ETHEREUM Bearish Wave no3 is starting.Ethereum (ETHUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down for the entirety of its Bear Cycle since the August 24 2025 All Time High (ATH). This pattern has so far had two Bearish Legs, both strongly symmetrical.
The 1st declined by -47%, while the second completed a -48.69% total drop. Right now it appears that we are on the standard consolidation phase that kick-starts the next Bearish Leg. As long as the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) holds as a Resistance (recorded the rejections of January 13 2026 and October 27 2025), the pattern remains valid.
A new -47% Bearish Leg would put us a little under the April 09 2025 Low, so due to the presence of that Support, our next Target is at $1390.
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Gold Eyes Higher Levels as USD Weakens — Breakout or Bull Trap?Gold is starting the week with a stronger tone, pushing back toward the previous swing highs after stabilizing from last week’s sharp selloff. The recent bounce is supported by a softer USD, allowing price to gradually reclaim key intraday levels.
From a technical perspective, price is currently compressing inside a symmetrical triangle, formed by a descending resistance trendline and an ascending support base. This structure often signals an upcoming expansion move, especially after a volatile phase.
📊 Technical Structure
The market has shifted from impulsive selling into a corrective consolidation, with higher lows forming from the recent base. Price is now approaching the upper boundary of the triangle, indicating increasing pressure for a breakout.
Key zones to watch:
4,462 → Immediate support / breakout retest zone
4,550 – 4,580 → Key resistance cluster
4,674 → Major upside target if breakout confirms
⚖️ Market Context
The current recovery is partly supported by a weaker USD, which is helping gold regain momentum. However, the broader structure still needs confirmation, as the previous downtrend has not been fully invalidated.
This creates a mixed environment:
Short-term → bullish recovery
Medium-term → still corrective unless resistance breaks
🔍 Scenarios for the Week
Bullish Scenario
Break above triangle resistance
Hold above 4,550
Continuation toward 4,580 → 4,670
Bearish Scenario
Rejection near resistance
Break below 4,462 support
Return toward lower structure zones
✨ Conclusion
Gold is approaching a decision point.
The market is no longer in panic selling mode, but it still needs a confirmed breakout to shift the broader structure.
👉 Breakout = continuation higher
👉 Rejection = another corrective leg
This is a classic setup where patience and confirmation matter more than early entries.
BTC Weekly expectation :For BTC, the price still has a downward trend, now price is in the danger condition, this week it can visit 63000 point, and 65600 point can work as short term support zone, general direction is downside near 52k. Above the 71700 point, 73530 point is the target.
From fundamental, we saw the Clarity Act report where the stable coin interest paying form the Crypto Companies was banned and under strict regulation, and it also cause the crisis in the stable coin companies stocks, geopolitical conflict is increasing the risk of global inflation, which can increase the interest rates in the banks, this makes the bad influence in the crypto also.
XAUUSD: Trendline support keeps bullish continuation in focus
Hello everyone, here is my view on the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
Gold is showing a constructive intraday structure, with price gradually recovering after defending the rising trendline support. On the chart, the market is now compressing between a descending resistance line and an ascending support line, creating a tightening structure that often leads to a directional breakout.
What makes this setup more interesting is that price continues to respect the rising trendline from below, which means buyers are still defending the short-term structure. As long as this trendline remains intact, the bullish scenario stays favored.
At the moment, XAUUSD is approaching the upper boundary of this compression zone near 4533. This is the first level that needs to be reclaimed clearly. If price breaks above the descending resistance line and confirms the breakout with stable candles above it, gold may open the way toward the 4603 buy-side liquidity zone.
Above that, the next major upside target comes in around 4694, which is marked on the chart as a strong liquidity area and also the main bullish objective for this setup. In other words, the current structure suggests that if trendline support holds and resistance gives way, gold may continue extending higher into the next liquidity zones.
On the downside, the rising trendline remains the key technical guide. If price loses this support, then the bullish continuation would weaken, and the market could rotate back toward 4405 or even 4354 for a deeper correction.
Key Price Areas to Watch
Current price zone: around 4533
Trendline support: still holding
Breakout confirmation area: above the descending resistance line
First upside target: 4603
Main bullish target: 4694
Support below if trendline fails: 4405
Deeper bearish confirmation: 4354
My Scenario & Strategy
My preferred scenario is to stay bullish while price continues respecting the rising trendline. A confirmed breakout above the descending resistance would strengthen the recovery structure and open room for a move toward 4603 first, followed by 4694 if momentum continues to build.
The most important thing here is confirmation. I would not focus only on price touching resistance, but rather on whether gold can break and hold above the trendline compression area with a clear bullish reaction. That would be the signal that buyers are ready to push the market higher.
However, if price fails to hold the rising trendline and slips back below it, the bullish setup would lose strength, and a deeper pullback toward 4405 or 4354 could follow before the market attempts another recovery.
That’s the setup I’m watching for now. Thank you for reading, and always manage your risk carefully.
Gold prices recovered at the beginning of the week: 4600GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) reverses a modest Asian session dip to the $4,420 area and climbs back above the $4,500 mark, looking to build on Friday's strong gains of over 2.50%. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, retreats slightly from the vicinity of the monthly high and turns out to be a key factor offering some support to the commodity. However, expectations of higher interest rates globally might keep a lid on any meaningful appreciation for the non-yielding yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices are consolidating and recovering along the short-term trendline around 4600. This is strong resistance on the short timeframe.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4600 - 4602 SL 4607
TP1: $4577
TP2: $4550
TP3: $4522
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4352- 4350 SL 4345
TP1: $4370
TP2: $4388
TP3: $4416
⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas .
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Bitcoin: New & Higher Targets Revealed ($146,000 Possible)I was looking at the Bitcoin chart and something inside clicked, it was like an epiphany, I became enlightened on the topic.
