The strong breakout continues. The price continues to rise.📙News:
➡️ Crude oil prices have recovered earlier losses, climbing back above $93.50 per barrel at the start of Friday’s European session. U.S. benchmark WTI extended its upward momentum from the past two days, as investors increasingly lose confidence in a swift resolution to the Iran conflict.
➡️ From a technical perspective, the key resistance level around 92 was decisively broken yesterday. Currently, the H1 candle is closing above 94, while the EMA 34, 89, and 200 have all turned upward, reinforcing the continuation of the bullish trend in oil prices.
Resistance zone: 97.2
Support zone: 94.00 ; 92.00
Support tools: EMA, Trendline, Support and resistance zones
Wishing you a successful trading day
Community ideas
G/S ratio update: war and downtrendOn this graph 4h tmf G/S: BB, MA 50/200, 3 Pierce-Box reg trend
+ vol, rsi, macd
Ratio G/S 0.55,
For an unidentified reason g/s ratio started to peak down from November, strong trend -8%/month
>>this is translated in a raw monthly silver rate double the gold in the last 6 months (109 vs 46> 14%silver vs 7%gold monthly)
1-7 Feb comex margin change : this only caused a parallel upmove of the ratio; not a reduced angle because:
- silver demand is lively high through industrial inelastic demand
- silver market is 1/10 of the gold, so liquidity is not an issue
also war caused a tmeporary upspike of ~6% for gold; economy can suffer but war is highly demanding of silver.
All-time low around 34 (3 months, due to registered Silver depleted by then, or at all time low)
1 million $ question is what is going to happen in 3 months, when out of the BB again. Silver 256x subscribed by silver paper, physical deliveries have been requested by 95% of traders this months vs 4% usually.
To reflect this, an important Analyst Company prognosed an important variability in Silver price :160-320+
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD TVC:SILVER
Key Suppressive Logic for the Short Sellers⚠️ **Key Suppressive Logic for the Short Sellers:**
💵 **The strong US dollar and US Treasury yields exert significant downward pressure:**
The US dollar index hit a near six-month high, and the 10-year US Treasury yield reached an eight-month high, drastically reducing gold's attractiveness as a non-interest-bearing asset and leading to a continuous outflow of funds.
🏦 **The Fed's hawkish stance clearly exerts medium-term downward pressure:**
The prolonged high-interest-rate environment and cooling expectations for rate cuts weaken gold's medium- to long-term investment value.
📉 **Technical breakdown and release of bearish momentum:**
Gold prices have broken below short-term moving averages, and a MACD death cross is imminent. Bullish confidence has been dampened, and selling pressure has intensified after any rebound.
⛔ **Dense concentration of previously trapped positions, resulting in significant selling pressure on rebounds:**
The 4480-4500 range was a densely traded area yesterday, with a concentration of trapped positions. A rebound to this range is likely to trigger a concentrated sell-off.
XAUUSD 15M – Intraday Compression Between Liquidity ZonesOn the 15-minute timeframe, Gold is currently trading between clearly defined intraday liquidity zones.
After a strong bullish displacement, price reacted from the 4555–4560 supply area and is now compressing toward intraday demand near 4480–4490.
Key level to watch remains 4475. As long as price holds above this structure level, the broader intraday recovery remains intact.
A breakdown below 4475 would expose sell-side liquidity resting below recent swing lows.
On the upside, a clean move above 4560 would target buy-side liquidity and potentially expand higher.
Currently, price appears to be compressing between supply and demand before the next expansion move.
Patience required while price remains inside this internal range.
BTC: Two Paths for the Short Bias ($45K Pivot)Bitcoin is currently range-bound, but our eyes are on the $45,000 turning point for a broader short bias. We are tracking two specific ways to play this:
The Conservative Play: Looking for a move to the top of the current range to hunt for a Head & Shoulders pattern before entry.
The Aggressive Play: An immediate breakdown and retest of the current trend line, targeting a move toward the next major trend support.
Key Levels:
Pivot: $45,000
Target: Next major trend line
Chart Patterns Reference -B
A comprehensive guide to technical chart formations recognized by professional traders worldwide. Master the art of identifying, measuring, and trading these essential market patterns with precision.
