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kvmev / EURUSD outlookEURUSD has been on a strong downtrend and has closed below the monthly time frame ascending trendline, a strong resistance zone around 1.67200 has also been created which also happens to be the same area as the descending trendline. Will look to enter a 1:2 RR short position if price is able to pull back up to retest & reject the resistance zone and trendline. Note - Price may not pull back all the way to retest the trendline & resistance zone as it has previously still dropped without retesting previous zones, depending on how strong the bearish rejections are, I may consider entering a short position around 1.58000. Will wait for strong confirmation. ___ Disclaimer: The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Any actions you take based on this content are done at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Short
by kvmev
SPX: Is a deeper correction coming?The correction on US equity markets continues for the fifth week in a row. Friday was especially negatively traded, after the US President announced further negative developments in Iran, which brought the S&P 500 down for 1,7%. The index closed the week at 6.368, or around 9% from its all time highest level. All US indexes following stocks are currently marking a year-to-date loss. Technology and communication stocks are remaining under pressure. Considering that these stocks have high participation in the index, they are making a huge contribution to the drop in the index value. On the other hand, due to the surge in oil prices, energy stocks are outperforming in the market, with major producers and refiners benefiting from supply fears. Consumer and retail names are also weakening due to inflation concerns tied to higher fuel costs. As macro risks are slowly emerging, strategists in Citigroup placed their U.S. equity exposures to neutral, removing Citi`s overnight position in small-cap stocks. Strategists cited a growing number of negative signals across the market, prompting a more cautious stance. They also highlight that geopolitical tensions are unlikely to ease quickly, reinforcing the decision to scale back risk. Based on current market sentiment and geopolitical and macro risks, the correction on the US equity markets might continue at the start of Q2. Some analysts are currently mentioning the 6.100 level which would represent the 13% correction from the ATH. Whether this would be the case, would depend on developments in the Middle East. On the other hand, for the week ahead, the NFP and Unemployment data for March will be released on Friday. This could bring additional volatility to the market in the week ahead.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
XAU/USD (Gold) Intraday Analysis – Bearish SetupMarket Structure Price has been respecting a descending channel, confirming a short-term downtrend. We saw a break below the channel, followed by a weak bullish retracement → classic continuation behavior. Current movement is forming a lower high, which supports further downside. Key Zones Supply / Resistance (Red Zone): ~4,480 – 4,510 → Strong rejection area + institutional selling likely Entry Zone: ~4,440 → Mid-level retracement + liquidity area Target (TP): ~4,315 → Previous liquidity pool / support Stop Loss: Above ~4,510 → Above structure high (safe invalidation) Smart Money Concept The move into the red zone looks like a liquidity grab / inducement Price is likely forming a distribution phase The projected path suggests: Minor retracement (to trap buyers) Strong impulsive drop toward liquidity below Trade Idea Bias: Bearish Entry: 4,440 zone (after confirmation/rejection) SL: 4,510 TP: 4,315 RR: Excellent (high probability continuation)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_WITH_CHARLIE
1
CHGG squeeze fires off the floor but volume tells a different stPrice closed at 0.6846 on spot only with no futures available for reference. Structure shows a prolonged downtrend with a BOS to the downside and a defined supply zone overhead near 0.80. The current bounce printed an Extreme BO retrace of only -0.8% with bounce probability at 52.1% at 66.6x Para — that Para reading is elevated, suggesting the bounce has stretched. The cascade model flags Bear Cascade (0) at 52.1% five-bar probability, meaning the model leans bearish continuation over the next five bars. Signal board reads 32 green to 12 red out of 112, a modest bull lean but with meaningful internal conflict. EMA splits 3-2, Candle 11-3 bullish on the surface, but Ichi TK flips 3-5 bearish and SS/DD prints a stark 1-12 — double-top and shooting star patterns dominating the pattern recognition layer heavily. C>T holds 12-2 bull. Spread reads 36.7% Strength, mid-range. Squeeze is flagged HIGH after 14 bars with bandwidth at 32.81% Normal and momentum reading Bull rising. Clarity sits at 39%, the lowest conviction reading of the day. Vol Z reads -0.33 Steady on only 1.3M dollar volume. The five-bar VolZ trajectory was falling from -0.33 toward -0.07 with a single upward arrow — volume is increasing from a very depressed base but remains negative in absolute terms. Bull:Bear Z is essentially neutral at 0.26 bull to -0.68 bear. No whale activity detected. Spot momentum expansion runs at 257.4% Expanding, but the base it is expanding from is thin. Price sits at 16.2% Floor of the historical range between 1.90 high and 0.45 low. No leverage, percentile, or futures data available. The 16.2% floor reading is the only structural positive from a positioning standpoint — this pair has been through a full distribution cycle and is sitting near historical lows. OBV Z reads -1.26 with Inflow Rising signal and no divergence. This is a split read — the Z-score is deeply negative, confirming that structural accumulation over the measured window has been absent, but the direction is now turning upward. Inflow is entering but has not yet moved the structural baseline into positive territory. The honest read: a squeeze fire at historical floor levels with inflow beginning is the early setup traders watch for. But the SS/DD reading of 1-12 is the loudest signal in the panel — that many double-tops and reversal patterns printing across timeframes while price is bouncing into supply at 0.80 suggests this is more likely a relief bounce within a downtrend than a genuine reversal. OBV Z needs to clear zero and SS/DD needs to compress before this becomes a high-conviction long. Until then the Bear Cascade model at 52.1% carries more weight than the squeeze fire. Is That Crypto Pump Real? Data Says No. Here's Why. Stop Losing Money to Fake Volume. Find Real Moves Now. Trade the REAL Crypto Volume. Stop Getting Faked Out.
