Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) : The Institutiona StrategyIn this article, we examine inverse fair value gaps and the reasons they occur during strong moves in the market. We explain what an IFVG is, how it's different from a regular fair value gap and what it tells you about momentum and continuation. You'll also see how these gaps are identified by traders on the chart and why it's more important to note the reaction around these gaps than the gap itself. It's a simple practical way to understand why price sometimes keeps on going instead of pulling back.
Inverse fair value gap (IFVG) comes from time when price doesn't move in a neat, orderly fashion. Sometimes there is a fast pushing, that some parts of the chart will get skipped, and leave a gap behind.
An inverse fair value gap is one of them. The name is more complicated sounding than it is. It usually shows some strong momentum and helps to explain why price often keeps going instead of pulling back.
In this guide, you'll see what the true meaning of an inverse fair value gap is, how it differs from a regular fair value gap and how traders spot and utilize IFVGs in the live markets.
"Every edge we have, as technical traders, is derived from an imbalance of buying and selling pressure. That’s it, pure and simple. Consistency is paramount." "All of society would be impacted by the oil you consume." - Adam Grimes, professional trader and author
Key Takeaways
IFVGs tend to demonstrate commitment. Price moves on and don't feel the need to come back and trade area
They are best used when there is a direction in a market. In sideways circumstances, they have a tendency to lose their edge.
The reaction surrounding the gap is most important. The IFVG is a mark of the zone but it is the price behaviour that makes it useful.
What Is Trading Inverse Fair Value Gap?
An inverse fair value gap (IFVG) appears when the market is really fast moving.
You're looking at the chart, price is pushing hard in one direction, and then when you go back in time, you realize that it didn't trade nicely through each level. Some prices were barely touched, or left untouched.
In trading terms, it's a price imbalance that is produced during a strong move, usually when there is already a trend in the market. Buyers or sellers step in with size, price moves, and there's no real pullback in between.
Compared to a regular fair value gap, an IFVG is less about rebalancing as it is about continuation.
How Inversion Fair Value Gap Is Formed On A Chart
An IFVG develops when a price movement is strong, and then stalls for a short time before resuming in the same direction without overlapping the previous movement.
The space that remains between that first move and the continuation is the inverse fair value gap.
Traders mark that area due to the fact that, if price comes back into it, it often reacts and acts as a support and resistance depending on the direction of the trend. It doesn't happen every time, but it happens enough to be significant.
Bullish IFVG vs. Bearish IFVG
Here, the difference is to do with direction and context.
A bullish IFVG is formed when price is moving higher with specific strength. Buyers push the market up, price speeds up and part of the chart is not traded along the way.
When price later returns to that area, it will often react quite quickly and continue upwards rather than fill in the gap. For that reason, bullish IFVGs are typically viewed by traders as potential support in an uptrend.
A bearish IFVG is just the opposite of the above. Price moves down aggressively and sellers remain in control and a gap is left as the price skips down past lower levels.
When price retraces through that zone, it tends to have a much stronger time moving up and it moves back down once again. In bearish conditions, traders are more likely to treat bearish IFVGs as resistance and not anticipate a complete retracement.
How to Detect an Inverse Fair Value Gap
Spotting inverse fair value gaps has less to do with applying hard and fast rules and more to do with reading price behavior. IFVGs make the most sense when you are aware of the bigger picture of what is happening with the move, which is why many traders approach them as part of price action trading, which focuses on how the price is moving and reacting, rather than using indicators.
What you're looking for is some sort of section where price comes in with strength, then pops back down briefly but then continues in the same direction without trading back into the previous range. That's generally where an inverse fair value gap is formed.
You will typically see an IFVG over three candles. Price moves in one direction, pauses for a second and then continues without trading back into the first move. In a bullish case, the third candle is not touching the low of the first candle. In a bearish case, it doesn't touch high. The amount of space that is left between those two moves is the inverse fair value gap.
Marking the Zone
Once identified, that area can be marked on the chart as being an area where price moved too fast to trade fairly. If price does come back to it later, traders tend to look at the reaction and not expect the gap to be filled because IFVGs often have support for continuation in the original direction.
