Bearish AUDUSD Continuation of Trend!Coming off a strong week of movement, the market has given us a clean bearish setup.
Price is currently respecting the established downtrend, with structure continuing to favor downside continuation.
As long as price remains below the trendline, we’re looking for continuation toward:
Target 1: 0.68180
Target 2: 0.67650
However, if price breaks above the trendline, the focus shifts.
In that case, we want to see:
A clean break and close above the trendline
Followed by a retest holding as support
Additional confirmation, such as a break of previous highs
That would signal a potential shift in market structure and open the door for a bullish move.
As always, stay patient and let the market confirm — don’t anticipate.
If this breakdown aligns with your view, like, follow, and drop a pair you want analyzed next.
Community ideas
kvmev - EURCAD entryEntering a 1:1 RR long position on EURCAD.
Price is bullish on the HTF as it is currently retesting a strong support zone on the monthly time frame.
There is also a clean break and retest pattern on the daily/h4 time frame. Price is also respecting the ascending trendline.
Expecting further continuation to the upside.
___
Disclaimer: The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Any actions you take based on this content are done at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
AUDUSD 4H Bearish ABC Still in MotionOANDA:AUDUSD continues to respect the bearish 4H sequence.
The structure is clean: price printed the A-B leg, retraced into the BC zone, and failed to reclaim it. That rejection was the real tell. Once sellers defended the retracement area, the lower-high stayed intact and the continuation leg started to unfold.
What matters now is simple:
as long as price remains capped below the BC supply/rebalancing area, the bearish sequence still favors continuation into the marked C target zone.
What I like about this chart:
clear rejection from the BC zone
bearish continuation away from the retracement box
lower-high structure remains intact
downside objective is still unfinished
What would weaken this idea:
strong reclaim back above the BC area
loss of bearish pressure and acceptance back into the breakdown leg
This is not a chart I want to romanticize. The move is already developing, so discipline matters more than excitement. Late sellers should not chase blindly into weakness. The cleaner approach is to let price either continue efficiently toward C, or show enough strength to invalidate the current structure.
For now, price is doing what bearish structure is supposed to do:
reject supply, expand lower, and keep the C objective in play.
Bias : Bearish
Invalidation : Sustained reclaim above the BC zone
Objective : Marked C target area
Not financial advice.
Shorting GBPCHFWe are recommending a new short GBP/CHF trade idea. It reflects our view that the recent price action following the Middle East conflict is unlikely to be sustained. Over the past month, GBP has been the second‑best performing G10 currency, while CHF has been one of the worst performers. This is the opposite of what happened during the last energy price shock in 2022, when CHF was the second‑best performing G10 currency and GBP was among the weakest. The recent underperformance of CHF has been driven by strong initial pushback from the SNB against currency strength (click here). However, we doubt that SNB intervention would be sufficient to prevent a stronger CHF if the energy price shock intensifies. Conversely, the recent resilience of GBP, supported by a sharp move higher in UK yields, is also unlikely to last. We already see scope for catch‑up GBP weakness to better reflect the negative energy price shock hitting the UK economy.
Bullish momentum to extend?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.7938
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.7857
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with th e 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8034
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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XAG/USDMarket Structure & Pattern
Silver (XAG/USD) is trading within a rising channel, indicating a short-term bullish correction. However, the internal structure clearly shows a completed 5-wave Elliott Wave pattern:
Waves (1) → (5) are well defined
Wave (5) shows signs of exhaustion and weakening momentum
Price is reacting from the upper boundary of the channel (strong resistance zone)
👉 This suggests the current uptrend is corrective, not impulsive, increasing the probability of a bearish reversal.
Key Levels
Sell Entry: ~70.00
Stop Loss: 71.85 (above channel resistance & liquidity zone)
First Target: 67.70
Major Support: 65.70
Extended Target: 63.30
Scenario Analysis
🔴 Primary Scenario (Bearish – Higher Probability)
Rejection from channel resistance
Completion of Elliott Wave (5)
Weak bullish continuation
➡️ Expected move:
Drop toward 67.70 (first easy target)
Break below this level → continuation to 65.70
Strong momentum may extend the move to 63.30
📉 Outlook: Impulsive bearish move (distribution → markdown phase)
🟢 Alternative Scenario (Bullish Breakout)
A strong breakout and close above 72.00
➡️ This would invalidate the bearish setup and lead to:
A bullish expansion (“boom” move) toward higher levels
Technical Confluence
Rising channel resistance
Elliott Wave completion (Wave 5 exhaustion)
Supply zone rejection
احتمال liquidity sweep above highs before reversal
Conclusion
The market is in a corrective uptrend, but multiple signals point toward an upcoming bearish reversal.
