Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to max wave "1" (102.000).Colleagues, the price is moving according to the original plan, and at this point I expect that correction wave “2” has completed its run and that we will soon see the uptrend resume toward the 102 resistance zone.
This will be the movement in wave “3”.
We need to be quite cautious after breaking through the 102 level, because the next strong level is 119, but wave “5” may be truncated and fail to reach that peak.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
In-depth trading ideas
USOIL Will Fall! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 100.926.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 80.270 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Oil Trend Analysis – Key Support & ResistanceThis chart outlines potential price movements for oil, highlighting critical support and resistance levels. The current structure suggests a possible downward correction from the 102.88 zone, with key targets at 93.11, 83.35, 70.65, and 60.67. Monitor the trend for price reactions, consolidation areas, and potential breakout or reversal points.
CRUDE OIL (USOIL): Bullish Continuation ConfirmedHere's an intraday bullish confirmation on 📈CRUDE OIL after a bullish breakout of an intraday horizontal resistance level on a 4-hour timeframe.
Upon retesting the previously broken structure, we see a violation of the resistance line of a bullish flag pattern.
From my perspective the market is likely to reach the 105.00 level soon.
CRUDE OIL (USOIL): Correction is Over!?Crude oil appears to be resuming its upward trend.
Following a period of bullish accumulation, the price is currently violating both the neckline of an ascending triangle and a significant horizontal resistance cluster on the 4-hour timeframe.
It is anticipated that the price will continue to ascend, potentially reaching the 96.50 level in the near future.
Oil Caught Between Politics and Reality — Upside Still in PlayOil Caught Between Politics and Reality — Upside Still in Play
Yesterday oil fell by almost -17% just because Trump said he was holding talks with Iran and that a deal could be reached soon.
This created this huge sell-off in hopes that stopping the war could improve the Strait of Hormuz.
Given that Trump’s comments were denied by the Iranian government, oil started to rise again. Which is the truth no one knows, but oil could rise further if we don’t get any real updates.
The conflict in the Middle East could escalate even further despite Trump and the G7 wanting to keep the price of oil low.
Short Term Targets:
$96 and $100
You may find more details in the chart.
Thank you and good luck! 🍀
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CRUDE OIL (USOIL): Strong Intraday Bearish Price ActionUSOIL broke and closed below a significant horizontal support of a trading range on a 4-hour timeframe.
Upon retesting the broken structure, the price bounced and violated a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern.
This indicates a highly probable resumption of a bearish trend.
With high probability, the price will hit the 84.00 level soon.
Will a ground invasion finally move gold?From a technical perspective, gold is currently in a clear short-term downtrend following the initial geopolitical spike. Gold appears to be waiting for a stronger catalyst.
Are ground troops what gold needs to start moving upward?
Iran has claimed it could mobilise more than 1 million troops to counter what it describes as a “suicidal” U.S. ground war on Iranian soil.
The United States has deployed approximately 5,000 Marines from bases in Japan and California, alongside 2,000 personnel from the elite 82nd Airborne Division. In addition, the USS Tripoli has just arrived carrying a further 3,500 troops.
Although, diplomatic efforts are apparently still active. Talks between the U.S. and Iran are expected to take place in Pakistan in the coming days.
The key level to watch is around $4,600, which is now acting as a potential resistance.
The key trading question around any ground troop invasion announcement is whether gold would deliver only a brief spike on the news or begin a more sustained move higher.
WTI Oil Preparing for Next Big Direction MoveThe chart illustrates WTI crude oil trading in a consolidation phase following a strong bullish rally 📊. Price has repeatedly tested the resistance zone around 101, forming multiple rejection wicks that highlight strong selling pressure at this level. Despite this, the ascending trendline continues to act as dynamic support, maintaining the overall bullish structure. Currently, price is approaching a key breakout zone, making the next move crucial 👀. A successful breakout above resistance could trigger strong bullish momentum, pushing price toward the target of 111.71 🚀. However, if price breaks below the trendline, it would signal weakness, leading to a decline toward the first bearish target at 91.95, with further downside potential extending to 86.52 if selling pressure intensifies.
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USOIL CRACK!US OIL is CRACKING higher this morning after breaking out of a wedge formation. As long as the price stays above the wedge, we are Gucci for more upside.
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WTI OIL broke major short-term Support! Will it go lower?Amidst the chaos and extreme volatility of the past 2 weeks, WTI Oil (USOIL) seems to be stabilizing. Not 'trusting' it of course completely due to the fluid geopolitical situation but on the short-term it did break below its 4H MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time in 1 month, giving us a pattern to work with.