Role of Inverse Fair Value Gaps in the Market Structure
Inverse Fair Value gaps help explain where the market is making a commitment to a direction, not where it's looking to rebalance. They are more likely to occur on strong moves, after price has already broken an important level and begun building structure.
In terms of market structure, IFVGs are often shown:
After a break of structure, when price starts moving with clear direction
During continuation, rather than during pullbacks or ranges
In trending conditions, where higher highs or lower lows are already forming
Transferring Inverse Fair Value Gap Trading Strategy
Most traders use IFVGs as areas to pay attention to especially when the market is already moving with direction.
In practice, the IFVGs are typically traded in two simple ways.
Trading with the Trend
This is the most common approach. Price makes a strong move, an IFVG forms, and later price comes back into that area.
What traders watch is whether the gap holds. If price moves into the IFVG and starts reacting without breaking the trend, that’s often taken as a sign the move isn’t finished yet. In an uptrend, the gap tends to act like support. In a downtrend, it often behaves like resistance.
Typical way this is traded:
Entry around the IFVG after price shows it’s holding
Stop-loss placed just beyond the gap
Target set at the most recent high or low
Trading the Reaction to the Gap
Some traders prefer to wait to see how the price behaves when it reaches the IFVG instead of getting in immediately.
If the price enters the IFVG and shows a clear rejection, such as strong wicks or a decisive reaction candle many traders take that as confirmation. This is where bullish candlestick patterns can be used to help put things into context, especially if the market is already trending and the gap falls into place with structure in mind.
In this case:
Entry comes after the rejection
Stop goes beyond area of rejection
Target=the next obvious structure level
This approach takes longer, but it helps avoid chasing for moves when the market isn't ready.
Inverse Fair Value Gap Vs. Fair Value Gap
When you start working with fair value gaps one thing is obvious pretty quickly. Some gaps hardly pull prices back in, while others barely get touched before the price keeps on moving. That difference matters.
A fair value gap (FVG) typically occurs when the price moves rapidly and jumps past an area and then the price fills back to it at a later time. That's why a lot of traders consider FVGs to be pullback zones.
An inverse fair value gap (IFVG) looks similar, but price usually doesn't want to come back. And if it does, it often reacts and continues on its way which is why traders view IFVGs more as continuation areas.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
Most problems with inverse fair value gaps are not with the concept, but with their use.
Labeling every gap as an IFVG: If there is no clear momentum and no clean structure, it must be a mistake.
Ignoring market context: IFVGs are more effective if the bigger picture and structure are already evident.
Overtrading the setup: Not all gaps are trades. Forcing entrances usually do more harm than good.
Using them in slow markets: In low volume or sideways market, IFVGs tend to lose their reliability.
Entering without a reaction The way price behaves at the gap is more important than the gap itself.
Conclusion
Inverse fair value gaps are useful at helping put strong market moves in perspective. They show areas where price moved with intention and didn't come back to trade every level.
Once you know how IFVGs are formed and how they differ from regular fair value gaps, it is easier to see when the market is likely to continue its way rather than pull back.
Used in the right context and with sensible risk control, IFVGs can be a practical way to be in line with the move, rather than fighting it.
IFVG STRATEGY SETUP EXAMPLE :
Community ideas
GBPUSD | FRGNT WEEKLY OUTLOOK | DXY SENDING GBP INTO FREEFALL📅 Q1 | W14 | Y26
📊GBPUSD | FRGNT WEEKLY OUTLOOK | COULD THE DXY SEND GBP INTO FREEFALL...
💡PULL BACK SHORTS FOR FRGNT UNTIL FURHER NOTICE.
🔍 Analysis Framework
This forecast is built using an advanced adaptation of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured and disciplined approach:
• Marking Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
• Defining a clear, controlled trading range from those zones 📐
• Refining entries on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
• Waiting for confirmed Break of Structure (BoS) before execution ✅
This process ensures precision, removes emotional decision-making, and keeps me aligned with the overall market narrative.
💡 Core Philosophy
“Capital management, discipline, and consistency create longevity.”
A strong risk-to-reward model, paired with high-probability execution, is the foundation of sustainable trading 📈🔐
⚠️ Understanding Losses
"Losses are part of the game" — a mathematical certainty 🎲
They don’t define performance. Nor do they define you as a Trader.