✅ Preferred setup: Sell near 70.00
🎯 Targets: 67.70 → 65.70 → 63.30
🛑 Stop Loss: 71.85
USDCAD - Sell StopDXY is on a strong resistance zone which may lead USD to correct, USDCAD is on it's 4hr supply zone, formulating a bearish divergence on the 15min, therefore, placing a sell stop below the previous HL and aiming for the pull back towards the take profit if structure breaks. SL is placed above the 4hr resistance zone
XAUUSD Bullish Structural Shift & Order Block ValidationTechnical Breakdown
Market Structure Transition:
The chart tracks the evolution of price from a corrective phase (Downward Channel) into a bullish regime. Key structural milestones include the CHOCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure), which signaled the initial shift in momentum.
The Accumulation Phase:
Following a sharp sell-off from the channel, the price entered a Range (distribution/accumulation zone). The subsequent dip to the second POI Point (Point of Interest) acted as a "stop run" or liquidity grab before the aggressive recovery.
Confirmation Signals:
MSS (Market Structure Shift): The breakout above previous local highs confirmed that buyers regained control.
Trendline Breakout: The price successfully breached the diagonal resistance, retesting it as support.
H4-OB (4-Hour Order Block): The cyan box represents a high-probability demand zone. The blue "path" suggests a projection where price retraces into this Order Block to mitigate orders before a targeted expansion upward.
Trading Narrative
The analysis anticipates a "Buy the Dip" scenario. The expectation is for Gold to soften into the $4,425 – $4,500 range (H4-OB) to pick up liquidity before pushing toward the next psychological resistance levels above $4,575.
Atomic VWAP Mean-reversion TradeIF price trades from above VWAP top line THEN mean-reversion toward VWAP must occur.
IF price goes below VWAP and stays above VWAP bottom line THEN price must bounce on support.
IF price bounces on support THEN sell-side absorption must occur.
IF sell-side absorption occurs Then the trade setup is valid.
This is another favorite of mine. I get in on the breakout. In this case, on a 1m chart my entry was just above the 11:16 exhaustion bar. It works because Big Hands trade around VWAP. They are considered great if they buy less than VWAP and sell higher than VWAP. It's not as reliable as the Atomic Bullish VWAP Reclaim Trade, but its good.
Targets
1. VWAP (23335)
2. Apex (23532)
3. VWAP top band (23438) with a tight stop under micro-balance (23392.25 - 23416.5)
Technical Analysis Weekly (30-02-26)Germany 40 continues to trade well below the VWAP as bearish momentum persists following the sharp sell-off of recent weeks. The RSI remains depressed but has recovered from its most extreme readings. The index remains in an impulsive mode, with the VWAP and downtrend line acting as the first meaningful resistance overhead.
Wall Street remains under pressure, continuing to trade below the VWAP as the bearish trend persists. The RSI is holding in oversold-adjacent territory, suggesting sellers remain in control, though the pace of decline has moderated slightly. A reclaim of the VWAP is needed to shift the near-term bias.
UK 100 has pulled back sharply from its all-time highs and is trading below the VWAP, though it is showing tentative signs of stabilisation after the recent steep decline. The RSI has recovered from its most oversold levels and is now in moderate territory, suggesting selling pressure may be easing. The index remains in an impulsive phase until a sustained move back above the VWAP.
GBP/USD has been trading in a 200-pip range for most of March, now trading below a flat VWAP. The RSI has softened to 40 after touching 50, reflecting the modest but steady bearish pressure. The long-term range remains intact, and the pair will need to take out the high or lows of the range to start a new trend.
