ETHEREUM (ETH/USD): Bearish Wave Ahead, Here's Why!It appears that ⚠️Ethereum formed another historical trend line, which may lead to a significant price decline once it is violated.
The current price action bears a resemblance to the corrective movement seen from November to January, which followed a substantial sell off.
During that period, the correction respected a rising trend line, and its eventual violation initiated a strong selling wave.
We are currently observing a similar pattern, with a minor bullish trend following an ascending trend line.
A violation of this trend line could potentially trigger another phase of selling, with a high probability of the price continuing towards 1600.
In-depth trading ideas
Bearish reversal setup?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse towards the 1st support.
Pivot: 2,211.97
1st Suport: 2,041.82
1st Resistance: 2,389.45
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Downtrend Intact for EthereumThe Ethereum chart shows a clear bearish trend as price continues forming lower highs and lower lows within a descending channel 📉. Multiple rejections from resistance zones confirm strong selling pressure, while the breakdown below key support signals further downside continuation. The cloud structure and moving averages also support bearish momentum, keeping sellers in control. Recent price action shows weak recovery followed by another rejection, indicating limited buying strength. If price remains below resistance, further decline is expected toward 1936.2 as the first target, followed by 1863.4 as the second target 🎯🔥.
If you found this XAUUSD analysis helpful, don’t forget to LIKE 👍 and COMMENT 💬!
ETHUSD Technical Analysis: Structure + Statistics [MaB] - 15min ETHUSD SHORT Technical Analysis: Structure + Statistics
1. The Technical Setup (The "Where") 📉
Timeframe: 15m | Pair: ETHUSD
The SMC Market Structure + Price Zones indicator has confirmed our statistical edge. Here's the probabilistic data from the dashboard:
🚀 Continuation Rate (72%): We are currently above the 60% threshold. This confirms a healthy directional trend where continuation has a much higher probability than a reversal.
🔥 Streak Analysis (0): We are currently on impulse number 0.
* Expected Streak: 3 (Percentile: 50%)
* Remaining Moves: 3
This indicates a Young trend. The statistical range (20th-80th pct) suggests a typical duration of 2-4 impulses.
🔄 Retest & Reaction:
* Retest Prob (59.3%): The probability of the price returning to test the zone after a BOS.
* BOS/Ret Rate (59.6%): Once inside the zone, this is the probability of a positive reaction leading to a new BOS.
🎯 Extension & Projection:
* Extension Range: The expected extension for this single leg is between 1.68x and 3.52x (Expected: 1.97x).
* Compound Extension (3.76x): This is the total projected move based on the remaining expected impulses. By multiplying the current zone height by this factor, we find our ultimate target.
2. Execution Plan on Chart 🎯
Moving over to the charts, we are using these statistics to define our operational levels:
📍 Entry and Stop Loss: We are placing a limit entry within the Supply Zone 15m (Pink/Red Band) . The stop loss is tucked a few pips outside the zone to protect against structural invalidation.
🏁 Statistical Take Profit: Instead of an arbitrary target, we are leveraging the Compound Extension . We project the target at 3.76x relative to the pullback zone height. This allows us to capture the full extension projected by the algorithm. 🏆
Trade Parameters:
💰 Entry Price: 2,168.4
🛡️ Stop Loss: 2,198.6
🏆 Take Profit: 1,963.7
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is based on a proprietary algorithm and is shared exclusively for educational and didactic purposes. It does not constitute financial advice or investment solicitation in any way. Trading involves significant risk.
ETHUSD: HODOR!Resistance is broken! But the battle isn't over. The bulls have taken the fortress, and now they must HODOR to confirm the new trend. But will they hold the door against the drop?
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Technicals:
1. Since the beginning of February, ETH is trading above and below the Long-Term Support/Resistance zone which has played a significant role over the last 2 years.
2. In most cases the above mentioned S/R zone gets protected by trending party. That means if bears push the price below the zone, they usually defend it to ensure further trend continuation. Same applies to the bulls.
