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Has the downtrend in #BTC ended?📊Has the downtrend in #BTC ended? 🧠From a structural perspective, we have touched the support zone around 65,000 and formed a rapid rebound. The second short position I opened in yesterday's live broadcast has successfully achieved all targets. The remaining short positions in our hands have been closed as they hit the cost price. ➡️The next resistance level worthy of our attention is around 69,000, and the extreme resistance level is near 70,600. ➡️And the support level worthy of our attention is around 66,000. 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
by wolf_king888
XAUUSD H1: Gold Holds Support WhileXAUUSD H1: Gold Holds Support While Buyers Test Liquidity Gold is starting the week in a constructive position, but the market is still trading inside a decision zone rather than a confirmed breakout. On the H1 chart, XAUUSD continues to hold above the 4422–4492 support structure, while price is repeatedly testing the 4550–4560 buyside liquidity area. This shows that buyers are still active and willing to defend the current base, but the market has not yet delivered the kind of clean breakout that would confirm a stronger bullish expansion. From a broader perspective, this week remains important for gold because the market is balancing two opposing forces. On one side, safe-haven demand is still supporting gold as traders stay cautious around geopolitical uncertainty and broader market risk. On the other side, the Dollar and yield environment continue to limit upside momentum, which means gold may stay volatile around key technical levels instead of moving in a straight line. Technically, the current structure remains constructive as long as price stays above the 4492 support pivot. Holding above this zone keeps the short-term recovery intact and allows buyers to continue pressing into nearby resistance. If price can establish stronger acceptance above the 4550–4560 liquidity area, the next upside objective comes into view around 5019, where the higher liquidity zone is waiting. At the same time, the current move still needs respect. If gold fails to hold above support, the market could fall back into consolidation or retest deeper demand before the next directional move becomes clearer. That is why the reaction around the current resistance zone matters so much. Key levels to watch 4492 → short-term support pivot 4550–4560 → buyside liquidity zone 5019 → higher resistance / liquidity target 4100 → deeper buy zone Lana’s view Gold still leans constructive while price remains above support, but buyers need a stronger break through nearby liquidity before a broader upside leg can be trusted. For now, this is a recovery structure with bullish potential, not a fully confirmed breakout.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Bitcoin Bounce into Resistance Tilts Odds Higher This WeekGenerated: 2026-03-30 12:42 ET Market conditions favor a tactical rally into key resistance as oversold momentum enters a reversal window, though broader bearish structure demands discipline on position sizing and exit timing. Bitcoin sits at a critical juncture. The daily timeframe has just crossed into an oversold recovery zone—all three stochastic lines below 30 with the fastest line curling upward—and the timing models explicitly flag a directional shift window opening through March 31st. This setup favors a bounce into the 71,621 resistance level, roughly 8% above current price. The intraday recovery (up 1.21% from open) shows genuine buying support above Crash Mode support at 63,922, signaling that capitulation may have already occurred into Sunday's low. However, this is a high-probability short-term trade, not a medium-term reversal . The critical caveat: energy models remain deeply negative with the moving average still declining. Any rally into the upper 60s and low 70s is likely to encounter sellers stepping in at resistance. The message from the technicals is clear—a same-day or next-day bounce into 71,621 is probable, but holding through the broader consolidation into April 6th increases whipsaw risk significantly. The weekly picture reinforces this tactical bias. All seven weekly indicating ranges are aligned bearish, confirming that March's selloff represents a confirmed turning point (the March 23rd low was penetrated and the downtrend is now active). The nearest bullish reversal sits well above at 74,038, meaning any rally faces structural headwinds above current levels. The weekly timing array identifies April 6th as the strongest turning point window ahead —roughly a week away—where directional clarity is expected to emerge. Until then, choppy, range-bound price action into that date is the base case. The monthly view adds long-term context without changing the tactical outlook: energy divergence is building (price declining while momentum bars hold elevated readings), and the February low has been elected as a buy signal but hasn't held. This energy divergence typically precedes a reversal, but not immediately. May and July are flagged as the next major structural targets —meaning the current weakness is expected to persist into those windows before any sustained relief. Key Levels and Risk Management: Support: 65,019 (today's low; invalidates the bounce setup if breached on close), 63,922 (Crash Mode). Resistance: 68,176 (intraday breakeven), 71,621 (primary bounce target), 74,038 (weekly bullish election point). A close below 65,019 would negate the bullish bounce setup and warn of continued decline toward the 65,295 weekly support. Conversely, a sustained break above 71,621 would shift odds toward a test of the 74,038 weekly election level, though the broader bearish regime suggests this would remain a selling opportunity rather than a trend reversal. The Setup: High Probability, Limited Duration This is a 3-5 day tactical bounce trade —not a signal to accumulate long exposure or hold through April. The oversold stochastic, timing array opposition target, and price holding above intraday support create a favorable setup for a rally into 71,621. But the negative energy environment, bearish weekly structure, and April 6th turning point window demand discipline: take profits into resistance and avoid the temptation to extend positions into the chop zone ahead. Invalidation: A close below the session low (65,019) would negate this view and signal that the downtrend has further room to run into April's timing targets.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by alejandroscotti
GbpCad Trade IdeaGC was bearish before approaching a daily resistance level. There was a clean bearish flip with structures showing on the 1hr time frame. I simply waited on price to break and retest the 1HR LL to confirm the new change in direction. Once price retested the level I simply waited on the 1hr to go bearish. Once the 1hr went bearish price gave a bearish candle showing a double top at the level of retest. I'm personally looking for a 1:3rr on this set up. We'll see how price plays out.
