BTCUSDT – Daily Chart Update. BTCUSDT – Daily Chart Update
Current Structure Price: ~$67.3K
Trading just above major support (~$60K–$62K zone)
Still inside a larger descending channel
Short-term forming a tight consolidation range
Market is compressing after a sharp drop — decision phase
Breakdown from previous range → strong sell-off
Now forming a bear flag / weak recovery structure
Lower highs still intact → trend remains bearish
Bearish Continuation (more likely currently)
Rejection from the $70K area
Break below $60K
Targets:
$55K
Possibly lower if momentum builds
Bullish Reversal (needs confirmation)
Break & hold above $72K
Invalidate the lower high structure
Then move toward:
$78K → $80K
👉 Still bearish until $72K is reclaimed
Community ideas
EURUSD is awaiting newsAnother important week is expected for EURUSD, with developments around the war continuing to have a strong impact.
The market remains sensitive to any incoming information, so sharper price movements are possible.
Price is holding around 1,1500, but a move lower toward 1,1400 is still more likely.
Watch for reactions and trade with reduced risk.
BTC USDHI GUYS,
UPDATE ON BTC USD
my technical analysis says, we had a false even number on (wed, thur) sell price pattern that i noticed abit late. which means there is a possible extension this week as we hunt down an accurate (wed, thur) price pattern and a correction on (fri, mon) continuation sell entry.
NOTE
I cud be wrong but all will be clear tomorrow as illustrated above, which means we wait for price pattern (mon, tue) on the two bottoms which is estimated trigger time 6am tomorrow possible buys
AUDUSD: Local CORRECTION in global UPTREND (3H TF)AUD is showing weakness since middle March. Whereas the global picture shows that AUD will get more expensive, the local picture sends uncertainty signals that it will happen now.
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Technicals:
1. Price is moving in local descending trend. This is confirmed by lower lows and lower highs .
2. AUD recently retested the Long-Term Support zone since 2019 using the liquidity from beginning of March. This followed with a strong bounce reaction on the news of 5-day ceasefire in Iran.
3. Being a manipulative bounce it does not mean yet the local trend change on metals, especially gold a silver, which did not reach their downtrend targets yet. AUD is dependend on gold and silver prices, so it will fall if they fall and it will rise if they rise.
4. Price is testing the middle line of current accumulative channel ( 0.70200 ), the breakout above which will confirm the uptrend continuation
5. Hold below this 0.70200 level though will push the price for another retest of the global support
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Conclusion:
If the current S/R level and middle line of the accumulating channel at 0.70200 don`t hold, I will be looking for entering short at 0.69518 with a squeeze penetration of Long-Term Support Level at 0.68926 as the first target.
The scenario will be invalidated if the price stronly closes with 4H above 0.70300
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SHORT SETUP:
✅ Entry Point: TRIGGER 0.69518
🛑 Stop-Loss: 0.70342
🤑 Target 1: 0.68926
🤑 Target 2: 0.68495
🤑 Target 3: 0.67720
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Good Luck! ☺️
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DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Everyone must make trading decisions at their own risk, guided only by their own criteria and strategy for opening or not opening a trade.
Gold Retest Fails While Oil Surges —Safe Haven or Liquidity TrapGold is showing a recovery attempt after rejecting the trendline…
but with oil exploding and equities dumping, the real question is:
👉 Is gold lagging… or preparing for a delayed expansion?
Macro Narrative 🌍
This week’s price action is heavily driven by geopolitical escalation:
• Middle East tensions are intensifying as US military presence expands
• Iran-backed Houthi forces are actively involved → risk of prolonged conflict
• Brent oil surged above $116 (+3.4%), signaling inflation pressure
• Asian equities dropped sharply (Japan/Korea -4%+, MSCI Asia -2.4%)
• US futures & EU futures both declining → risk-off sentiment rising
• US Treasuries bid → capital shifting into safety
📊 Interpretation:
This is a classic risk-off environment
→ Normally bullish for gold
⚠️ But gold is not rallying aggressively
→ Suggests liquidity repositioning or delayed reaction
Technical Overview (H1) 📊
• Price is still trading inside a broader range
• Clear descending trendline acting as dynamic resistance
• Recent move = trendline retest + rejection
• No confirmed bullish structure shift yet
📉 Current structure:
→ Lower highs still respected
→ Market remains in corrective / distribution phase
Key Levels 🎯
🟡 Resistance / Trendline: 4418
📊 Current Price Zone: ~4505
🛡️ Liquidity Sweep Low: 4310
✨ Upside Target: 4600
Scenario 1 — Bearish Continuation 🔻
If price fails to reclaim 4418 trendline, then:
→ Expect continuation lower
→ Liquidity target: 4310
📉 Path:
4500 → 4418 rejection → 4310
⚠️ Confirms:
Market still distributing despite macro risk
Scenario 2 — Bullish Reversal 📈
If price breaks and holds above trendline (4418):
→ Market may shift structure
→ Buyers step in aggressively
📈 Path:
4450 → 4500 → 4600
⚠️ Confirms:
Gold finally reacting to geopolitical risk
Market Debate ⚖️
We are in a paradox:
• Oil ↑
• War risk ↑
• Stocks ↓
ETHUSD: HODOR!Resistance is broken! But the battle isn't over. The bulls have taken the fortress, and now they must HODOR to confirm the new trend. But will they hold the door against the drop?