Technically, this is bearish continuation signal towards the next Support, which is the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). We expect contact to be made with it at $81.00, which is exactly on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the recent Top. An additional short-term Sell Signal is the 1D RSI breaking below its 3-month Higher Lows trend-line.
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USOIL Ready To Go Up ,Pattern Confirmed, Ready For 300 Pips ?Here is my 4H Chart On USOIL, The price creating a very clear reversal pattern ( Double Bottom ) and the price made a very good bullish price action now And the price confirmed the pattern by closing above the neckline. so we can enter a buy trade now or wait when the price go back to retest the broken neckline to can use a small stop loss ,or i prefer to enter now cuz we have a very good bullish candle confirmed the pattern but also if we have a retest for the broken neckline to give me more confirmation we can add more entry and we can use decent stop loss , and we can targeting from 200 to 300 Pips with a decent stop loss . if we have a daily closure below our neckline then this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Clear Reversal Pattern
2- Clear Bullish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bullish P.A .
4- Breakout Confirmed.
5- Pattern Confirmed .
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Potential Scenarios Explained
WTI Oil is currently stuck on a key daily resistance.
Depending on the price reaction to that, I see 2 potential scenarios.
Bullish Scenario
If the market breaks and closes above 102.5 level on a daily,
it will confirm a breakout of the underlined resistance.
With a high probability, the market will continue rising then.
Bearish Scenario
I see an intraday consolidation on a 4H time frame.
A bearish breakout of its support and a 4H candle close below 100.2
will confirm a retracement.
As the oil market is heavily manipulated, both scenarios are possible.
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WTI Crude Oil Intraday Analysis (M30)Price is currently in a bullish structure, printing higher highs and higher lows after multiple BOS confirmations. However, the market is now approaching a premium zone, where a short-term pullback could occur.
Strong bullish momentum after reclaiming structure
Recent BOS confirms continuation bias
Price is extended and may seek discount rebalancing (FVG + OB zone)
🔍 Key Levels
Current Price: ~94.60
Premium Area (Potential Reaction): 94.80 – 95.20
Demand Zone (30M FVG + OB): 92.80 – 93.30
Breaker Block Support: 88.50 – 89.00
📉 Short Idea (Counter-Trend / Educational)
Entry Concept:
Look for rejection from 94.80 – 95.20 zone
Wait for confirmation:
CHoCH / MS shift on lower timeframe (M5–M15)
Bearish engulfing / displacement
Liquidity sweep above recent highs
Stop Loss:
Above 95.50 (above liquidity)
Targets:
TP1: 93.80 (internal range)
TP2: 93.00 (FVG + OB demand zone)
TP3: 92.80 (full mitigation)
⚠️ Important Context
Overall trend is bullish, so this is a counter-trend setup
Safer approach: wait for clear confirmation before selling
If price continues holding above highs → short idea invalid
🧠 Narrative
Market may push slightly higher to sweep liquidity above highs, then deliver a pullback into the 30M imbalance (FVG + OB) before continuing bullish.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always wait for confirmation and manage risk properly.
Latest news from Iran supports Oil increase.📔 News:
➡️ According to Iran's Fars News Agency, officials in Tehran have drafted legislation to establish a toll system requiring vessels to pay for safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz. This development is contributing to a rise in oil prices, as higher transportation costs are expected.
➡️ Meanwhile, the 1H candle confirms that oil has broken above the 93.00 resistance level, further strengthening bullish momentum and supporting expectations for continued upside.
Nearest resistance zone: 95.00
Nearest support zone: 92.10
Wishing you a successful trading day
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Important Decision Ahead
WTI Crude Oil is currently consolidating within a horizontal
parallel channel on a daily time frame.
I do believe that a bullish accumulation is currently taking place
before a strong wave up.
Your confirmation to buy the market will be a bullish breakout and
a daily candle close above the resistance of the range (101.76).
A strong upward movement will be expected then.
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USOIL Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on USOIL and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 98.10 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 96.48
Safe Stop Loss - 99.04
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL Attempts Recovery After Sudden CollapseThe chart shows a steady upward movement that eventually reached a peak before a sudden and aggressive downward move occurred. The large bearish candle pushed price sharply lower, breaking below the recent consolidation structure and creating a strong vertical decline. This move brought price far below the previous trading range.
After the sharp drop, price formed a long lower wick followed by small bullish candles, indicating that the immediate selling pressure slowed once the market reached the lower levels. The recent candles show price attempting to recover from the drop.
Above the current price, a horizontal grey zone is marked along with a larger highlighted area. These zones represent previous regions where price interacted before the breakdown. The red marker highlights a point of interest inside this upper region, suggesting where price may react if it moves upward again.
Overall, the structure shows a sharp bearish expansion followed by an early recovery phase.