Short
by OfficialJ23
SHIB: breakout or fakeout? key levels to watch in coming daysSHIB Shiba army waking up again or just another meme fakeout? According to market chatter, renewed buzz around upcoming ecosystem upgrades and general risk-on mood in alts just pushed SHIB into a fresh 4H impulse. Volatility is back on this chart, and when this dog runs, it usually runs hard. On the 4H chart we just bounced from the green demand zone and pushed straight into the red supply block above. RSI is climbing toward overbought, but not blown out yet, which fits a continuation move if buyers defend higher lows. Volume profile shows a nice low-volume pocket just above price, so a clean breakout could accelerate quickly as shorts get squeezed. My base case: as long as price holds above the mid green support, I’m leaning bullish toward the upper red zone where I’ll look to scale out. If we reject hard from this supply and close back inside support, I’ll respect that and look for a deeper dip toward the lower green area before thinking long again. I might be wrong, but for now I’m treating pullbacks toward support as potential entries, not reasons to panic. ✅
by Trade_Logic_AI
ETHUSD Market Analysis: Macro + Structure [MaB] - 15min ETHUSD Market Analysis: Macro + Structure 1. The Macro Context (The "Why") 🌍 Hi traders! Before looking at the candles, let's look at the money. My fundamental scoring table is giving us a clear signal: we have a +5 differential, pointing toward a Bullish USD (Bearish ETHUSD) bias that we simply can't ignore. 🏦 Key Factor Analysis: 🏦 Current Rates: Explanation: The Fed holds rates at 3.75%, among the highest in the G7, making USD an attractive carry currency. Score USD: +1 🌍 Economic Regime: Explanation: The US economy is in an Expansion regime — a Goldilocks scenario with sustainable GDP growth of 2.1% and controlled inflation at 2.74%. Score USD: +1 📊 Rate Expectations: Explanation: The Fed is holding steady for 2 consecutive meetings, signaling a neutral stance with no imminent cuts to dilute USD strength. Score USD: 0 ⚖️ Risk Sentiment: Explanation: Risk-off environment with VIX at 31.05. USD benefits as a classic safe haven, while ETH as a high-beta risk asset suffers in this context. Score USD: +1 🏛️ COT Score: Explanation: Speculators maintain strong consolidated Long positions on USD, confirming institutional bullish sentiment on the greenback. Score USD: +1 Total Score USD: +5 (Strong Bullish) Synthesis: 💡 USD (Strong, Score +5): Goldilocks economy with high carry rates at 3.75%, safe-haven demand during elevated VIX at 31.05, and strong speculative positioning. All macro factors align for continued USD strength. Conclusion: Given this fundamental backdrop, we are strictly looking for Short setups on ETHUSD. Going against this bias would be statistical suicide. 🚫 2. The Technical Setup (The "Where") 📉 Timeframe: 15min | Pair: ETHUSD The SMC Market Structure + Price Zones indicator has confirmed our statistical edge. Here's the probabilistic data from the dashboard: 🚀 Continuation Rate (69.2%): We are currently above the 60% threshold. This confirms a healthy directional trend where continuation has a much higher probability than a reversal. 🔥 Streak Analysis (0): We are currently on impulse number 0. * Expected Streak: 2 (Percentile: 50%) * Remaining Moves: 2 This indicates a Young trend. The statistical range (20th-80th pct) suggests a typical duration of 2-4 impulses. 🔄 Retest & Reaction: * Retest Prob (55.6%): The probability of the price returning to test the zone after a BOS. * BOS/Ret Rate (51.4%): Once inside the zone, this is the probability of a positive reaction leading to a new BOS. 🎯 Extension & Projection: * Extension Range: The expected extension for this single leg is between 1.59x and 3.79x (Expected: 1.95x). * Compound Extension (2.94x): This is the total projected move based on the remaining expected impulses. By multiplying the current zone height by this factor, we find our ultimate target. 3. Execution Plan on Chart 🎯 Moving over to the charts, we are using these statistics to define our operational levels: 📍 Entry and Stop Loss: We are placing a limit entry within the Supply Zone 15min (Red/Pink Band) . The stop loss is tucked a few pips outside the zone to protect against structural invalidation. 🏁 Statistical Take Profit: Instead of an arbitrary target, we are leveraging the Compound Extension . We project the target at 2.94x relative to the pullback zone height. This allows us to capture the full extension projected by the algorithm. 🏆 Trade Parameters: 💰 Entry Price: 2076.5 🛡️ Stop Loss: 2095.9 🏆 Take Profit: 1826.9 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is based on a proprietary algorithm and is shared exclusively for educational and didactic purposes. It does not constitute financial advice or investment solicitation in any way. Trading involves significant risk.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by MBARRECA