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Technicals:
1. Since the beginning of February, ETH is trading above and below the Long-Term Support/Resistance zone which has played a significant role over the last 2 years.
2. In most cases the above mentioned S/R zone gets protected by trending party. That means if bears push the price below the zone, they usually defend it to ensure further trend continuation. Same applies to the bulls.
3. Current price behavior (presuming price remains above $2138.0 ) looks like bear exhaustion and bullish strength. If you take a look at resistance (blue circles) and support (green circles) you will see:
- Bears defending $2150.0 since 5 Feb. 2026 with slight stop-hunts above the level, and
- Bulls setting higher lows 4 times in a row, pinning the price to the zone
4. With the bears losing control the bulls pushed the price up to $2380.0 . Whether it was a false breakout or not the time will show. After that the price retested the support zone once again but bounced outside on the news of 5-day ceasefire in Iran.
5. There are plenty of Liquidity Pockets above and below the S/R zone, which represent the targets for funds and other trading algorithms working for funds.
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Conclusion:
IF the price holds above zone and there will be no EVERYTHING-CHANGING news , the ETHUSD will most likely find the local bottom and move to $2749.3 as a 1st Target.
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LONG SETUP:
✅ Entry Point: TRIGGER Above $2178.7
🛑 Stop-Loss: $1982.5
🤑 Target: $2749.3
The scenario will be invalidated if we see a strong close of 2 (two) 4H candles below $2015.0
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Good Luck! ☺️
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DISCLAIMER : Not financial advice. Everyone must make trading decisions at their own risk, guided only by their own criteria and strategy for opening or not opening a trade.
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P.S Find a more detailed analysis on ETH in Related Publications >>>
P.P.S Are you a trader or a HODLer on crypto? Share your approach in comments below 👇
EURUSD is showing a strong bullish trend on the 1H timeframe,📊 EURUSD TRADE SETUP 📊
🚀 Market Outlook: Bullish Breakout Confirmed
EURUSD is showing a strong bullish trend on the 1H timeframe, with a clear resistance breakout. Price is now pulling back towards a key support zone around 1.15500, offering a potential buy opportunity in line with the trend.
📈 Entry Zone: 1.15500 (Support Area)
🎯 Targets:
➡️ 1st Target: 1.15800
➡️ 2nd Target: 1.16300
⚠️ Trade Plan:
Look for confirmation (bullish rejection / structure support) before entering. Avoid impulsive entries.
💡 Risk Management is Essential:
✔️ Set a proper Stop Loss
✔️ Use controlled lot size
✔️ Stick to your trading plan
🔥 Stay patient, stay disciplined, and let the market come to you!
💬 Like • Follow • Comment • Share
#GBPUSD , Messy ! Messy market !📊 Morning Market Brief | London Session Prep
🔎 Instrument Focus: #GBPUSD
⚠️ Risk Environment: High
📈 Technical Overview:
I believe it wont went that much down but lets have it in our watchlist . need to wait for a momentum first.
other pairs are so messy .. . be carful .
🚀 Trading Plan:
• Need to check Momentum at POI
• LTF ENTRY NEEDED ‼️
• Just and Only for QuickScalp
🧠 Stay updated with real time news and macro events, visit 👉@Traders_Room_Bot
#Ash_TheTrader #Forex #EURUSD #MarketInsight #PriceAction #TradingPlan #RiskManagement #LondonSession #Scalping #Futures #NQ #Gold
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 30, 2026 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is holding around 160.000, marking fresh multi-month highs on the back of demand for the dollar. The shift into safe-haven assets is linked to geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices, while for Japan higher energy costs worsen trade terms and add pressure on the yen.
However, at current levels the risk of official intervention is increasing. Japanese regulators’ messaging is becoming firmer: a weaker yen pushes up import prices and affects inflation, so the Bank of Japan is closely monitoring the exchange rate and does not rule out more active steps on rates.