NYSE:CHGGLong
by stingrayea
EURUSD | FRGNT WEEKLY OUTLOOK | POTENTIAL FOR LONG AND SHORTS📅 Q1 | W14 | Y26 📊EURUSD | FRGNT WEEKLY OUTLOOK | POTENTIAL FOR LONG AND SHORTS 💡PULL BACK SHORTS FOR FRGNT ARE THE FAVOURED TRADING OPPORTUNITY 🔍 Analysis Framework This forecast is built using an advanced adaptation of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured and disciplined approach: • Marking Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ • Defining a clear, controlled trading range from those zones 📐 • Refining entries on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 • Waiting for confirmed Break of Structure (BoS) before execution ✅ This process ensures precision, removes emotional decision-making, and keeps me aligned with the overall market narrative. 💡 Core Philosophy “Capital management, discipline, and consistency create longevity.” A strong risk-to-reward model, paired with high-probability execution, is the foundation of sustainable trading 📈🔐 ⚠️ Understanding Losses "Losses are part of the game" — a mathematical certainty 🎲 They don’t define performance. Nor do they define you as a Trader. They are managed, reviewed, and used as evidence for growth 📊 🙏 Final Note Appreciate you taking the time to review today’s forecast. Stay disciplined 🎯 Protect your capital 🔐 — FRGNT 🚀📈 📌 Disclaimer This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It reflects my personal approach to the markets — a tested framework that has supported my own journey to consistent profitability in trading currencies. This is not a signal service, and all trading decisions remain your own responsibility. Additionally, this post is not intended to breach ANY TradingView House Rules. FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
kvmev / USDCHF outlookLooking at the monthly time frame we can see price strongly reversing after interacting with the lows from 2011. Price is also in a uptrend on the daily time frame and has also closed above the descending trendline on the daily & weekly time frame. Will be looking to enter a 1:1.5 RR long position if price is able to retest & respect the support zone around 0.79300. Will look to secure 70% of profits around 0.80284 and will set SL to BE if a position is taken. No entry if price continues up with no break and retest, will wait for support to be retested. ___ Disclaimer: The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Any actions you take based on this content are done at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Long
by kvmev
Bullish momentum to continue?EUR/CAD is falling towards the support level, which acts as an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.5920 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.5812 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.6084 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by Vantage
XAUUSD – Reaction at Liquidity Zone (Educational Idea)Market Context (D1) Price formed a strong impulsive move upward, followed by a corrective bearish phase. A sweep of sell-side liquidity (SSL) is visible, with price now reacting from that area. Overall structure suggests rebalancing after expansion. 🔍 Key Observations Price tapped into a key liquidity zone near support. A bearish engulfing formed at the buy level, followed by a close below. This may indicate: Liquidity grab / potential trap Weak immediate bullish follow-through However, downside continuation is not yet confirmed → reaction phase ongoing ⚖️ Current Bias ➡️ Short-term: Neutral (reaction phase) ➡️ Directional clarity: Pending confirmation 📈📉 Scenario-Based Approach 🔵 Bullish Scenario (If Confirmed) If price shows strong bullish displacement from current zone: Potential move towards 4,550 – 4,600 Further continuation possible if structure shifts 🔴 Bearish Scenario (If Confirmed) If price fails to hold and shows weak pullbacks: Look for continuation towards 4,400 Extended targets near 4,250 – 4,100 (higher timeframe demand) 📌 Key Levels Support Zone: Around current SSL reaction Resistance Zone: 4,550 – 4,600 Major Demand (1D OB): 4,100 area ⚠️ Important Notes Current candles suggest indecision after liquidity sweep Avoid early entries → wait for clear confirmation (CHoCH / displacement) Market is likely building liquidity before next move 🚨 Disclaimer This idea is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always use proper risk management and wait for confirmation before taking any trades.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Selena_FX_Trader
3
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 30.03.26“XAUUSD on the 1-hour timeframe is showing a bullish projection. Price has reacted from an important support zone after completing a 50% daily candle retracement, and we can also see liquidity being tapped in that area. On top of that, a bullish engulfing pattern has formed near support, which gives additional confirmation for a possible upward move. The overall structure is still respecting a rising channel pattern, so as long as price holds above the marked stop-loss zone, buyers may continue pushing the market higher. If momentum continues, the first target is around the mid-resistance area, and the second target is near the upper resistance zone around the channel top. This setup is based on price action, confirmation, and structure, so patience and proper risk management are very important. This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
1
EURUSD Liquidity Trap at Trendline – Sell Setup Before BreakdownPrice is pushing into resistance again, but this looks like a liquidity grab, not a breakout. Smart money may be preparing for a move lower. Market Breakdown: EURUSD is currently respecting a descending trendline, forming a consistent pattern of lower highs and controlled pullbacks — classic bearish structure. What’s interesting now is: Price is retesting resistance Momentum is slowing Structure is still bearish What I’m Watching: Rejection wicks Bearish engulfing candles Fake breakout (liquidity grab) Final Thought: The trend is still down, until proven otherwise.