Ascending Triangle
Bullish Continuation
A flat resistance line and a rising support line. Buyers are getting more aggressive (higher lows) while sellers hold a static level.
Interpretation & Guidance
Bias: Strongly bullish. The pressure usually pops the lid (resistance).
Signal: Entry on a confirmed close above the horizontal resistance line.
Descending Triangle
Bearish Continuation
A flat support line and a falling resistance line. Sellers are getting more aggressive (lower highs) while buyers hold a static floor.
Interpretation & Guidance
Bias: Strongly bearish. The floor usually gives way.
Signal: Entry on a confirmed close below the horizontal support line.
Symmetrical Triangle
Bilateral
Two converging trendlines. Lower highs and higher lows. Represents a volatility squeeze where neither side is winning.
Interpretation & Guidance
Signal: Can break either way. Usually continues the prior trend, but wait for the breakout.
Warning: Watch for false breakouts (fakeouts) near the apex.
Rising Wedge
Bearish Reversal
Price makes higher highs and higher lows, but the range is narrowing (lines converge upward). Buying momentum is fading.
Interpretation & Guidance
Bias: Bearish. Even though price is rising, the "squeeze" usually resolves to the downside.
Context: Most powerful when found at the top of an uptrend.
Falling Wedge
Bullish Reversal
Price makes lower highs and lower lows, but the range is narrowing (lines converge downward). Selling pressure is exhausting.
Interpretation & Guidance
Bias: Bullish. The squeeze usually resolves to the upside.
Context: Often marks the end of a correction within a larger uptrend.
Cup and Handle
Bullish Continuation
A rounded bottom (the cup) followed by a short pullback (the handle). Looks like a tea cup.
Interpretation & Guidance
Signal: Buy when price breaks above the rim of the cup (resistance).
Target: Measure the depth of the cup and project it upwards. The handle should not retrace more than 50% of the cup depth.
Inv. Cup and Handle
Bearish Continuation
An upside-down U-shape followed by a short upward drift (handle). Occurs in downtrends.
Interpretation & Guidance
Signal: Sell when price breaks below the rim support.
Target: Measure the height of the cup and project it downwards.
ElDoradoFx – GOLD SESSIONS ANALYSIS (29/03/2026, ASIA SESSION)
Gold is currently trading around $4,495 after a strong bullish rebound from the 4,230–4,300 demand zone, followed by a rejection from the 4,520–4,560 supply area.
Asia session opens with price compressing below resistance, suggesting a potential distribution phase after liquidity was taken on the sell-side. Market is now likely seeking buy-side liquidity before deciding the next directional move.
Overall structure remains bearish unless price reclaims higher levels, with current move appearing corrective.
⸻
📊 Technical Outlook (D1, H1, 15M–5M)
🔹 D1
• Bearish correction still active
• Strong previous downside expansion
• Current bullish move is corrective, not reversal
• Price remains below major resistance
🔹 H1
• Lower highs still intact → bearish structure
• Strong rejection from 4,550–4,600 supply
• Price now consolidating mid-range
• Bias remains bearish while below 4,560
🔹 15M–5M
• Bullish impulse slowing down
• CHoCH forming → early bearish shift
• Weak highs forming → liquidity resting above
• Compression suggests upcoming breakout
⸻
✨ Fibonacci Golden Zones
🔻 SELL Swing: 4,555 → 4,424
• 38.2% = 4,480
• 50% = 4,490
• 61.8% = 4,510
🟥 Premium Sell Zone (Fibonacci Confluence): 4,490 – 4,510
⸻
🔺 BUY Swing (Countertrend): 4,424 → 4,555
• 38.2% = 4,510
• 50% = 4,490
• 61.8% = 4,470
🟩 Buy Zone: 4,510 – 4,470
⸻
🎯 High Probability Zones
📉 SELL Scenario (Primary Bias)
Sell Zone: 4,490 – 4,510
🎯 Targets → 4,450 → 4,420 → 4,380
🛑 SL: Above 4,560
⚡️ Confirmation:
• Rejection from EMA + descending trendline
• 5M BOS + lower high formation
• Failure to hold above 4,510
—————————
📉 SELL Breakout Setup
Trigger: Clean break & acceptance below 4,420 (5M close + continuation)