3. Current price behavior (presuming price remains above $2138.0 ) looks like bear exhaustion and bullish strength. If you take a look at resistance (blue circles) and support (green circles) you will see:
- Bears defending $2150.0 since 5 Feb. 2026 with slight stop-hunts above the level, and
- Bulls setting higher lows 4 times in a row, pinning the price to the zone
4. With the bears losing control the bulls pushed the price up to $2380.0 . Whether it was a false breakout or not the time will show. After that the price retested the support zone once again but bounced outside on the news of 5-day ceasefire in Iran.
5. There are plenty of Liquidity Pockets above and below the S/R zone, which represent the targets for funds and other trading algorithms working for funds.
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Conclusion:
IF the price holds above zone and there will be no EVERYTHING-CHANGING news , the ETHUSD will most likely find the local bottom and move to $2749.3 as a 1st Target.
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LONG SETUP:
✅ Entry Point: TRIGGER Above $2178.7
🛑 Stop-Loss: $1982.5
🤑 Target: $2749.3
The scenario will be invalidated if we see a strong close of 2 (two) 4H candles below $2015.0
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Good Luck! ☺️
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DISCLAIMER : Not financial advice. Everyone must make trading decisions at their own risk, guided only by their own criteria and strategy for opening or not opening a trade.
# - - - - -
P.S Find a more detailed analysis on ETH in Related Publications >>>
P.P.S Are you a trader or a HODLer on crypto? Share your approach in comments below 👇
ETHUSD Short-Term Reversal SetupEthereum is showing a clear bearish market structure after breaking multiple support levels (BOS) and forming a descending channel. Price has recently dropped sharply into a strong demand zone around the 1,950–2,000 area, where a short-term consolidation is forming. This suggests a possible relief bounce from demand before continuation or deeper confirmation.
The immediate upside target lies around **2,080–2,100**, aligning with previous structure resistance and the marked target point. If momentum sustains, price may test the lower boundary of the Ichimoku cloud acting as dynamic resistance.
Overall bias remains bearish unless price reclaims higher structure, but a **short-term bullish pullback toward 2,100** is expected from the demand zone.
ETH 3-Day Whipsaw Signals Next Wave Down?It’s been a bearish weekend, and stock indexes look like they may print impulsive downside soon enough.
That may have a knock-on effect in crypto.
ETH looks like a slightly better short opportunity compared to Bitcoin.
There is now a very significant bearish whipsaw on the 3-day chart. That may represent a corrective mini blow-off top completing, which could signal the next wave down beginning.
Of course there are risks. ETH is already quite deep and it is not impossible that price could still make a slightly higher high.
But this may simply start slipping lower into a selling climax, which could offer substantial profit potential on the short side.
April 2025 support (or slightly above to front-run it) looks like a medium time frame area to take profit if price can reach that zone.
Not advice.
ETHUSD (1H): Forecast Remains BearishEthereum is currently transitioning into a corrective phase after completing a local impulsive structure to the upside. The recent rejection from the highs suggests weakening bullish momentum, with price now showing early signs of distribution on the lower timeframe.
The current structure appears corrective rather than impulsive, indicating that the market may be preparing for the next directional move. Price action is compressing below a key resistance zone, which increases the likelihood of a continuation lower if buyers fail to regain control.
At this stage, two primary scenarios are unfolding:
Price may retrace into the 2,200–2,300 resistance zone, aligning with the 0.5–0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, before facing rejection and continuing lower.
Alternatively, price may continue declining from current levels, signaling sustained selling pressure and confirming bearish intent.
The highlighted resistance zone remains the key area to monitor. It represents a confluence of prior structure and Fibonacci levels, making it a high-probability reaction zone. A rejection from this region would reinforce the bearish outlook and support the development of a stronger impulsive move to the downside.
On the downside, the current support around the 2,050 region acts as an immediate level of interest. A decisive break below this level would likely confirm bearish continuation and open the path toward lower targets, with the 1,750 region aligning with a potential 1.618 extension.
From a broader perspective, Ethereum may also be influenced by external factors this week. Macroeconomic data, shifts in overall crypto market sentiment, and Bitcoin’s directional movement remain key drivers. Additionally, ecosystem-specific developments, such as network activity or institutional flows, could contribute to volatility.
As long as price remains below the key resistance zone around 2,300, the overall structure continues to favor the bearish case.