EUR/USD is back below the VWAP after a strong bounce off long term support ~1.14 with the bearish trend persisting. The RSI is hovering around the mid-40s, reflecting a neutral-to-bearish bias rather than extreme pessimism. A move back above 1.16 would be required to shift the near-term outlook, while a break below the recent swing low at 1.14 would reinforce the downtrend.
USD/JPY continues to trade near its highs but volatility has compressed around 160 and it is only just above the VWAP. The RSI remains comfortably above the midpoint, suggesting healthy momentum. A decisive break and hold above 160 would be a significant technical development, while a fakeout would open a return to 2026 lows.
Gold remains well below the VWAP, though selling pressure has eased after a long pin-bar ~4100. The RSI has recovered only slightly from oversold territory, suggesting the lows might still not be in. However, bulls will need to reclaim the VWAP to signal a genuine recovery is underway rather than just a temporary pause in the downtrend.
Brent Crude is sitting inside a volatile triangle pattern as it continues to trade above the VWAP, maintaining the broader bullish structure. The RSI has eased from overbought levels into more neutral territory, consistent with a healthy consolidation after the explosive move higher. The uptrend means a breakout is higher probability but a breakdown through the triangle support and VWAO could signal a double top.
IREN Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:IREN lost the daily pivot and 200EMA as suggested last month, showing bears in control. Wave C of 4 is underway with a downside target of $26 High Volume Node.
📈 Daily RSI has printed a hidden bearish divergence at the daily pivot, a strong short signal
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we go above wave B
Safe trading
AUDUSD topping pattern breakout to the downsideThe AUDUSD continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a loss of current swing lows, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 0.6935
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
A failed test and rejection at 0.6935 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
0.6807 – Initial support
0.6780 – Intermediate support
0.6736 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 0.6935):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 0.6935 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
0.6975 – First resistance
0.7000 – Further upside target
Conclusion
AUDUSD remains under bearish pressure, with the 0.6935 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as the price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
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Reference: Key Buy/Sell Signals for Gold Near $4,600Based on the channel distribution shown in the chart, the current channel remains valid. For tonight's session, the lower boundary support level is expected to shift upward to the $4,480–$4,455 range; as long as the price holds above this level, the primary trend is expected to remain one of upward consolidation. Meanwhile, the resistance point provided by the yellow central trendline has shifted upward to the $4,620–$4,630 range. Naturally, short-term support should be monitored around the $4,515–$4,505 area; if this level is breached, there is a potential for the price to test the support zone at the lower boundary of the channel.
Trading Recommendation: In the short term, focus primarily on the selling resistance zone between $4,583 and $4,620. On the downside, monitor the short-term buying support zone between $4,510 and $4,485.
Trading Core: Continuously monitor these detailed and accurate signal channels or engage in personal communication. Traders who follow these signals will eventually succeed.
Gold Trend and Trading StrategyInternational gold is in a strong corrective pattern after an oversold decline, currently range-bound between $4400 and $4550. The long-short game centers on three main drivers: Fed rate-cut expectations, geopolitical risks in the Middle East, and continuous gold purchases by central banks. Technically, the price has stabilized but faces heavy resistance to the upside.
Trading Strategy
In the short term, gold is undergoing an oversold rebound combined with bottom-building. $4400 serves as the key long-short level, while $4550 acts as the strength-weakness threshold. The trading approach prioritizes long positions on dips with strict position control.
Entry: Go long on stabilization around $4430–$4450
Stop Loss: $4420
Take Profit:$4480–$4500
GALA finding support @ 0.0027GALA currently finding support at monthly low 0.0027 (3 touch points)
The monthly candles closed 1 day from now
What "bad" looks like:
Price starts to move below 0.0027 then -80% retracement could occur / lower target of 0.00065.
What "good" looks like:
Price does not operate/hold below 0.0027
Breakout of downtrend (anticipate *some* resistance @ 0.01)
Ambitious target @ 0.35 - 0.39 @ 12K% uplift
Est. flight time = 6 months per previous performance
R:R = 1:150
RSI analysis:
Weekly RSI = oversold
Daily RSI = bullish div.
4H chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)This is a clean 4H chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), and your analysis shows a classic bullish breakout setup. Given the current war in the Middle East and the "deep correction" in stocks we discussed, this chart explains exactly why that is happening: the Safe-Haven Flow.