Retest: 4,440 fail
🎯 Targets → 4,380 → 4,350 → 4,300
🛑 SL: Above 4,480
—————————
📈 BUY Scenario (Countertrend Only)
Buy Zone: 4,450 – 4,420
🎯 Targets → 4,490 → 4,520
🛑 SL: Below 4,380
⚠️ Only valid if strong bullish structure forms
—————————
📈 BUY Breakout Setup
Trigger: Break & close above 4,560
Retest: 4,540 hold
🎯 Targets → 4,600 → 4,650 → 4,700
🛑 SL: Below 4,520
⸻
🗞 Fundamental Watch
• No major Asia news → lower liquidity expected
• Market likely driven by technical setups
• London session expected to bring volatility
• Watch for liquidity sweeps before real move
⸻
📌 Key Levels to Monitor
• Resistance: 4,510 / 4,560 / 4,600
• Support: 4,450 / 4,420 / 4,380
• Break-Buy Trigger → > 4,560
• Break-Sell Trigger → < 4,420
⸻
📊 Summary
Gold is currently in a corrective phase within a bearish structure, with price rejecting from premium zones.
Intraday bias remains bearish below 4,560, with preference for sell setups from premium zones unless strong bullish confirmation appears.
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 27/03/2026 🥇
📉 SELL +150 PIPS
📈 BUY +100 PIPS
📉 SELL +320 PIPS
📉 SELL +100 PIPS
📉 SELL +100 PIPS
❌ SELL −100 PIPS (SL)
📉 SELL +30 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 TOTAL PIPS GAIN: +700 PIPS
💵 0.10 LOT = $700.00
🎯 7 Signals → 6 Wins
🔥 Accuracy: 86%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Solid session overall — early volatility managed well, with consistent execution keeping the day firmly profitable.
Controlled risk. Consistent results.
Congratulations if you profited ✅🚀
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
Chart Patterns Reference -A
A comprehensive guide to technical chart formations recognized by professional traders worldwide. Master the art of identifying, measuring, and trading these essential market patterns with precision.
Continuation Patterns
Bullish Flag
Bullish Continuation
A sharp rise (the pole) followed by a rectangular consolidation sloping gently downwards against the trend.
Interpretation & Guidance
Signal: Buy on the breakout of the upper channel line.
Target: Add the height of the flagpole to the breakout point.
Bearish Flag
Bearish Continuation
A sharp drop (pole) followed by a short consolidation channel sloping upwards against the trend.
Interpretation & Guidance
Signal: Sell on the breakdown of the lower channel line.
Target: Subtract the height of the flagpole from the breakdown point.
Bullish Pennant
Bullish Continuation
Similar to a flag (sharp pole), but the consolidation is a small symmetrical triangle instead of a channel.
Interpretation & Guidance
Signal: Buy on the breakout of the upper trendline.
Timing: Pennants are usually brief pauses (1-3 weeks). A breakout happens quickly.
Rectangle
Bilateral
Price moves sideways between parallel support and resistance lines. It represents a period of accumulation or distribution.
Interpretation & Guidance
Direction: Trade in the direction of the breakout. If it breaks top, it's bullish; breaks bottom, it's bearish.
Target: The height of the rectangle projected from the breakout.
BTC/USD – Trendline Breakout & Downtrend Confirmation ReasonSELL SIGNAL: BTC/USD – Trendline Breakout & Downtrend Confirmation Reason:
Price has broken below the key ascending trendline with strong momentum, confirming the ongoing downtrend. This breakout increases the probability of further downside. Volume supporting the move adds conviction to the bearish setup. Action: Consider selling or tightening stops. Risk management is essential. This is NOT financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly.
#Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSD #SellSignal #CryptoTrading #TrendlineBreakout #Bearish #Downtrend #Crypto #TradingSignals
BTCUSDT Breakout Incoming? Compression Near Key ResistanceBitcoin is currently **compressing below a major resistance zone** while trading under a descending trendline. This type of structure often leads to a **strong breakout move**.