Speculative Outlook
The current movement suggests that price may continue its short-term recovery after the sharp drop. If the upward momentum continues, the market could move toward the grey zone above, where previous activity occurred.
Once price approaches this region, it may encounter resistance and slow down. The highlighted area and red marker suggest a potential reaction point where selling pressure could return.
If the recovery fails before reaching the zone, price may move sideways or retest the lower levels again. However, if buyers remain active and push price upward, the market may test deeper into the upper region before any significant reaction appears.
For now, the chart suggests a recovery phase after the sharp decline, with the next key focus being how price behaves as it approaches the upper highlighted zone.
Oil Finally Giving Bearish Confirmations , 500 Pips Waiting !Here is my 4H Chart on OIL , We Have A Clear Breakout and the price closed below my support after more than 4 days the price respect the support and touch it and move to upside but for the first time the price closed below it with 4H Candle and that prove it`s a real breakout and we have a very good bearish Price Action on 4H /2H T.F Also , the price will try to retest this area many times and if it give us a good bearish price action on smaller time frames as it did with the last 1H Candle we can enter a sell trade and we can targeting from 200 to 400 pips , if we have a daily closure again above my new res then this idea will not be valid anymore .
Entry Reasons :
1- Clear Daily Breakout .
2- Many T.F Confirmations .
3- Perfect Price Action .
4- Clear Bearish P.A .
5- Broken C.T.L .
Oil Analysis: Geopolitical Support Lagging Technological FactorsIn the current market, geopolitical risks are deterring those looking to buy the dip from making large-scale entries, while weak technicals and inventory buildup are making those wanting to go long hesitant. In the short term, the price will likely fluctuate repeatedly within the $90-$95 range. Since the direction is unclear, be patient and wait. Be cautious when it reaches the upper limit of the range, and don't be too pessimistic when it falls back to the lower limit.
From a technical chart perspective, the daily chart shows a typical "high-level range-bound oscillation," unable to go up or down.
The key point is that the price is currently trading below the EMA50 moving average, which acts like a hat on your head. Unless you can break through it, the rebound will be difficult to sustain. The 4-hour chart makes it even clearer; the MACD indicator has already given a bearish divergence signal, indicating that the momentum of this upward trend is actually weakening, and the risk of chasing the price higher is not small.
If the price retraces to $90.00-$90.30, it can be considered a buying opportunity.
The area around $95 is clearly providing resistance, so short positions can be initiated here.
We welcome all traders to share their opinions, and let's move forward together in this market.
TVC:USOIL FXPRO:USOILK2026 PURPLETRADING:USOIL PURPLETRADING:USOIL
Range-bound trading becomes the main themeThe crude oil market has recently experienced significant volatility, oscillating between escalating geopolitical tensions and gradually easing political intervention. Yesterday, comments by Trump regarding US-Iran negotiations triggered a sharp drop in WTI/Brent crude futures prices—a veritable "free fall"—but market tensions eased somewhat as Iran quickly denied holding any negotiations.
The market is currently in a typical news-driven environment, highly sensitive to breaking news. Shipping in the Strait of Hormuz is almost completely halted, and Gulf oil-producing countries (including Saudi Arabia and Iraq) have collectively reduced production by 6.7 million barrels per day. These substantial supply disruption risks persist, providing solid long-term support for crude oil prices.
From a technical perspective, yesterday's daily chart closed with a long bearish candlestick with huge volume, shifting the short-term trend from bullish to bearish. Notably, the selling momentum failed to hold—after testing key support levels, a long lower shadow appeared on the hourly chart, indicating that buying pressure is absorbing selling pressure.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The daily RSI has fallen from overbought territory to neutral; the 4-hour RSI is hovering near oversold territory, suggesting an impending technical pullback.
Moving Averages: Currently, the price is below major moving averages, indicating a slight short-term bearish advantage, but the 20-day moving average (≈$86/barrel) is still sloping upwards, a bullish signal.
Range Trading Strategy (Buy Low, Sell High):
- Establish short positions if the price stalls in the $94.00-$95.00/barrel resistance zone.
Establish long positions in stages if the price retraces and holds the $86.00-$87.00/barrel support level (lower edge of the 20-day moving average).
Chasing the market in one direction (whether long or short) is extremely risky—stick to selling short at key resistance levels and buying low at key support levels. Patience in waiting for a clear trend is key; do not blindly chase profits in volatile market patterns.
We welcome all traders to share their opinions, and let's move forward together in this market.
TVC:USOIL FXPRO:USOILK2026 TRADU:USOIL GBEBROKERS:USOIL IG:USOIL






