NVDA after last week selloff — how I’m looking at tomorrow (Mar 1H view I’m starting with the 1H and this one is clean… trend is clearly down. You had that push up near ~180–182, then it rolled over hard and since then it’s just: * lower highs * steady sell pressure * no real bounce structure Now price sitting around 166–167, which was a prior support zone… but like the others, once it breaks, it usually turns into resistance later. So for me, key zone above is 170–174. That’s where sellers showed up before. 15M view Zooming in, this looks even more controlled. You can see: * breakdown * small bounce * continuation lower Now it’s just grinding sideways near lows around 165–167. That’s not strong buying… that’s more like sellers pausing. No real CHoCH or reclaim yet. Until that happens, I’m still leaning downside. GEX / options positioning This is where it gets important. There’s heavy negative gamma below: * 165 * 160 * lower levels stacked That means if price starts slipping again, it can accelerate fast. Above price: * big resistance around 180 area (call wall / HVL zone) * nothing strong in the middle to support a bounce So upside doesn’t have much fuel right now, but downside has room. How I’d approach tomorrow If price pushes into 170–174 This is my main spot. If it pops there and slows down, I’d expect sellers to step in again. From there I’m watching for: * 166 retest * then 162–160 If it breaks below 165 early Then I’m not trying to catch bottom. That opens: * 162 * then 160 And with negative gamma, this can move quick. If bulls want control back They need to reclaim 174+ and hold above it. Not just a wick… I want acceptance. If that happens, then maybe we see: * 178 * possibly 180 But right now, nothing on the chart says that yet. How I’m thinking about it Same story as the rest of the market. This doesn’t look like accumulation… it looks like: * breakdown * pause * likely continuation So I’m keeping it simple: * short into resistance * or wait for real reclaim before thinking long Anything in between is just chop.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
MSFT After That Drop — what I’m watching for March 291H view (bigger picture) When I look at the 1H, it’s still pretty clear… we’re in a downtrend. Price keeps getting rejected at lower highs, and that 358–360 area is where sellers showed up again. That zone matters now. Every time price gets there and fails, it just confirms sellers are still in control. I don’t see any real shift yet. No strong reclaim, no higher high… just a bounce that got sold. So for me, unless price gets back above 360 and holds, I’m still thinking downside first. 15M view (what it’s doing now) On the 15M, it’s just sitting near the lows, kind of grinding sideways between ~350 and 356. This type of action usually tricks people into thinking it’s base building… but in a downtrend, it’s often just a pause before continuation. You can see: * Bounces are weak * No real momentum up * Structure still making lower highs So I’m treating this as compression, not reversal (yet). GEX side (this is the part people miss) Now this is where it gets interesting. There’s a lot of negative gamma sitting below price (around 350, 340, etc). That means if price starts dropping, dealers are forced to sell more to hedge. That’s why these moves don’t just drift down… they accelerate. Also notice there’s not much strong positive gamma nearby to act as support. So there’s not much “cushion” under price right now. That’s why I’m not trying to catch bottom here. It’s just not that type of environment. How I’d approach tomorrow If price pushes up into 356–358 and stalls
I’d be watching for rejection there. That’s basically the same area that’s been failing. If that happens, I’d lean bearish with targets: * 350 first * then 346 * and if things get aggressive, 340 If it keeps breaking lower, the move can get fast because of the gamma setup. If bulls actually step in For me, they need to prove it. I want to see price reclaim 360 and stay above it, not just spike and fade. If that happens, then I’d look toward: * 365 * maybe 368 But until that happens, I’m not assuming upside. How I’m thinking about it Right now this doesn’t feel like a bottom. It feels like the market is just pausing after a strong move down. So I’m not trying to be early. I’d rather wait for either: * rejection at resistance (for continuation), or * a clean reclaim (for reversal) Anything in the middle is just chop. Just how I’m reading it from the chart and positioning. Trade it your way and manage risk.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by BullBearInsights