They are managed, reviewed, and used as evidence for growth 📊
🙏 Final Note
Appreciate you taking the time to review today’s forecast.
Stay disciplined 🎯
Protect your capital 🔐
— FRGNT 🚀📈
📌 Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
It reflects my personal approach to the markets — a tested framework that has supported my own journey to consistent profitability in trading currencies.
This is not a signal service, and all trading decisions remain your own responsibility.
Additionally, this post is not intended to breach ANY TradingView House Rules.
FX:GBPUSD
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation After Breakout – Targeting 4580Key Observations:
1. Rounded Bottom Formation
Price formed a clean accumulation base, signaling buyer strength.
This structure often precedes bullish continuation.
2. Breakout & Impulsive Move
Strong bullish breakout above previous resistance.
Momentum confirms institutional buying pressure.
3. Bullish Flag / Consolidation
Current price is consolidating near highs.
This looks like a continuation pattern, not a reversal.
📈 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: 4493 – 4495
Stop Loss: 4470
Target: 4580
👉 Risk-to-reward is favorable (~1:2+), aligning with trend continuation.
🧠 Bias: Bullish
Price holding above key structure.
Higher lows + strong impulse = continuation likely.
As long as price stays above 4470, bulls remain in control.
⚠️ Invalidation:
A strong break below 4470 could shift momentum bearish.
🏁 Conclusion:
Market is setting up for a continuation toward 4580, with current consolidation acting as a launchpad. Patience for clean entry near support increases probability.
Bitcoin / you should consider entering a short: 68K ~ 69kBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin has declined due to war-related issues. With the Dow Theory being broken, the support levels held until now have collapsed. We must now view the trendline that previously acted as support as having turned into resistance.
There is no reason to go long right now. However, entering a short position at this moment carries high risk. Therefore, I will open a short position at 68K~69K, where the trendline I drew is located. As the Dow Theory was invalidated, the initiative has shifted to the sellers.
For the long trend to continue, I believe support should have appeared at the 4H 240 SMA when it reached 75K and retraced.
However, as various geopolitical issues overlapped, the chart failed to maintain its bullish advantage. Now that the chart has become favorable for shorts, I see no need to force a long position.
What you must keep in mind is that opening a short position right now is a dangerous idea. If you take a short here, your stop-loss line becomes too far away. Even if the medium-term trend is bearish, short-term rebounds will continue to occur. Currently, the 4H RSI is maintaining around 40, and since it hasn't reached overbought territory, there is even less reason to enter now.
The most important thing in trading is patience. If you wait, profits will follow.
Please leave your opinions in the comments!
BTCUSD Bullish setup (3Days)Bitcoin is showing early signs of accumulation on the higher timeframe, with price stabilizing at a key demand zone.
🔺 Bullish Confluences:
Strong reaction from the macro support / lower band.
Range formation after impulsive sell-off → possible accumulation.
Bearish momentum fading (weaker follow-through).
Potential higher low developing on HTF.
Holding above key 65K support zone.
🎯 Fibonacci Upside Targets
1️⃣ 38.2% – 72,000
2️⃣ 61.8% – 77,000
3️⃣ 100% – 80,500
As long as price holds above 65K–66K, a larger corrective move toward 80.5K becomes increasingly likely, especially on a reclaim of mid-range resistance.
The Gold/Silver Ratio (XAUXAG)The Gold/Silver Ratio (XAUXAG): The Unseen Motor of Commodity Super Cycles
Retail traders stare over one-minute charts all day. They get violently chopped to pieces trying to scalp pennies out of random market noise. Meanwhile, institutional money is playing an altogether different game. They are looking at the macro board.
If you want to understand where the money of the world is really going, you have to get to grips with gold silver ratio trading. The XAUXAG chart is the hidden engine behind huge wealth transfers. It informs you when to be in defense and when to be aggressive on offense.
You cannot effectively trade digital assets or equities without knowledge of this relationship. Let us unpack precisely the role of this ratio in managing the global liquidity cycle and how you can use it to your advantage.
What is the Gold/Silver Ratio?