The combination of intervention risk and expectations of gradual policy tightening by the Bank of Japan increases the likelihood of a downside correction in USD/JPY. Any signs of a softer dollar—either from easing tensions or more moderate Fed signals—could accelerate the return of demand for the yen. For today, the priority is selling the pair on pullbacks.
Trading recommendation: SELL 160.000, SL 160.200, TP 159.300
Artificial Superintelligence (FET): Full Attentions at Both EMAsFET is sitting inside a key zone, where buyers are trying to secure support before making any proper move. The first step for us is a reclaim of the 100EMA, which would give confirmation that momentum is shifting back.
From there, we look at the unfilled gap above, which has been left untouched since earlier dumps — a strong magnet for price. The game plan remains clear: hold this zone, reclaim the 200EMA, and then we target the gap fill at higher levels.
Swallow Academy
AAPL After the Selloff — what I’m seeing for March 29
1H view (where we actually are)
I’m looking at the 1H first and honestly… this is not a healthy chart right now.
That rising structure you had (the small uptrend channel) already broke. Once that trendline gave up around 252–253, sellers just took control and didn’t look back.
Now price is sitting around 247 area, and the structure is clearly:
* lower highs
* lower lows
* no strong bounce
That 252–255 zone is now the key. That’s where price broke down from. If it goes back there, I expect sellers to show up again unless something changes.
15M view (what it’s doing now)
On the 15M, it’s even clearer… this is just steady selling.
No real bounce, just:
* small pullbacks
* continuation lower
* no reversal structure
Right now it’s compressing around 246–248, which looks like a pause, not strength.
I’ve seen this a lot — people think “it stopped dropping, maybe bounce”… but in this type of trend, it usually continues after a short rest.
GEX / options side (this explains the behavior)
This part lines up really clean with the chart.
There’s heavy put support stacked below (240–235 area), and not much strong support above price.
That means:
* downside moves can accelerate
* dealers keep selling into weakness
* bounces get sold faster
Also, the closest real upside wall is way higher (around 260+), so there’s no strong magnet pulling price up right now.
So overall, flow is not helping bulls here.
How I’d approach tomorrow
If price pops early into 250–252
That’s the zone I’m watching the most.
If it pushes there and stalls, I’d expect rejection again. That’s basically the breakdown area.
Targets I’d look at:
* 246 first
* then 243–240
* if pressure continues, 235 area
If it just keeps drifting down
Then I’m not fighting it.
Below 246, it can slide pretty clean:
* 243
* 240
* and that’s where it might start reacting a bit more
If bulls want to flip this
They need to reclaim 252–255 and hold it, not just wick into it.
If that actually happens, then I’d look toward:
* 257
* maybe 260
But right now, I don’t see that setup yet.
To me, this feels very similar to MSFT… just controlled selling after a breakdown.
No panic bounce, no strong reversal… just steady pressure down.
So I’m not trying to predict bottom. I’m just reacting:
* short at resistance
* or wait for real reclaim
Anything in the middle is just noise.
GBPUSD 1:1 SetupBefore I begin this thread, please note that my account name will be changing to ThinkFast Trades 👍
In late January GBPUSD printed a high volatility shooting star liquidity sweep through resistance.
This volatility and liquidity combination suggests momentum has shifted to the downside.
In the local structure we have now printed three weekly candles with long upper wicks, showing repeated rejection from higher prices.
This indicates significant overhead resistance.
While another wick higher is possible, three consecutive rejections is uncommon. The higher probability scenario is that price fails to exceed the highest wick and begins rotating lower.
Below current price sits a downside liquidity pool (marked on the chart).
This setup recognises resistance above and liquidity below, positioning for a move toward that liquidity area.
The exit is placed slightly ahead of the pool to increase the probability of being filled before any reversal.
_
Entry: Current Price
TP: 1.30136
SL: 1.34772
This is a 1:1 risk-reward trade.
Price points based on Vantage broker charts.
Not advice
LINK Facing Heavy Resistance — Continuation or Breakdown?⚠️ LINK Facing Heavy Resistance — Continuation or Breakdown?
LINK is trading within a broader bearish HTF structure, with price failing to reclaim strength after multiple attempts. Recent moves look like corrective bounces into supply rather than a true trend shift, keeping overall bias weak.
Liquidity is resting above recent highs, and price is slowly pushing into that area without strong momentum. This type of grind into resistance often leads to a trap, where liquidity is taken before rejection.
From chart context, key resistance sits around 9.1–9.5, aligning with the supply zone, while immediate support is near 8.5 and deeper levels around 8.2–7.8. Losing current support would expose downside liquidity.
