Dollar Monthly CLS Model 1New CLS range created and Im looking for Short Model 1 trade setup. As always after the manipulation above the CLS range and reaction from the key level. We need to see confirmation switch from the manipulation phase - CIOD (change in order flow).
⏳ Stay patient and enter only after candle close.
🎯 Target: 50% of the CLS range.
🎥 CLS Model 1 Video Explanation 📚 Bearish CLS Strategy Structure KyvFjErR 📈 Don't just follow the idea blindly, Study past Examples
• 📈 EURUSD — Daily CLS Model 1 Short
• 📈 GBPUSD — Daily CLS Model 1 Short
• 📈 USDCHF — Daily CLS Model 1 Long
• 📈 BTCUSD — Daily CLS Model 1 Long
⚠️ Note:
The strategy is solid, but I’m not perfect. I may miss something or make a mistake that I don’t see at the moment of posting.That’s why proper risk management is always part of the game.
🟣 I promised myself I’d become the person I once needed the most as a beginner. Below are links to a lessons I shared on Tradingview. Hope it can help you avoid years of mistakes, trial and errors I went thru.
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Adapt useful, Reject useless and add what is specifically yours.
David Perk
U.S. Dollar Index
No trades
In-depth trading ideas
26.03.26 Daily ForecastPairs on Watch -
FX:EURNZD : A really great structure shaping up here for the longs into the top of the range. We need this middle section to complete and the last leg to form before we can look for a risk entry at the ray line. If this does not happen, the sells could be available from the highs if we see a turnaround, or price impulsively breaks out and forms a structure above for the longs. Multiple opportunities here.
FX:USDJPY : You have to read between the lines slightly on this pair due to the sequence leading into the current structure not being the best. However, we can already see what price is trying to do when building this 1H flag and now we just have to be patient for an entry. There is a gap to the previous highs which I am aware of, so development and timeframes are key here incase price dips out to retest the area.
March 2020 vs March 2026 — The Setup, Not the CoincidenceTake a step back and really look at this.
In March 2020 , the market didn’t just crash randomly.
It set up first.
The dollar showed its hand…
Liquidity was shifting…
And if you were paying attention, the signs were there before the move. Before the "pandemic" actually had us shut down.. and I capitalized back then also. I was in position!!
Now fast forward to today, March 23rd, 2026.
No major news. Check Forex Factory for yourself..
No clear catalyst.
But we saw aggressive movement on the dollar…
Displacement, instability, and behavior that doesn’t align with “normal” conditions.
So the real question is…
Is this coincidence?
Or is this another setup forming right in front of us?
USD Behavior = Early Signal (always)
The dollar is not moving with strength right now.
It’s showing weakness… but not in a clean, trending way.
It’s erratic.
It’s sweeping.
It’s taking liquidity from both sides.
That’s not random.
That’s positioning.
And if you understand how money flows…
You know the dollar doesn’t move like this without something building underneath the surface.
This Is Where Traders Get Lost
Most people will ignore this.
They’ll keep trading patterns.
Keep forcing entries.
Keep thinking “this setup looks valid.”
And then get wiped when the real move expands.
Because they’re focused on the chart…
But not what’s driving the chart.
Not a Conspiracy. A Warning.
This isn’t about fear.
This is about awareness.
If you can’t recognize when the market shifts from clean structure
to liquidity-driven behavior…
You’re going to get caught in moves you don’t understand.
And that’s where traders spiral into:
“I thought I knew what I was doing…”
But the environment changed… and they didn’t.
Final Thought
I’m grateful to be in position.
Not just financially… but mentally.
To see the market for what it is.
To stay patient.
And to execute with intention when the opportunity presents itself.
Sharpen your eyes.
Because right now…
This market is not for guessing.
— Coach Max 👑
24.03.26 Daily ForecastPairs on Watch -
FX:EURUSD : No pressing setup that I am looking for on either of these pairs, but more so keeping them on watch as they move with the DXY. We could see this pair make its way up to the next high before sells come in, which would mean the DXY finding its base and the longs coming in. More development needed on this pair.
