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The Bearish Case for the S&P 500THIS IS A BEARISH OUTLOOK FOR THE S&P 500. Ladies and Gentlemen, Greed is upon us. no more TACOs can save the economy now. The Oil Markets ( TVC:USOIL ) are now above $100 a barrel, there looks to be no more rate cuts until the end of this year, private credit is getting a beating, and there may even be a ground invasion of Iran even though the USA talks of a "truce". These will all be culminating at the same time. This chart is what that may look like, it truly isn't looking good for us right now. This bearish outlook sees a 30% pullback between 2026-2027. There may be a ceasefire with Iran, but that will only soothe the markets for a short time, as there may be a bigger crisis; Private Equity. This is especially with stocks like NYSE:OWL , NYSE:KKR , NYSE:APO , etcetera. Not to mention NYSE:ORCL 's debt and the major hype for NASDAQ:SPACEX that is basically a trap (the lockup will expire after 180 days, so prepare for a major pullback for that stock if that happens), which will essentially make the drop worse. Overall, this doesn't look good for the markets right now, but who knows what will happen in the future.
SP:SPXShort
by Rem3dy
NZDUSD H4 | Falling Towards Multi Swing Low SupportThe price is falling towards our buy entry level at 0.5715, which is a multi swing low support that is slightly above the 145% Fibonacci extension. Our stop loss is set at 0.5670, which is a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 0.5768, which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
Long
by FXCM
CADCHF FORECAST Higher Time Frame Analysis We determine trend directional bias on higher time frame (H4). The price is in an uptrend and currently is in a range. Price created change of character (CHoCH) from the uptrend to downtrend. Since it changed character, we will look for shorting opportunities. Intermediate Time Frame Analysis While creating CHoCH on H4 time frame, it left behind supply zone and an imbalance on H1. Price is retracing to the supply and imbalance zone. So we will now look for trading opportunities on 15 minutes (M15) time frame. Lower Time Frame Analysis On retracement, price got rejected forming CHoCH and further confirms it by forming break of structure (BOS) on lower time frame. This confirms that sellers have taken control to drive the price lower. Entry Analysis We short the market upon sighting bearish engulfing candlestick pattern. We entered short on 0.57506, targeting a profit of 23 pips at the low of H1 zone 0.57275, with a 6.5 pips stop loss at 0.57571. Let's wait and see 👀 how price plays out.
Short
by mathiaswilliam
1
XAUUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce SetupBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price fall towards our buy entry level at 4,423.76, which is a pullback support. Our stop loss is set at 4,318.83, which is a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 4,573.85, which is an overlap resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FXCM
Bullish bounce for the Kiwi?The price is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 100% Fibonacci projection and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.5682 1st Support: 0.5581 1st Resistance: 0.5793 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Long
by IC Markets
XRP - Final Pullback Before New ATHsXRP continues to respect the broader Elliott Wave structure, with price now pulling back within a higher-timeframe 5th wave ending diagonal. The larger bullish sequence remains intact, and the current decline is being viewed as wave 4 of that diagonal. This retracement is moving into the marked buy zone, where wave 4 is expected to complete before the final wave 5 advance begins. Ending diagonals still unfold in 5 waves, and that is the key focus here. Rather than viewing this current drop as the end of the move, the structure suggests it is the final pullback before one more push higher into completion of the larger pattern. The monthly chart is mapping out the broader path. From here, the focus is on letting wave 4 complete in the buy zone, then using lower-timeframe confirmation for entry into wave 5 higher. I will likely post a lower-timeframe update to refine the exact setup once price moves further into position. Trade Idea: Entry: Lower-timeframe trendline break once wave 4 completes in the buy zone Stops: Below the completed wave 4 low / below the confirmation structure Targets: TP1: $3.50 TP2: $5.00 Optional runner: Keep a portion open in case price pushes further into the upper diagonal boundary Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD
by WicktatorFX
Nifty strategy for 30-03-2025Nifty may opened around at 22350 levels as per Sgx Nifty in today session due to America & Israel ready to battle ground with the Iran it is escalating fears in investors how much long the war continues. so I am expecting Nifty may take support around at 21900 and 21700 levels in coming days .India vix trade around at 26 levels which is very panic level for long term investors it is indicating the market may go down with huge volatality. Investors can allocated their funds on Fmcg, It, and Defense sectors around at support levels only 25% of funds in their capital. Nifty Support levels:22420,22200 Nifty resistance levels : 22740,23050 Bank nifty support levels : 51350,50900 Resistance levels : 52000,52860 Stock of the day : Bharat electronics Ltd Buy price : 400 Stop loss : 390 Target : 420