Short
by Adhemola
kvmev / AUDUSD outlookPrice has recently closed below the weekly & daily time frame ascending trendline creating a new lower low. Will look to enter a 1:2 RR short position if price is able to pull back to the resistance zone around 0.69150 with clear bearish rejections. Price also failed to create a higher high from February 26 to March 18 indicating weakening bullish pressure. Note - High risk entry as price is currently within a monthly time frame support zone. ___ Disclaimer: The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Any actions you take based on this content are done at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Short
by kvmev
TOTAL - Crypto Recovery Possible?Some major developments have occurred across the board with the price action we saw heading into the weekly close for most cryptocurrencies. For many weeks I have been outlining the bearish case for the crypto total market cap and that scenario remains in play for now. However, there is a glimmer of hope in the price action that just printed at the close. Price has formed a double bottom on the weekly timeframe, accompanied by a bullish divergence forming on the weekly RSI. This is most clearly visible on the line chart, which only accounts for candle body closes. If tomorrow brings headlines of de-escalation progress with the US-Iran conflict, this could mark a local low for some time and allow price to appreciate meaningfully from these levels. However, if the lows established today are lost, the much more severe bearish scenarios will begin to play out. That level corresponds to the "Weekly Break Level" I outlined in this post: So far, TOTAL is still respecting this level for now. Watch tomorrow's developments closely. The direction of the next major move will largely depend on what headlines emerge.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by VIAQUANT
DXY | FRGNT WEEKLY OUTLOOK | DXY BULL RUN CONTINUES📅 Q1 | W14 | Y26 📊DXY | FRGNT WEEKLY OUTLOOK | DXY BULL RUN CONTINUES 🔍 Analysis Framework This forecast is built using an advanced adaptation of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured and disciplined approach: • Marking Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ • Defining a clear, controlled trading range from those zones 📐 • Refining entries on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 • Waiting for confirmed Break of Structure (BoS) before execution ✅ This process ensures precision, removes emotional decision-making, and keeps me aligned with the overall market narrative. 💡 Core Philosophy “Capital management, discipline, and consistency create longevity.” A strong risk-to-reward model, paired with high-probability execution, is the foundation of sustainable trading 📈🔐 ⚠️ Understanding Losses "Losses are part of the game" — a mathematical certainty 🎲 They don’t define performance. Nor do they define you as a Trader. They are managed, reviewed, and used as evidence for growth 📊 🙏 Final Note Appreciate you taking the time to review today’s forecast. Stay disciplined 🎯 Protect your capital 🔐 — FRGNT 🚀📈 📌 Disclaimer This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It reflects my personal approach to the markets — a tested framework that has supported my own journey to consistent profitability in trading currencies. This is not a signal service, and all trading decisions remain your own responsibility. Additionally, this post is not intended to breach ANY TradingView House Rules. TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYLong
by JCFRGNT
US30 4H: Sell-Off Exhaustion, Bounce Setup in PlayUS30 has been in a sustained downward move, printing a clear sequence of lower highs and strong impulsive legs to the downside. The recent drop shows acceleration, indicating heightened bearish momentum and a push into a potentially overextended phase. Price is now entering a zone where reactions typically begin to form, with the latest leg appearing stretched relative to prior moves. This suggests the current downside momentum may start to lose strength, opening the door for a corrective rebound. The structure hints at a short-term shift from impulsive selling into a rebalancing phase. A bounce from current levels could develop as the market looks to correct before deciding on the next directional move. Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
TRADENATION:US30
by WeTradeWAVES
SAZEW Bullish Reversal | PSX Stock At Strong Demand ZoneSAZEW is currently testing a key demand / support zone after a sharp correction from its recent highs. Price has retraced into a previously strong accumulation area, where buyers have historically stepped in. The current structure suggests a potential bullish reversal setup, as the price is reacting positively from support. If this level holds, we can expect a continuation toward higher resistance levels. Trade Plan Entry: Around the current support zone Stop Loss: Below the demand zone (around 1480–1400 area) Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:2+ Targets TP1: 2600+ zone Reasons for the Trade • Strong demand / support zone • Healthy correction after bullish trend • Potential continuation of overall uptrend • Clear risk-to-reward setup ⚠️ Always wait for confirmation and manage your risk properly. If you find this idea helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more setups.
PSX:SAZEWLong
by alijibran