Community ideas
DOT - LONGI think everybody is waiting when it will bounce. But it will not happen just like that because its far away from ATH. I think DOT is very good project. DOT has ETP tracking in Europe and might have full ETF as well later. Im waiting for drop below 1$. For me the price im looking for is below 0.90$. To be honest DOT can fall to 0.70$ as well because of its high cirr. supply. If this will happen consider this as live changing money if you have enough to invest. That would be at least 200K USD to invest because bounce will not be higher in my opinion then 3-4$. Anyway when it will fall and bounce to 3$ Im selling everything :) Regards.
$rose is heading south according to plan.We failed to flip at $0.019 two months ago. Now, I see the price is going to continue dropping to around $0.006 due to heavy market noise such as war, oil prices, inflation, and recession fears, blah blah.
First, I need to watch the liquidation zone at $0.0098. If it fails, I’ll start a position lower for a buying opportunity.
I still believe LSE:ROSE is a great project, and I personally think it can hit $0.045 in Q3 or so.
Please do your own research. This is not financial advice. Sharing my ideas doesn’t guarantee where the price will go.
ACAMD: High Stakes & High Volatility! ACAMD: High Stakes & High Volatility! 🏢🚩
ACAMD is a pure "land bank" play, but the current market price of 1.75 EGP is significantly detached from its actual book value.
The Valuation Gap: Estimated Fair Value sits at 1.32 EGP, making the stock ~24% overvalued at current levels. ❌
The P/B Trap: Trading at a Price-to-Book ratio of nearly 20x—roughly 9 times the sector average. This is a massive red flag for value investors. 🚩
Speculative DNA: The stock moves on one-off land auction news (like Minya or Assiut) rather than steady earnings. It’s prone to sharp "pump and dump" cycles. 🎢
Financial Health: Struggling with profitability, posting a -14.1M EGP net loss in its most recent cycle. 📉
Sharia Status: ❌ Non-Compliant. It is excluded from the EGX33 Shariah Index due to its financial ratios and interest-bearing income.
The technical structure for ACAMD has shifted significantly from a "Pump" to a "Correction" as the stock struggles with its overextended valuation. 📉
The Rejection: Failing to break the 2.00 EGP level for two consecutive days triggered the current downtrend wave. 🧱
Immediate Target: We’ve already hit the first downside target of 1.68 EGP. 🎯
The FVG Magnet: A massive Fair Value Gap (FVG) exists down to the 61.8% Fibonacci level (1.32 EGP). We expect the price to "inhale" this gap, likely finding temporary support at 1.44 EGP along the way. 🧲
The Confluence Floor: The stock’s actual Fair Value and the 200-day Moving Average (200 MA) both sit near 1.30 EGP, making this the most logical area for a trend reset. 🛡️
The Ultimate Safety: The "Line in the Sand" is the main historical support at 1.20 EGP. 🧱⚠️
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Bearish drop off?NZD/CAD has rejected off the resistance level, which is an overlap resistance, and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.80001
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.80368
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.79496
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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kvmev / AUDNZD outlookPrice is currently in a strong bullish uptrend on the monthly, weekly & daily time frame. Clear break and retest patterning on the daily time frame as well as price is looking to create a double top or higher high.
Looking to enter a 1:1.5 RR long position if price is able to respect the support zone and ascending trendline around 1.19600
Will look to secure 50% of profits at 1.20545 and will set SL to BE
Note - Price has closed below the higher time frame ascending trendline, most likely will only enter a long position if confirmation is strong and if price is able to create a h1/h4 break and retest around 1.20000 or if price is able to create strong bullish rejecting wicks around 1.19600
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Disclaimer: The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Any actions you take based on this content are done at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
kvmev / EURCHF outlookPrice is overall in a downtrend on the monthly & weekly time frame although we can see a uptrend on the daily & h4 time frame.
Price has also broken above the LTF descending trendline and has respected the ascending trendline.