Here is a breakdown of your setup:
1. The Technical Setup: "The Ascending Triangle Break"
The Trendlines (Green): You’ve identified a long-term bearish channel that held price down for most of early 2026.
The Breakout: Price has clearly pierced the upper green trendline. This is a significant "Change of Character" (CHoCH).
The Red Ascending Support: This steep trendline shows aggressive buying pressure. Every dip is being bought higher than the last.
The Target (Yellow Line): You have mapped out a move toward 101.463. This aligns perfectly with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 2025 decline and is a major psychological "magnet" for the bulls.
2. Fundamental Convergence (The "Why")
Your chart is reflecting the "War Premium":
Safe Haven: As the Middle East conflict escalates (specifically with the April 6th deadline regarding the Strait of Hormuz), investors are dumping stocks/ETFs and hiding in the USD.
Inflation Hedge: Because oil is soaring (above $100/bbl), the market expects the Fed to stay "Hawkish" (keep interest rates high). High rates = Strong Dollar.
3. Price Action Prediction (The White Path)
Your projected "zigzag" path is very realistic for a trader:
Initial Push: Reaching for the 100.50 resistance.
The Retest: A "Healthy" pullback (similar to your view on the stock market) to verify the previous resistance as new support.
Final Expansion: The leg up to your 101.463 target.
BNB respects 600 POI, upside toward 730-780 probableYello Paradiser! Did you catch the reaction from the key demand zone on BNB (#BNBUSDT), or are you still waiting while smart money already positioned at the lows?
💎#BNBUSDT has reacted precisely from the Bullish POI around the 600 level, confirming it as a strong demand zone where buyers stepped in aggressively.
💎This reaction aligns perfectly with the previously formed accumulation structure, where supply was absorbed and price prepared for expansion.
💎The bounce from this zone indicates that smart money is defending this level, reinforcing the idea that this is not just a random support, but a strategic entry area.
💎As long as price continues to hold above the 600 POI, the bullish structure remains intact and favors upside continuation.
💎The immediate objective for this move is a push toward the mid-range resistance around 680, which acts as the first checkpoint for bullish strength.
💎A successful break above that level would open the path toward the major Draw on Liquidity (DOL) sitting at 730–780, which aligns with the Bearish Order Block.
💎This zone (730–780) is where smart money is likely to distribute positions, making it the primary target area for longs.
💎However, patience is still key price may produce minor pullbacks or consolidations before continuing higher, as markets rarely move in a straight line.
💎If momentum remains strong, we could also see a Sign of Strength (SOS) confirming continuation toward the target zone.
💎On the flip side, if price fails to hold above the 600 level and breaks down with acceptance below, the bullish scenario weakens significantly.
💎A deeper move below 570 (Selling Climax level) would invalidate the bullish structure and shift the bias back to bearish.
Paradiser, this is where execution matters. The move has started now it’s about managing the trade, not chasing it.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success 🌴
AUDUSD SELL TRADE PLANPAIR: AUDUSD
DATE: 30 March 2026
PLAN ID: AUDUSD-20260330-01
Analysis Time (UTC): 13:30
1) TRADE INTENT
Selling a corrective pullback within a high-momentum H4 bearish expansion, targeting deep discount liquidity pools and the psychological 0.6800 handle.
2) PLAN OVERVIEW
* Market State: Trending (Bearish)
* Trade Model: Model 2 — Pullback to Institutional Zone
* Direction: SELL
* Horizon: Swing
* Setup Grade: A
* Plan Status: VALID
3) LEVELS CARD (Execution Section)
Setup Status
* Price State: FAR — Retracement toward premium supply pending
* Operator Mode: SET & FORGET (Mode A)
* Zone Status: Fresh Tap Pending
Risk & Confidence
* Confidence: 90% (Pre-Trigger)
* Risk Per Trade: 1.0%
ENTRY PLAN
Primary Entry (Higher Probability)
* Entry 01: 0.68980
* Stop Loss: 0.69380 (40 pips)
* TP1: 0.68550 (Protection)
* TP2: 0.68050 (Core Objective)
* TP3: 0.67550 (D1 Macro Objective)
* Reason: H1 Decisional Supply Zone / 61.8% Fibonacci Confluence / Internal Liquidity Sweep origin.