Volume remains relatively weak and lacks bullish expansion, while RSI MA is turning down from mid-high levels, signaling fading momentum.
I’m watching reactions in the 9.1–9.5 zone — rejection favors continuation lower, while acceptance would shift short-term bias.
Analysis by Leo524.
#LINK #Crypto #Leo524
USDT Dominance Is Rolling Over. Stablecoin dominance is the fear gauge. When it spikes, capital is hiding in stables. When it drops, money is rotating back into risk. Right now, USDT dominance is tracing the exact same ABC corrective pattern it printed in late 2019 — right before capital flooded back into BTC and alts.
🔁 THE 2019 FRACTAL
2019: USDT dominance bottomed with a multi-month accumulation base (~79 days), rallied hard as the market corrected, then topped and rolled over in an ABC correction. That ABC completion marked the exact point where capital stopped hiding in stables and re-entered the market. The 2020 rally followed.
We're watching the same movie again.
📐 STRUCTURE COMPARISON
2019 Pattern:
— 79-day bottoming base before dominance rally
— Sharp spike to 2.418% (peak fear)
— ABC correction: A to 0.618, B to 0.786, C down to lows
— 45-day ABC correction duration
— C wave completion → capital rotation back into crypto → 2020 bull run
2025–26 Now:
— 83-day bottoming base before dominance rally (nearly identical)
— Sharp spike to 8.529% (peak fear)
— ABC correction: A to 0.5 (6.338%), B to 0.786 (7.591%), C projecting toward 0.382 (5.821%)
— 52-day ABC correction underway
— C wave completion → capital rotation back into crypto → next leg up
📐 KEY FIBONACCI LEVELS (USDT.D)
1.0 (Top): 8.529%
0.786: 7.591% — B wave resistance (currently rejecting)
0.618: 6.855%
0.5: 6.338% — A wave support
0.382: 5.821% — C wave target
0.0 (Base): 4.147%
📋 WHAT THIS MEANS
USDT dominance topped. The double-top formation at the highs with a lower high on the B wave is textbook exhaustion. Capital has stopped flowing into stables.
The B wave is rejecting at 0.786 (7.591%). This is the classic B wave termination level. Failure here confirms the C wave down.
C wave target is the 0.382 at 5.821%. This is where dominance bottoms and the rotation trade fires. In 2019, C wave completion was the exact inflection point — crypto rallied hard from there.
Falling USDT dominance = rising crypto prices. This is the confirmation layer for the BTC 2019 fractal.
AUDUSD | FRGNT WEEKLY OUTLOOK | FRGNT FAVOURITE 📅 Q1 | W14 | Y26
📊AUDUSD | FRGNT WEEKLY OUTLOOK | FRGNT FAVOURITE
💡PULL BACK SHORTS - INDICATION THAT GBPUSD & EURUSD COULD ALSO FOLLOW SUIT
🔍 Analysis Framework
This forecast is built using an advanced adaptation of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured and disciplined approach:
• Marking Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
• Defining a clear, controlled trading range from those zones 📐
• Refining entries on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
• Waiting for confirmed Break of Structure (BoS) before execution ✅
This process ensures precision, removes emotional decision-making, and keeps me aligned with the overall market narrative.
💡 Core Philosophy
“Capital management, discipline, and consistency create longevity.”
A strong risk-to-reward model, paired with high-probability execution, is the foundation of sustainable trading 📈🔐
⚠️ Understanding Losses
"Losses are part of the game" — a mathematical certainty 🎲
They don’t define performance. Nor do they define you as a Trader.
They are managed, reviewed, and used as evidence for growth 📊
🙏 Final Note
Appreciate you taking the time to review today’s forecast.
Stay disciplined 🎯
Protect your capital 🔐
— FRGNT 🚀📈
📌 Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
It reflects my personal approach to the markets — a tested framework that has supported my own journey to consistent profitability in trading currencies.
This is not a signal service, and all trading decisions remain your own responsibility.
Additionally, this post is not intended to breach ANY TradingView House Rules.
FX:AUDUSD
RELIEF RALLY + FOMO RETAIL, NOT TRUE ACCUMULATIONThe current gold market no longer reacts solely to news but operates according to cash flow logic after a strong sell-off from the peak. The macro context shows a clear tug-of-war: growth shows signs of slowing while inflation remains high. This creates a 'conflicting expectations' environment, where gold is supported defensively but simultaneously pressured by the USD. Therefore, recent increases are more technical rebounds rather than a true accumulation process.
On the H2 frame, the price structure maintains a downward trend with clearly lower highs and lower lows. After a strong breakdown, the market is rebounding to retest an important confluence area including Fibo 0.5–0.618, FVG, and the descending trendline. This is a decisive area where large cash flows often exploit for redistribution rather than trend reversal.