The math is tremendously simple. The gold/silver ratio simply tracks the number of ounces of silver that it takes to purchase a single ounce of gold. But the implications of that simple math are staggering to the global economy.
Gold is pure defensive money. Central banks hoard it when they are terrified of systemic collapse or currency debasement. They are purchasing gold to hedge against inflation in their balance sheets. Silver is something altogether different.
Silver is an industrial metal. It is a critical component that is utilized in electronics, medical devices, solar panels, and electric vehicles. It requires real economic growth in order to flourish. When you divide the defensive asset by the offensive asset you have a pure, unfiltered psychological read on the global economy.
The Historical Extremes
You do not make a deal for this ratio in the middle of the range. The middle is simply random noise. You wait for historical extremes to point to enormous shifts in the macro commodity cycle.
When the ratio shoots upwards over 80, the market is screaming that silver is historically cheap versus gold. Fear is peaking. Global capital is hoarding up in gold because investors are scared. This is exactly when you are starting to look for structural reversals to accumulate massive long positions in silver.
When the ratio is less than 50, the exact reverse is true. Silver is massively overpriced, the economy is running extremely hot, and a macro correction is usually right around the corner. This switching back and forth between fear and greed governs the entire macro cycle.
The example of the liquidity crisis in 2020
Think back to the March liquidity crisis that struck the world in 2020. The world totally shut down. Market panic reached absolute highs in a matter of days.
During that crash, the XAUXAG ratio hit an absurd 120. It required 120 Ounces of silver to purchase one single ounce of gold. It was a complete anomaly. Anyone doing proper XAUXAG analysis knew that silver was the single cheapest asset on the planet at that exact moment.
Within a year the ratio crashed down to 60 again. Silver went on a historic, massive bull run. If you exchanged the ratio, you printed money. If you ignored the macro chart, you sat on your hands and missed a generational wealth transfer.
Why Silver is the Ultimate Risk On Asset
There is a change in perception to all risk assets including Bitcoin when you know this relation. Gold is your shield. Silver is your sword.
When the XAUXAG ratio is declining, it means that silver is doing well against gold. This is telling you that smart money is taking off the training wheels and putting a lot of money into risk on assets. When the ratio is decreasing at an accelerated rate, you typically find crypto and equities ripping higher too.
Silver is very much like a high beta version of gold. It goes faster, hits much harder and has no qualms about ruthlessly punishing someone who finds themselves on the wrong side of the trend. When industrial demand is combined with a speculative frenzy, the price action is violently explosive.
Trading With Metals Of Macro Structure
You cannot just blindly buy silver because the ratio hit 85. Markets can be irrational for years. Trading metals involves your having to wait for a clear break in the structure on the weekly or monthly chart.
You hope to wait for the ratio to reach the extreme high. Then you wait for a violent rejection candle-weekly. You need proof that the institutions are getting involved. Once the ratio breaks market structure to the downside, the trap is officially sprung.
You now have a multi-year tailwind to start heavily trading metals on the long side. You ride the gigantic macro wave, rather than battling the daily chop. You have the natural expansion of the economy doing all the hard work for you to build your portfolio.
The Infrastructure You Need to Live
It is completely useless to know the direction of the macro if your trading infrastructure is built to steal your money. Most of the retail traders attempt to make these enormous swing trades on the old forex platforms. That is financial suicide.
Legacy brokers will crush you with humongous overnight swap fees if you try and hold a silver or crypto position for three months. They pressure you to close trades on Friday afternoons so you don't have to go through the weekend gap. You can not trade a macro commodity cycle with arbitrary time limits thus placed on your capital.
This is precisely why experienced traders are transferring their money into structured, digital first environments. When you trade with a European-regulated prop firm such as Mubite out of Prague, you are actually protected by the infrastructure itself.
They are integrated directly with Bybit. This means that you get a true 24/7 trading environment without those archaic weekend restrictions that ruin perfect swing setups. You can stick with an opinion precisely as long as the macro thesis is valid.
The Absolute Drawdown Shield
Let me explain to you why legacy prop firms are a trap for swing traders. Relative trailing drawdowns are used by offshore prop firms. This means if your silver swing trade goes up by ten thousand dollars, and then down a little, the firm will terminate your account.