FX:GBPUSD : Very similar to EURUSD, I am remaining neutral on both of these pairs with the outlook of the DXY being that it could make its way to the low, but also break out of this corrective leg sooner than we think. As long as we stay sharp and on the ball, when the momentum comes in we will be ready for it.
US Dollar: Higher OIL Prices Pull The USD Up With It!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Mar 30 - Apr 3.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
THE USD swept the low of the previous week, and closed last week with bullish momentum.
I am bullish in this market, and anticipate the USD will move higher, as the conflict in the ME pushes crude oil prices higher... pulling the USD along with it.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DXY Analysis (as of Mar 31, 2026, price ≈100.22)DXY Analysis (as of Mar 31, 2026, price ≈100.22)
Quick Chart SnapshotDaily (1D):
Long downtrend from 2022 peak (114) → sharp 2025 drop to ~96 low → now recovering exactly to a major horizontal Weekly S&R line at 100.22. Overhead resistance at **110 (Daily S&R)**.
4H:
Recent strong rally along an ascending trendline (S/R 4H). Price has just pushed above the 100 level with clean higher highs/lows.
Bullish Scenario
Price holds above 100.22 (especially a weekly close).
→ First target: 102–104
→ Next big target: 106–110 (the Daily S&R line)
Confirmation = continued higher highs/lows on 4H + strong volume on upside.
Bearish Scenario
Price rejects 100.22 (common at such a heavy level).
→ Drops back toward 96–97 lows
→ Could accelerate lower if it breaks the 4H trendline
This would continue the bigger multi-year downtrend from 2022/2025 highs.Bottom line: We’re at a pivotal make-or-break level. Watch how price reacts at 100.22 this week — that decides bullish breakout vs. bearish rejection.
US Dollar Index Resumes Bullish Path After Key Support ReactionUS Dollar Index Resumes Bullish Path After Key Support Reaction
Over the past week, DXY made a deeper correction to 98.94, where it also found very strong support.
DXY returned to the top of the structure by creating a new historical record level near 100.60.
So far, the price is rising as we expected from our old analysis and considering the way the US dollar has been behaving recently, the chances of DXY continuing the upward movement are higher.
It may take time considering that Trump is still making the markets a mess every day, but the direction remains up, but with no signs of reversal.
Key targets:
101.8 and 103.30
You may find more details in the chart.
Thank you and good luck! 🍀
❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️
Previous analysis:
DXY BUYS DXY - ACCUMULATION
Price was initially a distribution in my eyes but i've now changed my bias as i'm now seeing it as a much larger 4h accumulation due to the fact that we had the break but we failed to close below the area i've marked out as my new spring.
I now want to see a break and re test of the trendline for me to start look for long positions
leave your thoughts down below !
DXY H1 | Could We See A Reversal From Here?The price is reacting off our sell entry level, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Our stop loss is set at 100.02, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 98.86, which is a pullback support.
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Gold tracks the US Dollar's performance vs inflation.Gold tracks the US Dollar's performance vs inflation.
statistically positive trend correlation above this line
statistically inverse trend correlation below this line
gold failing to keep up with purchasing power degradation (period of no correlation)
USD: Final CountdownTick Tock... Can you hear that? The clock is ticking down. DXY is sitting at the last stage of consolidation, and all that's left is to pull the trigger. Destination: Stratosphere.
# - - - - -
Technicals:
1. : The price has been consolidating above the bottom Support Line of the Long-Term Global Ascending Trend Channel for 350 days as of today. This price behavior suggests that the market may have found a global bottom, indicating that institutional capital is accumulating USD.
2. : The horizontal accumulation channel at resistance/support levels has formed dense order clusters and contains an enormous amount of volume. This range will act as a spring, potentially catapulting the price once it breaks through either the upper or lower boundary..