To ETH or Not to ETH - That is the Question!!!Hey, Traders and Happy Saturday to you. Well, the Crypto market continues to bounce around make repeated attempts to sucker buyers into the expected bull run again. So far, every energized bull attempt has been met with a Bear Slap to push it back down. We've focused a lot on BTC these past several posts, and I wanted to do a review on ETH to see what the market is telling us at this point. Is it going up? Is it going down? Or what in the world is happening. The Focus for today is purely on the Weekly Chart, so this structure is not dealing with the lower time frame moves that may play out over a week. The weekly candles are all we are interested in here.
So, where are we now?:
Well, for the past 7 months we have been on a steady fall, and despite all the fundamental reasons that ETH should be pumping, it has yet to find the bottom that every anxious buyer has been looking for. This started with a structural break on the daily back in August 2025 and that was confirmed in Sept (NOTE: before the so called October Flash Crash). The main issue at that time was that even though price pushed to an ATH of near $5000, the closest valid Weekly Demand Zone was a 45% pullback away (near $2700). So, we've seen a slow and steady bleed back to that level. And, the week of Feb 9 gave us the first in a year BOS down on the weekly. We are now sitting below that weekly zone, in an attempt to retest it and break back above.
So, what is next?:
From here, this Weekly Demand Zone that has taken months to draw the price back down is a strong area. But, this break below it is a major issue structurally, and there are only 3 real ways in my opinion to resolve it. Surprisingly, I can see 2 bullish cases and 1 bearish one. Those odds sound good, until you consider that the Bear case is a strong one. Here are the options I see:
1. A bullish response from this long awaited demand zone that pushes the price back up above it and establishes a significant floor. The H4 has already given us a BOS up to signal that the bear pressure may be finally weakening. This H4 BOS up is returning to its source and if that source holds (no closes below ~1820), then it could finally be Champagne and Caviar for the Bulls (uh...more like Clearly Canadian and ...maybe Crablegs for me). That is the least likely outcome from what I can see now, but we will know in the coming week or so.
2. The 2nd option is a continued fall, but with the goal of filling some of the more recent Fair Value Gaps and Key Levels from the "Ran up too much and too fast" push that led to the All Time High to begin with. There is a FVG around $1740 that is like a magnet screaming "come just a little closer and I can grab you". There is also a Key Monthly Level I have at around $1580 that could be the strongest support yet to finally stop the bleeding. A pull back to either of these with a strong bullish response could mean that the market has enough liquidity to push back up and never look back again. This is the most likely scenario in my opinion, mostly because today's ETH is not what ETH was 4 years ago. Some of the fundamental and economical systems in place now are likely strong enough to keep us from revisiting "blood bath" territory of the levels in option 3. So, for option 2 to play out, we need to see a strong bull response out of this FVG or Monthly Level with a structural break and retest at least on the daily.
3. The 3rd option is one nobody wants to hear, but there is a strong structural reason why it could play out. There are still several significant imbalances in the structure of ETH that may have been acceptable for a truly Decentralized Cryptocurrency that has gone global. But, with the infiltration of institutional money, ETFs, and all the other contaminants of Crypto, the amount of money pouring into the market for the long-term is overwhelming. These big players may demand a more stable foundation for the worlds 2nd largest crypto. If so, there are FVGs and other imbalances down as far as $1300. The top of the Main Weekly Source is around $1295, and if we get down that low, there are FVGs all over the place that could get tapped during a panic sell off. The more significant one is around $750 - $900. I know this is unthinkable territory for ETH, but it could happen, and it would be technically justified.
So, that's the update on ETH. The Big question is which of these will actually play out? Let's READ and see.
As always, I hope you all got some value out of our analysis and review. Please drop your questions, comments, or other feedback. I'd love to hear what you all think.
Have a blessed week, and Happy Trading!
ETHEREUM Bearish Wave no3 is starting.Ethereum (ETHUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down for the entirety of its Bear Cycle since the August 24 2025 All Time High (ATH). This pattern has so far had two Bearish Legs, both strongly symmetrical.
The 1st declined by -47%, while the second completed a -48.69% total drop. Right now it appears that we are on the standard consolidation phase that kick-starts the next Bearish Leg. As long as the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) holds as a Resistance (recorded the rejections of January 13 2026 and October 27 2025), the pattern remains valid.