They actively punish you for allowing a winning trade to breathe. They want you to fail, so they can get another evaluation fee. An absolute drawdown is used by a firm such as Mubite. The limit is entirely static. It does not lag your open profits.
This means you can hold huge, volatile macro swings with the constant fear of a random pullback in the markets blowing your funded account. It changes the whole psychology of executing a trade. Your rules are a hard mathematical shield, not a trap.
The Fiat Trap and Hard Assets
We are entering into a permanent phase of total fiat debasement. Governments are even forced to print copious amounts of currency to simply make the interest payments on their national debt. They literally cannot stop the printers without crashing the system.
In this environment, keeping paper money in a savings account is a sure loss of purchasing power over time. Hard assets are the only way out. You have to know how to rotate your capital in terms of Bitcoin, gold, and silver.
The XAUXAG ratio is your main speedometer for this exact rotation. When it flashes a signal, there is massive institutional liquidity going in one direction from one asset class to the other. You just have to follow along the footprint.
Executing the Macro Edge
The most difficult part of gold silver ratio trading is the waiting. You would perhaps follow the XAUXAG chart for two straight years without witnessing a valid setup. Retail traders simply cannot stand boredom of that magnitude.
They want to see action, every single day. They force trades that do not exist because they are addicted to the dopamine rush of button pressing. Professional traders are paid for waiting. They act like snipers.
Stop gambling the market like a casino. Stop trying to turn a tiny account on random five minute candles. Zoom out to the weekly chart and see what is really powering the financial system. Wait for the extreme, wait for the break in the structure and strike with total conviction.
USDJPY hourly trend analysis for the week March 30 till April 03Based on my Market Timing analysis, USDJPY is likely to exhibit a bearish bias over the
coming week. A strong resistance is placed at 160.396, while key support levels are
seen at 159.431 and 157.798. A sustained break below 159.431 could open the door
for further downside movement. This outlook is valid for the current week only.
This is a personal assessment and should not be construed as financial advice or a
recommendation to trade.
We trade Bitcoin for PROFIT, where are we with profit now ?
It matter not if you are a Long Term holder, Day Trader, Swing trader or simply all of thee, the ONLY reason to Buy Bitcoin is to make PROFIT
And one of the beutiful things about On Chain tools is we can see how many coins are in profit or not and how many are sold in profit or Loss.
This gives us a health map of the market, sentiments and then, we can understand potential moves ahead/
This post is wrtten with the Bitcon Month candle as RED, the 6th in a row. We still have 3 days left and this could turn Green but the idea would remain.....
On the chart above, there are 3 lines, one with a Circle.
The other wavy lines are the VWAP, Volume Weighted Average Price of the Cycle that began in 2023.
Note I have not said from the Last cycle........because we may still be in that cycle............but thats another story that will unfold as we go through time.
ANYWAY, the Circle shows us the only time previously were PA has had 6 consecutive RED Months in a row
Note how the vertical dashed line is on the last Red candle. The relevance of these lines will be explained in a minute.
Also note how PA rose from that point.
Note the Middle Line, this was the COVID Crash. Again see how PA rose from this point.
And the 3rd line, on the right, May 2022 when Financial Markets were under pressure and Bitcoin was under DEEP pressure in a Bear Market. PA continued to drop as companies associated with Bitcoin markets crashed.
SO, what has all this to do with Profit ?
We have many ways of seeing profit margins and 2 are NUPL and the other is SOPR
BUPL is Net Unrealized Profit/Loss. - or Potential profit that remains in the system, Coins that have NOT been spent..
SOPR stands for Spent Output Profit Ratio - Basicaly, Have spent coins been sold at a Profit or Loss.
Here is the NUPL Chart
So, Those vertical lines show you were NUPL was at the same level as we are TODAY;
Again, this is the level of profit that REMAINS in the System.
We are in a RELEIF / DENIAL zone, a potential turning point and we can see, as we look to the left, how NUPL has bounced from here, showing increase in unspent profit.
So that Circle on the left..That line, if you remember, was on the last RED candle of a run of 6 Red Months..as we are NOW, but the level of profit in the system was Much less that now.
The Next line was the Covid Drop, and we see NUPL bounced off the same ine as NUPL is currently on.