Will look to enter a 1:1.5 long position if price is able to pull back to retest the support zone around 0.91450. If price does not pull back all the way and instead retests & rejects 0.91700 I may or may not enter a position, will be watching to see how the candlesticks close around that area and if valid, will enter a position with only 50% the risk I normally take.
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Disclaimer: The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Any actions you take based on this content are done at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Gold Price Analysis Today – Bearish Pressure ContinuesGold is currently trading around 4497 and remains under clear bearish pressure after breaking below the previous structure and holding under the descending trendline. Price is consolidating below the 4520-4550 resistance zone indicating strong supply. The market structure still shows lower highs and weak bullish momentum suggesting sellers are in control unless a strong breakout occurs. The current price action suggests a possible continuation to the downside especially if the range breaks below 4420 which could trigger a move toward lower support levels.
Gold fundamentals are currently slightly bearish due to a strong US dollar driven by expectations that Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer. Upcoming high impact USD news like NFP, Fed speeches and PMI data can create strong volatility if the data comes strong it will push the dollar higher and pressure gold further and if weak gold can spike up. At the same time geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices are providing some support to gold which is why price is currently ranging instead of dropping aggressively. Overall bias remains bearish unless upcoming data weakens the dollar.
Trade Plan – Sell Setup
Sell Zone: 4500-4550
Trigger: H1 bearish rejection or strong bearish candle from resistance
Targets: 4420, 4220, 4050
Invalidation: H1-H4 close above 4600
Trade Plan – Buy Setup
Buy Zone: 4200-4220 (major support)
Trigger: Strong bullish rejection or double bottom formation
Targets: 4450, 4600
Invalidation: H1 close below 4100
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 4500 - 4600
Support: 4220 - 4050
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
EURGBP — Potential Long Continuation Setup (VMS 2.0)Over the past three weeks EURGBP experienced a sharp downside move before producing a technically significant reaction from a key support zone.
Last week price staged a strong bounce from support and advanced toward the 38% Fibonacci retracement level, then retraced again into newly formed higher-low support. This price behavior is now developing what appears to be the fourth leg of a potential emerging uptrend structure.
From a multi-timeframe momentum standpoint:
Daily chart: momentum remains firmly aligned to the upside, indicating broader directional pressure may now be shifting in favor of buyers.
4-hour chart: bullish divergence is developing, suggesting downside exhaustion and the potential for further upside continuation.
Volume: participation is strengthening, with 1-hour volume near 90 and 4-hour volume approaching the preferred threshold, showing increasing interest from buyers.
A strong bullish engulfing candle formed overnight, providing an initial structural trigger signal within the VMS 2.0 framework.
🔎 Trade Context Transparency
It is worth noting that we attempted to enter long in this same market last Monday, and the position was stopped out on Thursday — by only two ticks — before price moved higher and reached the 38% Fibonacci retracement level.
This is a good example of how markets can test discipline and risk management.
The current structure is now presenting another technically valid opportunity to participate if alignment conditions continue to develop.
🎯 Execution Plan
From here we will evaluate:
Precise entry location based on continuation structure
Stop-loss placement using swing structure and ATR logic
Realistic profit targets aligned with resistance zones and risk-to-reward feasibility
If full VMS 2.0 alignment remains intact, this market may offer a rule-based long continuation opportunity.
As always, this analysis is shared for educational purposes, demonstrating how momentum alignment, structural development, and volume participation can be combined into a disciplined trading framework.
Everything is about to reverse and make new ATH'sThe downtrend is about to reverse in spectacular fashion. Charts are being made to look like we are about to repeat the 2022 downtrend. We are not, everything is being made to look this way to force people out of their positions and get retail traders to short the market. The real selloff will not happen for at least another year. April is going to be a record setting month as we push to new ATH's for all the indices as well as bitcoin. From there we will have a long sideways ranging period leading to the real drop in late 2027 or 2028. QQQ is the clearest chart to show this next move. Expect a big drop on monday and maybe tuesday, but after that we are going straight up. Don't know what the "news" will be that they use as the reason, but this is what they are planning. So get long around 557 and stay long. Thank you for your attention to this matter. -Fraggle J. Rock
kvmev / NZDJPY outlookPrice has recently retested and rejected the highs from 2014 and is looking to possibly reverse into a bearish market structure.