Pre-Entry Invalidation: 0.69650 (Breach of H4 Structural LH)
Trigger Required:
Wait for confirmation as per Trigger Rule
(BOS / strong rejection / displacement / divergence reaction on M15/M30/H1/H4)
Session Preference: London / NY Overlap
Order Type: Pending (Sell Limit)
Expiry: Event Expiry (Cancel 15m before US NFP on Friday if not triggered).
4) MARKET CONTEXT
* Structure: H4/H1 structure is bearish with clear displacement following the rejection of the 0.7100+ macro extreme.
* Liquidity Objective: Large sell-side liquidity pools rest below the 0.6840 swing low and the 0.6800 round number.
* Zone Logic: The zone at 0.6898 represents the origin of the last aggressive impulse that broke internal structure; it serves as the "Decisional" POI.
* Invalidation Narrative: A close above 0.6938 would indicate the corrective phase has shifted into a deeper HTF retracement or structural transition.
5) FUNDAMENTALS & NEWS
* Verdict: ALIGNED
* Action: TRADE
* Flow/Positioning Check: ANTI-AUD — Middle East conflict escalation is driving massive safe-haven USD demand while weighing on risk-sensitive AUD.
* Released (last 24h): None (Australian Headline CPI softened to 3.7% last week, supporting a bearish outlook).
* Key high-impact risk (next 3–5 days): US CB Consumer Confidence (Tue), RBA Meeting Minutes (Wed), US NFP (Fri).
* News Blackout Gate: No new entries 15m before / 60m after high-impact events. Fed Chair Powell speaks today (13:30 UTC)—monitor for blackout.
6) EXECUTION PROTOCOL
Price is currently in the "Distribution" phase of a bearish AMD cycle. We are waiting for a corrective "Accumulation" and "Manipulation" (pullback) into our supply zone before entering.
7) RISK & POSITIONING
* Correlation Risk: Highly correlated with EURUSD/GBPUSD sell plans; manage total USD exposure across the desk.
* Commodity Sensitivity: Escalating oil prices due to Strait of Hormuz risks may create sudden volatility spikes.
8) CONFIDENCE SUMMARY
Strong H4 bearish momentum, clear macro-alignment with Middle East risk-off sentiment, and a clean institutional supply zone at the 61.8% retracement level justify high conviction.
9) FINAL EXECUTION NOTE
This is a high-purity Model 2 setup. We are not chasing the current expansion; we are positioning at the "Premium" price where institutions are likely to add to short positions. If price reaches the zone during Fed Chair Powell’s speech, execution must shift to Mode C (Confirmation) to avoid volatility spikes.
XRP at Key Level — Break Up or Drop Fast!Yello, are you prepared for XRP’s next move as it approaches a critical breakout zone, or will this turn into another rejection that catches traders off guard?
💎XRPUSDT is still moving within a well-respected descending channel, indicating a controlled pullback rather than a full bearish trend. The structure remains clean, with price reacting precisely to both the descending resistance and support, which makes the current setup highly technical and predictable if approached with patience.
💎At the moment, price is testing the upper boundary of the channel around the $1.35–$1.36 region. This level has acted as dynamic resistance multiple times, and once again, #XRP is showing a reaction here. A strong 4H candle close above this trendline is required to confirm a breakout. Without that, this remains just another potential rejection zone.
💎 If buyers manage to push the price above this resistance with conviction, the next immediate target sits at $1.48–$1.50, which aligns with horizontal resistance. A successful continuation above that level opens the path toward the #1.70 major resistance, where significant supply is expected.
💎However, if this breakout fails and XRP gets rejected again, the price is likely to rotate back toward the $1.30 major support. This level is crucial, as it has already held multiple times. A clean breakdown and 4H close below $1.30 would weaken the structure significantly and expose the market to a move toward $1.20, which acts as the next invalidation zone.
This is a high-probability reaction zone, not a guessing game. The smart approach here is to let the market confirm its intention before taking any position.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴






