A new -47% Bearish Leg would put us a little under the April 09 2025 Low, so due to the presence of that Support, our next Target is at $1390.
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ETH PERPETUAL TRADE BUY SETUP Long from $1988ETH PERPETUAL TRADE
BUY SETUP
Long from $1988
Currently $1988
Targeting $2086 or Above
(Trading plan IF ETH
go down to $1953 will add more longs)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
Could a Ceasefire Trigger the Next ETH Rally? Analyst Weighs In* Ethereum reclaimed $2,150 as traders' price in a US-Iran ceasefire.
* Analyst warns that most peaks happen on good news, so the rally could stop when peace is confirmed.
* Active addresses jumped from 300K to 500K. People are actually using the network. That's the quiet strength worth watching.
When you step back for a second and look at what Ethereum's doing, honestly, it feels different than it has for a while.
After months of just grinding lower, the ETH price finally looks like it's waking up. It pushed back above $2,150, and here's the interesting part,it's not just some random pump. It's actually reacting to something real: talk of a US-Iran ceasefire.
Now, I get it. When a move gets driven by news like this, you kind of have to squint at it. Everyone knows the whole "buy the rumor, sell the news" thing. But look a little closer, and something else is happening.
Ethereum isn't just spiking and fading. It's holding. When the ETH price dipped toward that $2,030 zone, buyers showed up. And now, instead of dumping at $2,150, it's actually hanging out above it, turning that level into support. That's the kind of quiet strength you want to see.
The on-chain stuff backs it up too. Active addresses went from 300,000 to nearly 500,000 lately. People are actually using the network. Transaction counts are steady in the millions, which tells you there's real demand for blockspace.
The ETH price might not be screaming higher, but the network is healthy. That's the kind of foundation that tends to catch up with price eventually.
The next test is $2,200 to $2,224. Clear that, and $2,400 starts looking real. Lose $2,150, and we're back talking about $2,030. So far though, ETH is doing exactly what you want to see from a comeback setup.
Ethereum Stuck in Range as ETH Tests Key 2,500$ Breakout LevelThe ETH/USD pair has returned to the main sideways range of 2187.50–1875.00 (Murray – ), which it briefly left last week, and is currently stabilizing near the upper boundary.
From this zone, downward momentum may resume toward:
• 1875.00 (Murray , lower Bollinger Band)
• 1481.60 (Fibonacci 100.0%)
• 1250.00 (Murray )
However, the key level for bulls remains 2500.00. A breakout above this level could trigger a trend reversal and open the path higher.
⸻
Key Bullish Breakout Level at 2,500$
A move above 2500.00 (Murray , middle Bollinger Band W1) would allow Ethereum to:
• Exit the descending channel
• Resume upward momentum
• Target higher levels
Potential upside targets:
• 2812.50 (Murray , Fibonacci 61.8%)
• 3125.00 (Murray , Fibonacci 50.0%)
Such a move would increase the probability of a long-term trend reversal.
⸻
Technical Analysis
Technical indicators reflect market uncertainty:
• Bollinger Bands: horizontal movement
• MACD: near zero line, low volume
• Stochastic: rising but near overbought
Weekly chart:
• Bollinger Bands trending downward
• Possible flag pattern formation
• Bearish scenario still dominant
⸻
Key Levels
Resistance
• 2500.00
• 2812.50
• 3125.00
Support
• 1875.00
• 1481.50
• 1250.00
⸻
Trading Scenarios
Bearish Scenario
Sell below 1875.00
• Entry: 1845.00
• Targets: 1481.50, 1250.00
• Stop-loss: 2070.00
• Timeframe: 5–7 days
⸻
Bullish Scenario
Buy above 2500.00
• Entry: 2530.00
• Targets: 2812.50, 3125.00
• Stop-loss: 2315.00
⸻
Outlook
Ethereum remains range-bound, with the 2,500$ level acting as the key breakout zone.
• Above 2500$ → bullish reversal
• Below 1875$ → bearish continuation
Until a breakout occurs, sideways movement remains the base scenario.