Clear head and shoulders pattern on the daily time frame as price is now retesting the ascending trendline.
Price also failed to create a higher high after February 26 and created a lower high on March 26.
Looking to enter a 1:2 RR short position if price is able to close below the support zone around 92.000 and strongly reject the same zone with bearish candlesticks to confirm the bias.
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Disclaimer: The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Any actions you take based on this content are done at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key-Zones, Setup for Mon (Mar 30)ES dropped 132 points on Friday, printed a 179-point range, and crude oil is holding above $100 heading into the weekend. Now we've got Powell speaking Monday at 10:30, quarter-end rebalancing kicking in, and conflicting Iran headlines swinging sentiment by the hour. The setup for Monday is loaded.
ES closed Friday at 6,392 after printing a low of 6,302, and Sunday Globex is trading around 6,384 after bouncing from a 6,360 low earlier in the session. The weekend was a steady stream of conflicting Iran headlines, with US officials talking about ground operation capabilities while Pakistan confirms Iran-US talks in Islamabad. Every time diplomacy pops up, crude dips and equities bounce. Every time military escalation headlines hit, crude rallies and equities sell. That push-pull dynamic is going to define Monday's session.
News & Sentiment Analysis:
The geopolitical picture is a mess of contradictions and it got worse late Sunday. The WSJ reported that Trump is weighing a military operation to extract Iran's uranium, which is a significant escalation beyond the existing strikes on infrastructure. On the military side, US officials confirmed "all options are on the table" for ground operations, Israeli military intercepted drones from Yemen, and petrochemical plants were targeted in Tabriz. On the other hand, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Egypt are working on diplomatic channels, with both Iran and the US expressing confidence in talks. The White House is "cautiously hopeful" about negotiations, and when that headline crossed at 11:23 ET Sunday, crude weakened and indexes strengthened immediately. The uranium extraction report could reverse that sentiment overnight.
The inflation picture got worse on Friday. Core PCE came in hot at 0.4% MoM vs 0.3% expected, with YoY at 2.8% vs 2.7%. UMich inflation expectations surged to 5.0%. And with crude above $100, the pass-through to future CPI prints is almost guaranteed. German CPI dropping Monday morning at 08:00 ET is expected to jump from 1.9% to 2.7%, which would confirm the global inflation re-acceleration narrative driven by energy.
Institutional positioning is about as bearish as it gets. Options flow data shows SPX delta at the 0th percentile, which means institutions are hedging at the most extreme level in the dataset. The largest daily trades were dominated by index put spreads at the 6,300-6,500 strike range. One notable trade: someone bought September $5,400 ES puts for $445K, hedging for a potential 15% decline from current levels. Real-time hedging flow finished at -5.2B on Friday, near its 30-day extreme, with $4B of that being longer-dated flow, not just 0DTE noise.
Gamma levels paint a concerning picture. The zero-gamma level sits at SPX 6,636, well above current price, meaning dealers are amplifying moves in both directions. The gamma stability reading hit 3% on Friday, which signals a high probability of continued large moves. The dealer positioning data shows -$1.2B in gamma notional, confirming the negative gamma environment that made Friday's decline accelerate.
Monday is also the second-to-last day of Q1. Quarter-end rebalancing is not optional for pension funds and balanced portfolios. With equities underperforming bonds this quarter, the standard flow is to sell equities and buy bonds to restore target allocations. These are mechanical flows that happen regardless of the macro picture.