Price is building pressure — and the next move could be explosive.
---
### 📊 Technical Breakdown
🔹 **Descending Trendline Pressure**
BTC is respecting a falling trendline, but the rejections are getting weaker — a sign sellers are losing strength.
🔹 **Range Compression**
Price is consolidating in a tight range, forming **higher lows into resistance** — classic breakout behavior.
🔹 **Key Resistance Zone**
The area around **67,500 – 68,700** is the main barrier. A break above this zone could trigger momentum.
---
## 🚀 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play)
**Entry Zone:** Break & hold above 66,800 – 67,000
**Target 1:** 67,500
**Target 2:** 68,700
A confirmed breakout could lead to a **fast impulsive move upward**.
---
## 📉 Alternative Scenario (Rejection)
If price fails to break higher:
**Support Target:** 65,500
A rejection from resistance could send BTC back to lower liquidity zones.
---
### 💡 Trading Insight
When price compresses under resistance, it usually means **liquidity is building**. The breakout direction often comes with strong momentum.
---
💬 **Do you think BTC breaks out or rejects again?**
---
### 🔖 Tags
#BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #Crypto #TradingView #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #Breakout #MarketStructure #SmartMoney
Gold market Technical Trend AnalysisGold made a full liquidity sweep to 4100s last week with a bullish pullback to 4400's caused by a mitigation of a bearish breakout zone, further taking the market to a dump/
This week, Gold is expected to continue its bullish pullback up to 4600's and could hit a higher trend line to retest based on my analysis.
Its important to note that the analysis is for 4 hour timeframe, which means smallertime frame zones may vary a bit and result in different market reactions and turnarounds.
BTC INVESTMENT LONGBTC has been falling for a long time and has given a good correct. In last 2 week it has broken above a good resistance zone of 74000$. Now it is creating a base around 69000-71000 dollars.
One can look to invest here in BTC with STRICT SL OF 65000$. Use small quantity please.
ENTRY- 71000-70000
SL- 65000
Target- 75000, 80000, 85000. (One Can look to hold for highs also.)
Disclaimer- This is just for educational purpose.
JAI SHREE RAM.
XAUUSD – Liquidity Continuation Setup1. Market Structure
Clear bullish channel intact → higher lows respected.
Recent move shows CHoCH → bullish continuation phase.
Current price holding above mid-range confirms buyers still in control.
2. Liquidity & Behaviour
Multiple Liquidity Sweeps (LSweep) already executed below 4,450–4,430 zone.
This suggests:
→ Sell-side liquidity has been partially cleared
→ Smart money accumulating positions
Current pullback is corrective, not reversal.
3. Key Zones
Support (reaction zone): 4,450 – 4,430 (last sweep + demand)
Internal support: ~4,470
Resistance / target liquidity: 4,530 → 4,730
4. Expected Scenario (Primary Bias)
Short-term: minor retrace / consolidation
Then:
→ Sweep internal liquidity
→ Expansion move towards 4,700 – 4,730
➡️ This is a classic liquidity → accumulation → expansion sequence.
Gold is showing signs of a trend breakdown on the 4H timeframe📊 XAUUSD GOLD TRADE SETUP 📊
🔥 Market Outlook: Bearish Setup in a Previously Bullish Trend
Gold is showing signs of a trend breakdown on the 4H timeframe, and price is currently reacting from a strong resistance zone around 4770. This could open the door for a potential sell opportunity as momentum shifts downward.
📉 Entry Zone: Around 4770 (Resistance Area)
🎯 Targets:
➡️ 1st Target: 4576
➡️ 2nd Target: 4542
⚠️ Trade Idea:
Wait for confirmation (rejection / bearish structure) before entering. Avoid chasing the market.
💡 Risk Management is Key:
✔️ Use proper lot size
✔️ Always set Stop Loss
✔️ Don’t overtrade
🚀 Stay disciplined and trade smart!
💬 Like • Follow • Comment • ShareIf you want, I can also turn this into a chart-style visual post or add stop-loss and entry confirmation details.