3. : The psychological mark of $100.00 plays only the orientation role, the more important point is that, taking into account the repeatedly retest of $100.00 mark as bulls are sticking to it from below, the potential upward breakthrough move will be fueled by hunting the numerous stop-losses above the $100.00 and up to $103.50 , which have been set by traders who traded all the time in the channel range.
4. : If price passes through the next target will be:
- the 1D Imbalance zone ,
- the local High at $110.00 and
- the Upper Boundary of Long-term Trend Channel between $118.00 and $122.00
5. : The main targets in time for this 12-15 month long trend are:
- The 250th Anniversary of US Independence ( July 4, 2026, and the following 2–3 weeks ).;
- The US Midterm Elections ( on and around November 3, 2026 );
- The US Inauguration and post-election period, coinciding with the 2026 Annual Corporate Reporting season ( throughout February 2027 );
- Projected turnaround point for Wave 3 ( End of March 2027 ).
# - - - - -
Conclusion:
That being said, the probability of the near-term upward movement for USD is very HIGH.
Note: Before the price brakes above, in worst case there could still be a retest of 0.618 Fibo or even the retest of bottom support at $97.40 . So be aware.
# - - - - -
Long-Term LONG SETUP:
✅ Entry Point 1 : Market
✅ Entry Point 2 : TRIGGER Above $100.70
🛑 Stop-Loss: $94.20
🤑 Target 1: $105.70
🤑 Target 2: $110.37
🤑 Target 3: $117.97
🕒 Timeframe: 15 months
The scenario will be invalidated if we see a strong close of 1D candle below $95.30 .
# - - - - -
Good Luck! ☺️
# - - - - -
DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Everyone must make trading decisions at their own risk, guided only by their own criteria and strategy for opening or not opening a trade.
# - - - - -
P.S. Check out my other DXY analyses in Related Publications on the right >>>
P.P.S Follow me to stay updated on this and others setups
Bullish momentum to extend?US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot and could rise towards the 1st resistance, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 99.49
1st Support: 98.49
1st Resistance: 101.98
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
DXY 4H: Compression → Expansion Setup BuildingThe U.S. Dollar Index is showing a clean transition from consolidation into a structured push higher, with price gradually stepping up after a period of compression. The earlier tight ranges have resolved into directional movement, suggesting momentum is beginning to build.
The current leg appears corrective within a broader move, with price approaching a zone where reactions typically occur. The structure hints at a potential shift in short-term momentum, where continuation may slow and give way to a retracement before the next expansion phase.
Overall, the market is moving from balance into imbalance, and the next move will likely be driven by how price behaves in this current region. A rejection here could open the door for a short-term pullback, while acceptance may fuel further upside continuation.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
Bearish reversal off 50% Fib resistance?US Dollar index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 99.52
1st Support: 98.43
1st Resistance: 100.49
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Dollar Index (DXY): Accumulation Stage?!
I see a contraction in the price action on Dollar Index.
It suggests a highly probable ongoing bullish accumulation.
Our strong signal will be a breakout and a daily candle close
above a falling trend line.
It will push the index at least to the current high 100.5
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US Dollar tests 100 breakout as divergence warns of DXY pullbackThe US Dollar Index is on track for its strongest monthly gain since July 2025, rising nearly 3% in March as safe-haven demand surged during the Middle East conflict. But despite that strength, DXY appears to be struggling to establish itself above the key 100 psychological level, with traders watching whether the breakout can hold until Wednesday’s close.
Geopolitical headlines remain the main macro driver. President Donald Trump said the US is in serious talks aimed at ending the conflict with Iran, but he also renewed threats against Iran’s energy infrastructure, while thousands of US Army paratroopers have arrived in the region as the military buildup intensifies. That keeps the broader dollar narrative supportive, but technically, fading momentum could be an early signal of locking in profits.
Key topics covered
- March safe-haven rally : DXY is closing Q1 with a powerful monthly gain after January weakened and February was mixed (inside bar), confirming the dollar's role as one of the market’s preferred havens during geopolitical stress.