Forecast:
• Overnight: Bearish, continued pressure as Asia processes weekend Iran headlines and crude above $102
• Morning Session: High volatility, choppy into Powell at 10:30. German CPI at 08:00 sets European tone
• Afternoon: Powell-dependent. Hawkish on inflation = renewed selling. Growth concerns = possible bounce
• Daily Close: Leaning lower, biased 6,300-6,370 range unless material Iran breakthrough or dovish Powell surprise
• Expected Range: 6,310 to 6,500 (ES), wider than normal given VIX >30 and negative gamma amplification
• Most Likely Path: Open weak, test 6,350-6,360 early. Choppy grind into Powell. Post-Powell resolution move of 30-50 points. If bearish, targeting 6,300 by close. If surprise bounce, 6,420-6,440 resistance.
Monday Events:
• 08:00 ET: German CPI YoY Prelim (2.7% exp vs 1.9% prior), HICP (2.9% exp vs 2.0%)
• 10:30 ET: Fed's Powell Speaks (THE event of the day)
• 16:00 ET: Fed's Williams Speaks
• Tuesday March 31: NKE earnings after bell ($0.32 EPS, $11.26B Rev), Q1 quarter-end
Resistance:
• 6,420-6,430, Friday's equilibrium zone, first meaningful overhead resistance
• 6,480-6,485, PDH area (Friday High 6,481.50), aggressive sellers likely waiting here
• 6,500-6,510, dealer positioning support/resistance boundary, confluence with 4H equilibrium
• 6,550-6,560, 50-DMA equivalent area, major moving average resistance, trend change level
Support:
• 6,350-6,360, Sunday Globex support, first line of defense
• 6,300-6,310, Friday's intraday low (PDL 6,302), critical re-test level, defended once
• 6,270-6,280, computed pivot S2 + 1SD statistical support
• 6,240-6,250, pivot S3 + 2SD support, prior weekly swing low area
• 6,200-6,210, 3SD statistical support, psychological level, below here opens 6,000
How I'm seeing it:
• Leaning bearish below 6,420. Negative gamma, hot inflation, crude above $100, quarter-end sells, and 0th-percentile institutional put positioning all point lower
• If ES can't reclaim 6,390 (Friday close) in the first hour, path of least resistance is toward 6,300-6,310. A break below 6,300 opens 6,250 quickly in this environment
• If Iran diplomacy improves overnight and crude drops below $100, possible short-covering bounce to 6,420-6,440, but these bounces are for observing, not chasing
• Powell at 10:30 is the resolution event. Any mention of tariff-driven inflation or supply shocks could be taken as dovish. Pure inflation hawkishness sends us lower
• The extreme positioning (0th percentile delta) means a violent bounce is possible if a catalyst appears, but you need the catalyst first
• Primary Setup: Short from 6,420-6,430, stop 6,460, targeting 6,310 (PDL re-test at 4H equilibrium)
Monday is going to be all about two things: what Powell says at 10:30 and what happens with Iran overnight. The technical setup is heavily bearish, the positioning is heavily bearish, and the macro backdrop (crude $100+, hot PCE, quarter-end) is bearish. But that also means if something changes, the snap-back could be violent. Stay nimble, size appropriately for this vol environment, and let the levels do the work.
Good Luck !!!
IS SILVER READY FOR NEW HEIGH ??? Price is compressing inside a wedge near key support 65 , 68 , Larger structure still has descending resistance overhead, Daily close above wedge resistance is a confirmation that trend has shifted to bullish , furthermore , Stronger confirmation break above 75–80 zone and retest can lead to new highs.
wait and watch...
NVIDIA - Main PlanNASDAQ:NVDA stock formed its peak at the end of October 2025. All price action since then is considered corrective.
The primary scenario remains bearish - a move down toward the start of the fifth wave. The only question is the structure of the correction.
It’s possible that the main downside move has already begun, so let’s define the targets.
Key targets:
137 - local correction
114
100
Potential move from current levels: ~31-40%
The ideal scenario would be a move back up toward the 212 area first - and only then a decline toward the targets mentioned above.