1
LIQUIDITY GAME: WHAT WILL THIS MONTHLY RECOVERY REALLY LEAD TO?The last trading session of the month always holds special significance as large capital flows engage in the process of closing and rebalancing positions, and currently, gold is clearly reflecting this. After the previous sharp decline, the market has formed a technical recovery phase by breaking the short-term downtrend structure and reclaiming the support + FVG areas below. However, it is important to emphasize that this is still a recovery phase within a larger downtrend, lacking sufficient factors to confirm a medium-term reversal. On the macroeconomic front, the context of slowing growth while inflation remains persistent causes the market to continuously adjust monetary policy expectations. This creates two-way volatility phases, especially at the end of the month when funds need to rebalance their portfolios. The current capital flow does not show signs of long-term accumulation but leans towards short-term guidance – creating liquidity before important price zones. On the H4 chart, the price structure is moving in a recovery phase to retest the supply zones above. The 4550–4600 area (FVG + old demand + fibo 0.786) acts as the first reaction zone, where the price is approaching. If the buying force is strong enough and the H4 candle closes firmly above this area, the possibility of expanding to the 4700–4750 area (demand + trendline + fibo 0.5) is entirely possible. However, this is also the decisive zone – where strong selling pressure previously appeared, and it is likely to be a redistribution area if the downtrend continues to be maintained. Conversely, if the price fails to hold the 4550–4600 area and a clear rejection signal appears, the market may quickly return to test the 44xx support area, and deeper into the low liquidity area around 41xx, where large capital flows tend to complete the liquidity sweep process. Overall, the 31/03 session is not just an ordinary trading session but a crucial confirmation point for the month's capital flow. The current recovery should be viewed as a rebalancing process before major decisions, and the price reaction at the 4600 and 4700 areas will play a key role in determining whether the market continues the downtrend or begins to form a new accumulation structure. LucasGrayTrading
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LucasGrayTrading
11
A head and shoulders pattern , signaling a potential pullback 🔔 News: ➡️ Oil prices are facing strong selling pressure after a report from The Wall Street Journal indicated that U.S. President Donald Trump is willing to end the conflict with Iran without reopening the Strait of Hormuz, a key passage responsible for around 20% of global energy supply. From a technical : ➡️ A head and shoulders pattern has formed, signaling a potential downside move in oil prices. On the 1-hour timeframe, if price breaks below the neckline at 98.00, a sharp decline toward 95.00 could follow. However, if price holds above the trend zone at 100.50, WTI crude oil may continue rising toward higher levels, targeting 104.00. Resistance levels: 102.70; 104.00 Support levels: 98.00; 94.80 Tools used: EMA, trendline, and price patterns. Wishing you a successful trading day 💰
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by Jolie_Scalper
1
XAU/USD: SMC Technical Analysis & Narrative (5M)-(1M)Timeframe: 15m / 1m (Confirmation Entry) Market Narrative The Gold market has officially printed a Change of Character (Choch), shifting our bias from bearish to bullish. We have a clear displacement that left behind a high-probability 5M Order Block (OB). However, the market rarely moves in a straight line. We are anticipating a Liquidity Sweep of the current Support Zone to clear out retail "early buyers" before the real expansion begins. Execution Strategy • The Zone: Focus on the OB at 4,550. This is our point of interest (POI). • The Trigger: Do not blind-entry. Wait for the price to mitigate the 5M OB and then look for a lower timeframe (1m) Choch to confirm institutional sponsorship. • Targets: • First TP: 4,582 (Liquidity Void) • Second TP: 4,619 (Weak High) • Third TP: 4,660 (Major Buy-Side Liquidity) ⚠️ Economic Calendar: High Impact News (March 31, 2026) Tomorrow is Monthly Close, which typically brings erratic volatility. Be mindful of these specific releases: 1. JOLTS Job Openings (10:00 AM EST): This will provide a direct pulse on the labor market and will likely cause sharp moves in the DXY and Gold. 2. CB Consumer Confidence (10:00 AM EST): Released simultaneously with JOLTS, expect heavy slippage and volatility during this window. • Note: Professional traders wait for the news reaction; they don't gamble on the result. Protect your equity during the monthly close.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fonseca87
