize on the trend.
🔑 KEY LEVELS & PLAN:
Trend: Bullish (MA Breakout Confirmation)
Entry Strategy: "Thief" Layer Method 🎯
Use multiple BUY LIMIT orders at key dips: 23,600 | 23,700 | 23,800 | 23,900 (Add more layers based on your capital).
This averages your entry and maximizes opportunity on pullbacks.
Stop Loss (SL): 23,400 (Thief OG's Zone ⚠️).
IMPORTANT NOTE: Adjust your SL based on YOUR risk tolerance & strategy! This is a guide, not financial advice. Protect your capital.
Take Profit (TP): Target Zone: 24,500 🎯
Strong resistance & potential overbought trap area. Secure profits wisely!
REMINDER: Manage your own TP. Take money at your own risk.
💎 PRO TRADER NOTES:
This "thief" layer strategy requires patience & discipline. Let the market come to your orders. Never risk more than 1-2% per layer. Trade with a plan, not emotion!
🌍 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (KEY CORRELATIONS):
FX:EURUSD : INVERSE Correlation. A stronger Euro can pressure DAX (export-heavy index). Watch for USD weakness supporting DAX rallies.
CAPITALCOM:US30 (Dow Jones) / SP:SPX (S&P 500): POSITIVE Correlation. US market strength often lifts European indices. Key for overall risk sentiment.
ICMARKETS:STOXX50 (Euro Stoxx 50): HIGH Correlation. Broader European index performance.
BUND Futures (/FGBL): INVERSE Correlation. Rising German bond yields (falling prices) can signal economic optimism, often supporting DAX.
EUR/GBP ( OANDA:EURGBP ): UK/EU economic relative strength flows.
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