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XAUUSD: Breakout Analysis — Bullish Reversal Toward $4,600 TargeSummary
Gold is currently transitioning from a prolonged down-trend into a potential expansion phase. After a sustained bearish move, price is showing signs of structural exhaustion near the major demand floor. We are now witnessing a localized buildup of liquidity as the market prepares for a significant breakout above the descending trendline.
Market Overview
Following a sharp bearish impulse from the 4,600 peak, the market entered a descending channel, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. However, the momentum slowed down upon reaching the Support Zone (Demand) between 4,280 and 4,320.
Smart money has effectively engineered a trendline liquidity pool (BSL) above the current descending resistance. The "Break out" signal indicated on the chart suggests an accumulation phase is ending, and the market is preparing to reclaim lost territory by hunting the buy-stops sitting above the previous swing highs.
Key Scenario
✅ Bullish Case (Trendline Breakout & Expansion) 🚀
Condition: A decisive breakout and close above the descending trendline (near 4,420 - 4,440) followed by a successful retest of the broken structure to confirm the shift in market bias.
🎯 Target 1: 4,467 (Immediate structural high)
🎯 Target 2: 4,542 (Major Supply Zone / Resistance)
🎯 Target 3: 4,600 (Primary Liquidity Pool / Range High)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 4,467
Major Resistance (Supply Zone): 4,515 – 4,542
Support 🟢: 4,360 (Immediate local low)
Major Support (Demand Zone): 4,280 – 4,320
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
RSI rebound: 1–3 months. April–June 2026.Since the economic crash in 08, the monthly RSI has followed a clear uptrend marked by 6 important events:
1. Covid. March 2020
2. Inflation. January-Agost 2022
3. Ukraine war. February 2022
4. Israel-Gaza conflict. October 2023
5. Tariffs. Feb-Abril 2025
6. Iran war. Feb 2026
Apart from the withdraw of liquidity (Inflation in 2022) and for a very short period of time, RSI on the monthly has respected this uptrend line.
The correction of all these six events have gone from 2 to 6 months where 2 months correction have been more common.
Therefore, if we put everything into perspective, the current movement fits perfectly within the historical behaviour of the monthly RSI and the long‑term structure of the SPX. Each shock has generated temporary friction, but none has been able to break the broader uptrend that has remained intact for more than a decade.
The key takeaway is that every correction linked to major geopolitical or macroeconomic stress has ultimately resolved with the RSI respecting the ascending trendline and price resuming its long‑term trajectory.
If the pattern repeats —as it has consistently done across the last six major events— this pullback could simply be another chapter in a much larger bullish cycle.
In other words: volatility may shake the branches, but the tree is still growing in the same direction.
The structure remains unbroken, the long‑term trend remains intact, and history suggests that what comes after these corrections tends to be constructive.
A temporary storm does not erase a long‑standing tailwind.
TO SUM UP: Most probable time range for the monthly RSI rebound: 1–3 months.
April–June 2026.
The structure is NOT broken. We are simply within the natural correction window
EURUSD-WHERE TO NEXT?Thoughts about interest rate cuts to come from the U.S Federal Reserve have been placed in a corner and are not being discussed for the moment. The sustained costs of WTI Crude Oil and other energy resources has sent a shiver into financial institutions as they consider the potential of inflation.
The EUR/USD hit a high of nearly 1.16300 in the middle of this past week, only to give back its gains as selling hit global equity markets. Central banks are now in a position that are uncomfortable.
Strategy is about as sustainable as social securityThe charts say "Strategy" will likely go bust.
In fact, It may very well be necessary for them to go bust in order to shake out all the poor quality investments in the sector before the next credit expansion into crypto can even happen.
Saylor has leveraged up so much and used shares of this company to purchase bitcoin that a break down with Bitcoin headed to 41k, could mean that Strategy hits $80 around the same time.
He has even roped people into high yielding accounts, acting like a money market bank fund to buy more Bitcoin. What's stopping a bank run on Saylor? Just confidence and denial for now.
We've heard this story before.
All of those people will lose their money.
But we will make a killing.
(Not financial advice, but......dang.)
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