GBPJPY is showing a strong bullish trend on the 15-minute timefr📊 GBPJPY TRADE SETUP 📊
🚀 Market Outlook: Bullish Momentum Continues
GBPJPY is showing a strong bullish trend on the 15-minute timeframe, with price successfully breaking above a key resistance area. This breakout signals potential continuation to the upside, offering a solid buying opportunity.
📈 Entry Level: 212.300 (Post-breakout zone)
🎯 Targets:
➡️ 1st Target: 212.600
➡️ 2nd Target: 213.100
⚠️ Trade Plan:
Wait for a clean retest or confirmation before entering to avoid false breakouts. Patience is key!
💡 Risk Management Matters:
✔️ Always use Stop Loss
✔️ Manage your lot size wisely
✔️ Never risk more than you can afford
🔥 Trade with discipline and follow your strategy!
💬 Like • Follow • Comment • Share
XAUUSD dose not move up from here it will drop and touch 4100A trading platform interface (similar to TradingView)
The chart is labeled “XAUUSD H1” (Gold vs US Dollar, 1-hour chart)
Price is currently around 4,429 USD
There are technical analysis drawings, including:
Trend lines forming a descending channel / wedge
A marked zone labeled “Q.M.L” (possibly Quasimodo Level or support zone)
Fibonacci or measured levels (with numeric ratios)
A green upward arrow suggests a predicted bullish move (price expected to rise)
A horizontal resistance level is marked near 4,512
#202613 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-miniGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Neutral. Same as dax. I doubt W3 here goes much further than 23000. I have a measured move target here and it’s also a possible decent looking channel. My plan from weeks ago was W5 to around 21000 and I still think it’s valid. If we flush early on Monday, I expect a big bounce. Headlines will continue to dictate this. Any reasonable ceasefire/talks headline will likely make most bears cover.
current market cycle: trading range on the monthly chart - bear trend on the daily chart
key levels for next week: 22800 - 24800
bull case: Bulls want to print a bottom and bounce. W3 targets are met and many bulls will scale in, thinking we will print 24000 again for sure. I doubt we will go much above 24400 unless we get a ceasefire. Many bulls will buy any new low just in case we got more rumours where bears cover. Technically many bulls can also see the channel as I have drawn it and the measured move target from W1 is 23000. So close is always close enough.
Invalidation is below 22800
bear case: Bears want to print 23000 and probably a bit more to grab the liquidity below. I doubt they will fight for much lower though. Market is also at the monthly 20ema so we have multiple reasons for bears to take profits and for bulls to begin scaling in. Oil has also not advanced above 100$ besides Sunday night spikes. Bears want to keep it below 24800 otherwise W4 would go too high and that would be really bad for the bear trend.
Invalidation is above 24800/25000
short term: Can not become bearish down here. Sure we can dip below 23000 but I would only look for longs here. I will only trade my drawn channel.
medium-long term - Update from 2026-03-15: Same as dax. 50% retracement is the next big target which is 22000. I expect it to get hit over the next weeks.
Rebound from the low point. Continue selling at the highs.Last week, the gold market exhibited a pattern of bottoming out and rebounding. Following a sharp decline immediately after Monday's open, prices staged a rapid recovery; from Tuesday through Friday, the market shifted into a phase of volatile consolidation. The week ultimately closed with a small-bodied bullish candle featuring a long lower shadow, settling near the 4490 level. The overall trend shows a sharp drop followed by initial stabilization.
Key Influencing Factors: Expectations regarding a Federal Reserve interest rate cut cooled further, while a strengthening U.S. dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields continued to cap gold's upside potential. On the geopolitical front, safe-haven support stemming from the conflict in the Middle East remained relatively limited.
Focus for the Week: U.S. PCE inflation data will serve as the primary market guide. Should the data prove hawkish, gold prices may come under renewed pressure; conversely, if the data signals a dovish stance, it would favor a continued rebound in gold prices. Key Short-Term Technical Levels: Support: 4380–4400; Upside Resistance: 4550–4600.
Short-Term Trading Recommendations: Consider short positions (selling) near the 4500 level; for long strategies, consider buying near the 4400 level.
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