NSE:NIFTY
by viswanath_ktc
SPY/SPX longer-term outlook Technically: AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Closed out the week under its 200-day SMA on the weekly but at a key supply. Would expect a bit of a bounce at some point as a relief/dead cat bounce from the heavy selling pressure last week. However, that being said, playing the devil's advocate, looking for any possible good news- Keep an eye on how the Iran conflict plays out & Trump's tweets. Fundamentally: - The 10-year & 30-year are spiking - Oil now expected to hit over $200 a barrel NYMEX:CL1! - Incredibly weak sentiment all around - Geopolitical turmoil
AMEX:SPYShort
by jacobosiason7
GBPUSD: Bearish! Look For Sells!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Mar. 30 - Apr 3. GBPUSD is going to close this month bearishly, and is likely to see this momentum continue into April. Selling is the best best. Any short term pullbacks I will look for the sell model to form for sell entries. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Short
by RT_Money
EURUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce For The FiberThe price is falling towards our buy entry level at 1.1478, which is an overlap support. Our stop loss is set at 1.1412, which is a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 1.1561, which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
Long
by FXCM
Bearish drop off?Dow Jones (US30) could rise towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance, and could reverse towards the 1st support, which is a pullback support. Pivot: 45,755.09 1st Support: 43,979.20 1st Resistance: 47,267.88 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
ICMARKETS:US30Short
by IC Markets
Is Rivian about to tumble into Bankruptcy? <EV market adoption is saturating, in my opinion. And don’t get me started on environmental benefits with which this whole debacle began. If demand for electric vehicles drop before the environmental “payback” period (when EV use starts offsetting the emissions from production), then: The upfront emissions from mining and refining critical minerals would still have occurred. The long-term climate benefits from cleaner driving wouldn’t materialise. Which means the net effect could actually worsen global warming in the short to medium term, since we’d have massive energy use and emissions from mining and manufacturing, That's better, get the rant over with sooner than late. The background The net zero drive has been incredibly frustrating to watch unfold, a forced movement, without being fully thought through. The race to the bottom further emphasised as Chinese firms like BYD who are able to undercut almost every other manufacturer, regardless of the production environmental impact. The hypocrisy knows no bounds. Especially as you consider a net zero initiative requires a mass scale solution. How is niche purchasers of mass off road SUVs to contribute to this change? If you ignore the environmental gesture owners convince themselves on purchase, what would you rather use off-road in a snow covered mountainside? Yeah.. Recently I had an opportunity to share a ride in a 4-5 year old Tesla. It was notable how quickly tech has dated, like last year’s iPhone. It's still good but Meahh. The interior cabin looked like a lost 1990's Starbucks corner where hope went to die and the vacuum cleaner on strike. Do serious coffee drinkers still use Starbucks? Anyway… The technical A while back the unpopular idea “ eVTOL manufacturer Lilium on the verge of 80% collapse? ” was published. This annoyed fanboys convinced the Jetsons future would be here any moment. And collapse it did. The business was drowning in debt, technically weak, spending energy on a product no one wanted. Who on earth wants a flying battery with all the complications that includes when the proven technology of the helicopter and safety record continues to succeed? If it works, don’t fix it. Unfortunately Rivian and their investors din’t get that memo. On the above 2 week chart, Rivian’s technical setup and fundamentals appear to be converging in a way that suggests significant downside risk. From a chart perspective, the descending triangle pattern, coupled with multiple bearish engulfing candles and a series of lower highs, highlights persistent selling pressure. These are classic hallmarks of a weakening structure. A decisive breakdown from the triangle could, based on prior measured moves, imply a potential ~60% decline from current levels. On the fundamental side, the headwinds are equally stark: $5 billion in debt, Negative P/E ratio (~–4.17), $11 million in monthly interest obligations, Continued margin pressure in a slowing EV market. If consumer demand plateaus before Rivian reaches cost efficiency and scale, the company could face liquidity stress or even solvency risk. This risk is amplified by rising competition, particularly from BYD and other cost efficient Chinese EV producers. In short, Rivian’s position in the premium EV niche looks precarious, both technically and structurally. Conclusions Rivian, oh, here we go. The electric SUV company that was gonna save the planet. I got those emails periodically in the spam filter. I doubt bankruptcy will stop them from arriving. Yeah, apparently the world’s going green, right? We’ll all be driving electric trucks up mountains while saving polar bears. Brilliant. Except now they’ve got five billion dollars of debt and owe eleven million a month just in interest. That’s not a company, that’s a bloke with too many credit cards pretending he’s fine. So yeah, technically, fundamentally, whatever you want to call it, it’s a mess. The chart says ‘down,’ the balance sheet says ‘help,’ and the investors are probably saying, ‘Where’s the exit?’ The only bullish thing left is the optimism of the shareholders. And that’s fading faster than a Tesla interior ;-) Ww ==================================================== Disclaimer This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only, whilst being a lot more environmentally friendlier than a new Rivian SUV. It represents personal opinions based on publicly available data and technical chart interpretation, not financial advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involves substantial risk, including the potential loss of capital. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NASDAQ:RIVN
by without_worries
8
XAUUSD H1 SELL 4550 TO 4600Market/Instrument: The chart is labeled XAUUSD (gold vs US dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe (H1). Price Action: Candlesticks are shown, indicating price movement over time. The recent movement appears to be recovering upward after a downward trend. Trend Pattern: On the left, there is a descending channel (blue shaded area), suggesting the market was previously in a downtrend. Reversal Structure: After hitting a low, the price forms a V-shaped recovery, followed by a rising movement supported by a drawn upward trendline. Support and Resistance Zones: A green support zone is marked near the lower price area. A red resistance zone is marked above, where price may struggle to move higher. Current Price Level: The price is hovering just below the resistance zone, suggesting a potential test or breakout attempt. Indicators/Interface: The right sidebar shows a watchlist (stocks, forex, crypto), and the top toolbar includes options like indicators, alerts, and replay.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Forex_Champions
5
EURJPY Sniper Short Zone FormingEURJPY has now reached the upper boundary of a well-defined long-term price channel after sustaining an overall uptrend for more than a year. Markets that trend strongly for extended periods will often begin to show signs of exhaustion or distribution when testing major structural resistance zones. From a higher-timeframe perspective, the daily chart is beginning to lean downward, suggesting that broader directional pressure may be shifting despite the long-term bullish move. On the 4-hour chart, momentum has now completed a bearish divergence setup, and price action has printed a clear shooting star rejection candle at the top of the channel. This type of reaction can sometimes signal the early stages of a corrective move or potential triple-top formation. Participation is also increasing, with 1-hour volume approaching elevated levels, indicating that opposing order flow may be starting to engage near this resistance area. At this stage, this market is not yet a confirmed trade setup, but rather a developing technical situation we are monitoring closely using the VMS 2.0 framework. For a potential short opportunity to become valid, we would want to see: continued downside follow-through from this resistance zone daily momentum maintaining bearish pressure expanding volume on downside moves clear structural confirmation such as lower highs or bearish engulfing behavior If these elements align, this area could present a rule-based exhaustion short scenario. If not, the longer-term uptrend may continue. As always, this analysis is shared for educational purposes, demonstrating how momentum divergence, structure, and participation are used together to identify higher-probability trading conditions.
Short
by darlwright
BTCUSD Bearish setup (3D)The recent push toward 75k appears to have been a fakeout, with price quickly rejecting and failing to establish acceptance above resistance — reinforcing overall bearish structure. Price remains firmly in a downtrend, respecting the descending channel and trading below all key moving averages Bearish confluences: Fakeout above 75k followed by strong rejection EMA ribbon acting as dynamic resistance Structure: consistent lower highs and lower lows Price capped below key Fib levels (0.382 acting as resistance) Downward sloping channel intact Weak bullish momentum with choppy consolidation As long as price stays below the highlighted resistance zone, continuation to the downside is likely. The measured move / 100% extension aligns around the 55k region, which also sits near the lower boundary of the macro channel — making it a high-probability target. Invalidation: clean break and hold above the resistance block.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by VisionaryInsights