The main scenario still leans towards the possibility of price rejection at the 4470–4520 area. If this occurs, the market is likely to return to the 43xx area and extend down to deeper liquidity areas around 41xx. This development aligns with the logic of 'pullback to continue the downtrend,' where rebounds only serve to create liquidity for sellers.
In the event that the price breaks and holds above the 4520 area, the market may extend the rebound to the 4550–4600 area. However, it should be emphasized that this is still just a deep rebound within a larger downtrend structure, not yet sufficient to confirm a trend reversal.
Overall, the market is still in a repricing and liquidity filtering phase. A true bottom has not yet formed as market sentiment remains expectant and cash flow has not completed the process of sweeping lower liquidity. Therefore, the main trend remains downward, and rebounds to the supply area continue to be seen as opportunities for the market to continue the sell-off in the short and medium term.
DAX-Bullish Reaction from HTF Demand Price is currently trading into a major higher timeframe support zone, aligned with a bullish order block + FVG from April 2025.
This area represents institutional demand, and we can already observe key reactions:
🔻 Selling pressure is getting absorbed
🔻 Momentum to the downside is weakening
🔻 Price starts to stabilize at lows (weak low formed)
🔍 Lower Timeframe Refinement 15M-5M
After refining into lower timeframes:
✔️ We see a clear slowdown in bearish momentum
✔️ Internal CHoCH to the upside forms
✔️ Early signs of accumulation / shift in order flow
This gives us confirmation that buyers are stepping in.
🎯 Trade Idea
📍 Entry: 21,935 (within demand zone)
📍 Stop Loss: Below the weak low / liquidity
📍 Targets:
• First: internal structure highs
• Second: higher timeframe imbalance / supply
⚡ Confluence
• HTF Bullish Order Block
• HTF FVG (imbalance)
• Sell-side liquidity taken
• Absorption of selling pressure
• LTF market structure shift
🧠 Model Logic
Support → Liquidity Taken → Absorption → Structure Shift → Expansion Up
💡 When selling pressure fades at key HTF demand, smart money is usually accumulating — not selling.
👇
📊 GER40 (DAX) – Bullish Reaction from HTF Demand
Price is currently trading into a major higher timeframe support zone, aligned with a bullish order block + FVG from April 2025.
This area represents institutional demand, and we can already observe key reactions:
🔻 Selling pressure is getting absorbed
🔻 Momentum to the downside is weakening
🔻 Price starts to stabilize at lows (weak low formed)
🔍 Lower Timeframe Refinement
After refining into lower timeframes:
✔️ We see a clear slowdown in bearish momentum
✔️ Internal CHoCH to the upside forms
✔️ Early signs of accumulation / shift in order flow
This gives us confirmation that buyers are stepping in.
🎯 Trade Idea
📍 Entry: 21,935 (within demand zone)
📍 Stop Loss: Below the weak low / liquidity
📍 Targets:
• First: internal structure highs
• Second: higher timeframe imbalance / supply
⚡ Confluence
• HTF Bullish Order Block
• HTF FVG (imbalance)
• Sell-side liquidity taken
• Absorption of selling pressure
• LTF market structure shift
🧠 Model Logic
Support → Liquidity Taken → Absorption → Structure Shift → Expansion Up
💡 When selling pressure fades at key HTF demand, smart money is usually accumulating — not selling.
#DAX #GER40 #SmartMoney #OrderBlock #FVG #TradingView #PriceAction
ZEC: stealth bounce ahead? key levels to watch in the coming dayZECUSDT – ready for a quiet little stealth bounce? While majors are fighting around key levels after the latest Bitcoin ETF and rate-cut headlines, privacy coins like ZEC are just hugging support, waiting for attention. According to market chatter, interest in privacy narratives keeps popping up whenever regulators make noise, so I’m watching this zone closely.
On the 4H chart, ZEC is sitting right on a fat demand block around 210–205 with volume building there and RSI chilling in the 30s–40s, not oversold but clearly compressed. I’m leaning long from this support, targeting a first move into the 225–233 range where we’ve got a chunky supply band and previous rejection. If buyers actually wake up, a deeper squeeze into the 245–250 zone is on the table.
My game plan: ✅ look for a bounce confirmation above 215 with increasing volume and hold toward 232 as the main target. If price loses 205 and closes below that demand, I flip the bias and expect a slide toward 195–188 instead. I might be wrong, but for now I’m stalking longs near the green box and will stay flat if this support cracks.






