The Next line on the right, is that MAY Red candle in 2022 and it is also on the same level NUPL as we are currently.
So, we have bounced off this area 4 times since 2016 and fallen through it Twice,
Safe to say, if we fall through, we could very easily go a lot deeper.
Next, we look at SOPR, the Profit and Losses that people Have TAKEN out of the system
Again, we can start on the left, that line is the 6th Red candle in a run of 6 Months...as we are now.
We can see by the time we came to the 6th Red candle, Most of the losses has already been takem, People had turned and said "OK, thats enough" and Sold at a Loss.
Look over to where we are now, that is a Much shallower Loss curve...People are HOLDING>
.
The MAJOR difference in this is simply, when people sell at a Loss, there is always someone that will Buy at that Low price,
PA only needs to Rise by $1 from that Low and Buyer is in PROFIT.......as we see over on the left.
The Middle line, the COVID dip, same story. People Panic sold and Buyer bought the cheaper coins and when PA recovered, you can see the spike in profits taken but it's worth noting how we are currently at approx the same level of taken Losses now as we were back in the Covid dip and in May 2022.
People are BUYING these sold coins but the market has not yet turned higher.
Were SOPR turns UP from a Low is were there is a reduction in Losses taken. people stop selling at a loss.
Currently, we seem to be ranging along a line, continued Loss taking at a cwetain level.
Previous Bear Markets last around a Year and so, if we repeat that, we are not even half way.......................
But are we repeating previous cycles ?
The conclusion I draw from this is that we are in a Strong area of Change.
And that change can go either Bullish or Bearish in a Big way.
What do we have that can help us see which direction is more likely.?
VWAP
VWAP stands for Volume-Weighted Average Price, a technical indicator that calculates a security's average price throughout a trading day, weighted by trading volume
Look at this chart
See how PA remains above or makes a Sight Dip below the VWAP line, apart from in 2022 when markets were trying very hard to stay alive.
Currently, Bitcoin PA sits just above this cycles VWAP, with the VWAP at 58K
SO, for me, we may see 58K but I do not expect much lower than that.
The SOPR and NUPL charts give me hope that this would be a short visit and a bounce could arrive after.
I do not think this would lead to the next ATH yet But the possibility does exist.....
As I said, we may be forming a new cycle dynamic.....a Super cycle.....
Even if we Range across for anotehr 4 months, thats fine..no deper losses......
Time will tell................
I hope you founf this useful
XAUUSD IDEAGold is currently being driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly the potential deployment of ground troops. This development is likely to increase market uncertainty and risk aversion in the short term, providing bullish support for gold prices.
However, this upward pressure may not be sustainable. From a broader macroeconomic perspective, persistent inflationary concerns and tightening financial conditions are expected to weigh on gold over the longer term. As a result, the overall structure suggests that any near-term strength could present selling opportunities rather than a shift to a sustained bullish trend.
Technical Outlook
In the short term, XAUUSD is expected to initiate a bullish retracement, potentially moving from the 4495 support region toward the 4622 resistance zone.
Support Zone: 4495
Key Resistance Zone: 4622
This upward movement is likely to be driven by:
Safe-haven demand amid geopolitical risk
Market reaction to conflict-related headlines
Conclusion
While geopolitical tensions may fuel a short-term rally in gold, the broader outlook remains bearish, with expected selling pressure resuming from higher levels. Traders should treat upward movements as corrective rallies within a larger downtrend.
$SOLUSD Lets Be RealGood morning, everybody I know I have been away for a while, but I figure I will get back into this. I'm looking at the chart and it's showing a serious down trend we get these weeks where everything is kind of moving sideways and then boom big drop. So, here is a fun one Huge down trend on COINBASE:SOLUSD its terrible I know, unless some important news comes out saying magical crypto event expect it to go down even further.
I'm looking at $50 as the next support level, I always have a hard time saying when, but I guess that's just me. This is why they say use only what you can afford to lose I can't afford to lose anything. But if I had it, I would make long term bets for 1 year out saying hey COINBASE:SOLUSD Is going down to $50 I know it is Ill just park this here and let it go down and if it doesn't happen. Oh well too bad so sad for me.