Bullish bounce for the Bitcoin?The price could make a short-term pullback to the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,107.92
1st Support: 1,986.50
1st Resistance: 2,238.99
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
ETH PERPETUAL TRADE SELL SETUP Short from $2147ETH PERPETUAL TRADE
SELL SETUP
Short from $2147
Currently $2147
Targeting $2113 or Down
(Trading plan IF ETH
go up to $2190 will add more shorts)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Not a Financial advice
ETHUSD remains under bearish pressure, below 2,410 levelThe ETHUSD pair continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a retest of the current swing high, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 2,410
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
A failed test and rejection at 2,410 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
2,076 – Initial support
1,940 – Intermediate support
1,780 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 2,410):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 2,410 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
2,530 – First resistance
2,630 – Further upside target
Conclusion
ETHUSD remains under bearish pressure, with the 2,410 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Ethereum - Final Bounce in Progress, Bears Regain Control SoonGenerated: 2026-03-25 10:17 ET
Ethereum is setting up one of the highest-conviction bearish macro alignments seen this cycle — but for the next 48-72 hours, the short-term tape still tilts bullish. Here's how to read this in layers. 🧩
The Big Picture: All Three Timeframes Point Down 🐻
At the monthly and weekly level, the weight of evidence leans heavily bearish. March has been flagged as the strongest monthly turning point, with analysis suggesting the opposite trend becomes the higher-probability outcome through May. No Monthly Bullish Reversals have been elected from the February low — meaning there is zero structural upside confirmation at the macro level. Meanwhile, four Weekly Bearish Reversals were elected from the January high, and all monthly indicating ranges — immediate, short-term, intermediate, long-term, and cyclical — align bearish. The monthly stochastic remains in a bearish waterfall pattern with no confirmed reversal cross.
The $1,758–$1,751 zone represents a cross-timeframe convergence of Major Bearish Reversals on both monthly and weekly timeframes. A sustained move into that zone becomes the higher-probability scenario once the current bounce exhausts. A weekly close above $2,491 would challenge the bearish thesis and shift the probability calculus.
The Short-Term Setup: Riding the Final Leg Higher 📈
Zooming into the daily picture, the setup for the near term favors continued upside — but within a tight window. The daily analysis flagged that if ETH exceeded $2,174, a continued rally toward March 27 was the higher-probability path. With price already trading above that trigger, the short-term momentum tilts upward. The daily energy model flipped positive on March 23, and momentum indicators show price and energy moving in the same direction — conditions that modestly favor follow-through.
Key resistance zones to watch: the $2,204–$2,221 area represents a three-source price convergence that increases the probability of at least a temporary pause. A daily close above $2,221 would shift the intraday odds toward a test of the $2,233–$2,236 resistance cluster.
Timing: The Window Is Narrow ⏱️
March 26 carries one of the strongest Fibonacci time convergences in the current dataset — 12 independent measurements pointing to a high-probability pivot window. March 27 was identified as the daily continuation target. March 30 brings a two-system convergence (Fibonacci time + weekly timing array) flagging it as the most likely termination point for the counter-trend bounce.
This means the short-term bullish probability window is measured in days, not weeks. The setup tilts toward: bounce completes around March 27–30, then the bearish macro structure reasserts toward the April 27 window — which the weekly timing array flags as the next major turning point target.
Stochastic Context 📊
Weekly oscillators remain compressed near the floor in a configuration consistent with sustained downtrend pressure — no confirmed bullish cross has formed. Daily momentum shows an upward tick consistent with the short-term bounce, but the daily stochastic description suggests crash-mode characteristics that favor exhaustion on any near-term high.
Key Levels to Watch
Upside resistance: $2,221 (Projected Breakout Resistance), $2,385 (week of March 16 high), $2,491 (weekly stop logic)
Downside targets: $2,008 (Daily Major Bearish Reversal), $1,758–$1,751 (Monthly + Weekly Major Bearish convergence)
What Would Change This Outlook?
A weekly close above $2,491 would increase the probability that the bounce has more room. Election of Monthly Bullish Reversals — which currently do not exist near current prices — would be the signal that the macro bearish thesis needs to be reconsidered. Until then, the higher-probability scenario remains: short-term bounce exhausts near $2,200–$2,385 by month-end, and the dominant downtrend resumes toward the April–May window. 🎯
Could we see a bounce from here?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 2,077.20
1st Support: 1,936.42
1st Resistance: 2,353.68
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.






