2
Gold Price Range-Bound: $4480-$4580Gold Price Range-Bound: $4480-$4580 Hello everyone. Today is Tuesday (March 31st). Question: How will gold prices move today? Has the previously mentioned "bottom triangle breakout" been confirmed? Answer: From a technical perspective, the previous "bottom triangle breakout" is currently in a pullback confirmation and consolidation phase. Trading Range: $4480-$4580. Price Level: Gold prices have held the key psychological level of $4500 for several consecutive trading days, which is the first positive signal of the breakout's validity. Pullback Confirmation: As long as the $4500-$4520 area holds, the rebound structure remains intact. Next Target: If the support level is confirmed, the next target for the bulls will be the psychological level of $4580-$4600, and more importantly, the 100-day moving average (approximately $4630). Market Sentiment Cautious Ahead of Non-Farm Payrolls Data Release: The US March non-farm payrolls report will be released this Friday (April 3). The market is inclined to wait and see, which may lead to range-bound trading for gold prices this week. Resistance Levels: $4580-$4600 Strong Resistance Levels: $4630-$4650 Support Levels: $4520-$4500 Key Support Levels: $4470-$4450 Strong Support Levels: $4400-$4350 Q: What are the specific trading strategies for the upcoming market? A: Considering the non-farm payrolls data release on Friday, the market may remain range-bound before the results are released. We recommend a "range-bound trading, buy on dips" strategy, using light positions and setting strict stop-loss orders. Below are our specific reference strategies for followers: Strategy 1: Buy on Dips (Main Strategy) Entry Point: Focus on the $4520-$4500 area. Target Price Levels: First Target Price: $4580-$4600 Second Target Price: $4630 Stop Loss: Set below $4480. Strategy Two: Short at Key Resistance Levels (Buy on Dips, Exercise Caution) Entry Point: If gold prices rebound to the $4600-$4630 area and show signs of stagnation, a small short position can be established. Target Price: Around $4550-$4520 Stop Loss: Set above $4650.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by IS_GoldenTeam
1
Bitcoin - Please do yourself a favor!🚀Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is starting the next bullrun: 🔎Analysis summary: Bitcoin has been trading with bullish market structure since it was established in 2009. And while the recent correction of about -50% was totally expected, Bitcoin remains bullish. With the current retest of massive support, this could be the bearmarket bottom. 📝Levels to watch: $70,000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by SwingTraderPhil
77
NAS100 Long-Term Buying Opportunity | AB=CD Harmonic Setup#NASDAQ (NAS100) is currently showing short-term bearish momentum after breaking a strong support level around 24,000, indicating a continuation of the downtrend on lower timeframes. However, from a higher timeframe (weekly perspective), the market structure suggests something much bigger is developing Key Analysis: Price action indicates a potential AB=CD Harmonic Pattern formation The AB leg is already completed Currently, price is moving toward the C point (retracement phase) This C leg aligns perfectly with the Fibonacci Golden Zone (0.5 – 0.382) Strong Buying Zone: 21,300 – 20,100 This zone offers a high-probability long-term accumulation area Trading Plan: Wait patiently for price to enter and react within the zone Look for confirmation (price action / structure shift) on lower timeframes Enter long positions with proper risk management Target Expectation: Completion of the CD leg Potential upside move of around +3000 points Important: This is a swing/position trade idea, not for scalping. Patience and discipline are key. Why this setup is powerful: Confluence of market structure + harmonic pattern + Fibonacci zone Higher timeframe bias increases probability Clear invalidation & strong RR potential Your View? Do you agree with this bullish harmonic setup, or do you see further downside before reversal? Drop your thoughts below 👇 #NAS100 #NASDAQ #ForexTrading #CryptoTrading #HarmonicPattern #ABCDPattern #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #PriceAction #SwingTrading #Fibonacci #TradingIdeas #Investing #MarketAnalysis
FX:NAS100Long
by Elite_Technical_Analysis_Hub