- The 100 breakout test : The key question now is whether the index can deliver another daily close above 100 and confirm that this is a genuine breakout rather than a temporary push above resistance.
- RSI divergence warning : On the daily chart, price has pushed higher while momentum has not kept pace, creating a clear bearish divergence. That does not imply a macro reversal, but it does increase the probability of a technical correction from current levels.
- Broadening pattern resistance : The chart still resembles a broadening formation, and current price action is approaching a major resistance cluster between the 38.2% and 61.80% extension zone, roughly 100.90 to 101.10.
DXY scenarios & trade plan:
- Bearish technical correction : This is the short-term setup. As long as DXY trades into the 100.70 to 100.90 area, and especially if it stretches toward 101.00 to 101.10, that zone can be treated as resistance for a tactical short trade rather than a macro bearish call. A stop can sit just above 101.10/101.20, with downside targets at 100.00 first, then the 99.70 area, followed by 98.90 and potentially 98.50 if profit-taking accelerates.
- Bullish continuation : If the index breaks cleanly above 100.90 and then 101.10, the bearish divergence starts to weaken and the breakout gains more credibility. In that case, the move higher is no longer a false break above the November high, and the door opens to a broader continuation instead of the pullback scenario.
So the bias here is downside for a technical correction, not because the dollar's macro safe-haven story is broken, but because the chart is stretched into resistance while momentum is fading. The plan is simple: watch the 100.70–101.10 resistance zone, respect 100 as the first profit area on shorts, and stay flexible if headlines on Iran suddenly shift sentiment again.
Are you fading the breakout above 100 or waiting for confirmation above 101 first?
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US Dollar Index Extends Uptrend as Wave 5 Targets 101The US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to trade within a well-defined uptrend, with recent price action reinforcing a bullish outlook on the 4-hour chart. The latest recovery appears impulsive in nature, following a controlled pullback toward the 99.00 level, which aligns closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
This retracement structure suggests the formation of a classic Wave 4 correction within a larger impulsive sequence. From this support zone, the market has resumed higher, indicating that Wave 5 may now be underway.
Additional confirmation of bullish momentum comes from the recent breakout above the upper boundary of a downward-sloping corrective channel. This technical development typically signals the end of a correction and the continuation of the prevailing trend.
As long as price action holds above the 99.00 support area, the focus remains on further upside, with the next key target seen near the 101.00 level. This zone could mark the completion of the current impulsive structure.
However, traders should remain cautious as the market approaches this resistance. A completed five-wave sequence would likely be followed by a broader ABC corrective phase, potentially driving the index back toward the 99.00–98.00 support region.
In summary, the short-term outlook for the Dollar Index remains bullish, but signs of exhaustion near 101 could open the door for a corrective pullback in the sessions ahead.
Bullish momentum to extend?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 99.47
1st Support: 98.94
1st Resistance: 100.18
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
DXY Forecast: Double Bottom in Sight?The broader view for the index from the 2008 low remains bullish, as price action holds above the 96 mark and the lower bound of the respected 18-year channel. A possible double bottom formation can be seen extending on the chart between the lows of June 2025 and January 2026, testing the 100.50 neckline.
Bullish scenario:
Closing back above 99.50 and 100.50 exposes the index to a bullish breakout towards the 101.80 and 104.40 marks, completing a double bottom reversal target. This scenario would likely coincide with Middle East conflict escalations, leading to further disruptions in oil supply routes and facilities, contributing to higher inflation risks and more hawkish rate policies.
Bearish scenario:
Closing back below the 98.80 mark extends bearish forecasts down towards the 98.50 and 98 marks for a potential bullish hold. If not, a deeper retracement exposes the index to another test of the channel’s borders near the 96 zone, reinforcing either another bullish rebound or a long-term bearish breakout. This scenario would likely coincide with US–Middle East conflict de-escalation and oil price unwinds.






