An inward voice started to speak to me, with force and it said: "Tell them the truth, why are you not sharing the whole truth?"
I was appalled. "Excuse me?" I said, distraught from what I perceived was an attack on my persona. "I've been saying the truth, loudly, 'Bitcoin is going up'."
The voice replied with even more strength, "But you've been looking at the short-term timeframes, you've been talking about $79,000 and $85,000, it is a joke. Tell the whole truth." And so it went...
I removed the shield and adopted a stance of openness, I started to analyze my self, and it clicked, this was the epiphany. I was being too conservative...
Well, long story short. There are now new lows. This is BTCUSDT on the daily timeframe and look at the support marked orange on the chart, another higher low, a very strong one at that.
It has been 52 days since the $60,000 low. Bitcoin continues sideways, resistance being challenged, support not once.
When we think about, talk about and mention $85,000, this is only the short-term, in several weeks, next month. When we look at the potential of the move that started after the last low, we can be looking at $121,000, $136,000 and even $146,000 in 9 months. That's right, a new all-time high in 2026.
When Bitcoin grows, it never looks back, it does so with force.
It is not too late, we are still within entry range in our 25X LONG trade.
Thank you for reading, your support is highly appreciated.
If you enjoy the content, follow.
Namaste.
XAUUSD: The Macro Shift (Weekly to 4H Analysis)Overview:
Gold has reached a major exhaustion point at 5,600. We are now seeing a high-probability structural shift from Bullish to Bearish. This post covers the Top-Down logic for the coming weeks.
🔭 1. Weekly View:
The Shift: A massive Displacement Candle has broken the parabolic trend.
The Target: Looking for a long-term draw on liquidity toward the POI at 3,920 - 4,020 .
Bias: Bearish on the High Timeframe (HTF).
📅 2. Daily View: The Retracement
Current State: Price is currently resting in a Daily Order Block (4,350 - 4,550) .
The Plan: I am not selling into support. I am waiting for a relief rally to fill the imbalance.
Key Zones: Watching Resistance #1 (4,780 - 4,820) as the primary Sell Zone.
⚡ 3. 4H View: The Execution
Liquidity Sweep: Price swept the ldm (internal liquidity) and formed a strong Rejection Candle .
Current Move: We are seeing a V-shape recovery . I expect this to continue toward our Resistance zones.
The Trigger: Look for a 4H Bearish Distribution once price taps 4,800.
🎯 Summary of the Trade
Wait for the corrective move into the 4,800 supply zone.
Confirm bearish price action (M-formation or Engulfing) in that zone.
Target the macro POI at 4,000 .
⚠️ Risk Note: If the 4H closes back below the 4,150 rejection low, the relief rally is over and we head straight to 4,000. Stay disciplined!
For educational purposes
TSM – The Make or Break Zone for BullsTSM is approaching a strong support zone, where structure aligns perfectly with the lower bound of the rising channel.
This intersection creates a high-probability reaction area.
⚔️ As long as bulls defend this level, the overall trend remains bullish, and we can expect continuation toward higher highs.
Lose this zone… and the structure starts to weaken.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Liquidity Grab Above, Dump Below in XAUUSDPrice formed a compression (triangle CCP) indicating a temporary Central Area where both buyers and sellers were balancing. The breakout above the structure initially suggested continuation, but it lacked follow-through — a classic FMFR (First Move Fake, then Reversal) behavior.
This false breakout acted as a liquidity grab, trapping late buyers at the highs. Once the move failed, price aggressively reversed, breaking structure and driving into the lower zone. The drop reflects ROS (Repeating of Structure), where the post-compression move mirrors the prior bearish intent.
Speculative Outlook
The lower marked zone now acts as a reaction / demand area. A short-term bounce or consolidation is possible from this region. However, if price shows weak reaction or fails to hold this zone, further downside continuation can occur.
For bullish recovery, price must reclaim the broken structure and sustain above the compression range. Otherwise, the current flow remains bearish with pullback-based selling opportunities.
AVAX has entered a bullish phase (4H)From the point marked START on the chart, it appears that a bullish pattern and phase are forming.
This phase seems to be an expanding pattern, such as an expanding triangle/diagonal/symmetrical triangle, and we are currently in the middle of wave D of this pattern.
Wave D itself is an ABC structure, and it seems we are now at the end of wave B.
It is expected that upon completion of wave D of this expanding pattern, the price will be propelled upward to complete wave E.
There are two entry points indicated on the chart.
Touching the invalidating level will trigger a stop for this position.
Take partial profits at the first target and then move to break-even.
Enter the position with 3% of your capital and a maximum leverage of 3x.
If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.
Do you also think NEAR is bullish?
Gold H4: Strong Rebound – Resistance AheadHello everyone,
Gold has rebounded sharply from 4,419 to around 4,580–4,600 on the H4 timeframe. However, in the bigger picture, this still looks like a technical recovery as price remains below key moving averages, and the medium-term trend has not shifted yet.
The 4,600–4,650 zone stands out as a key resistance area. Current momentum is not strong enough to confirm a breakout, so a rejection here is something to watch closely. If price fails to break through, a move back toward the 4,400 region remains a likely scenario.
This rebound has been largely driven by geopolitical factors, particularly tensions in the Middle East and comments from Donald Trump, which have supported safe-haven demand. However, high interest rates and a strong US dollar continue to act as major headwinds for gold.
Ethereum vs Bitcoin (ETHBTC): The Altcoins Market—A Bullish WaveGood afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a very wonderful week and day.
I have a very nice chart for you and one that can put a smile on your face if your long Crypto, if you are a Crypto bull, if you've been buying in anticipation of growth. If you believe in Crypto and the altcoins market as the future of finance. If you've been investing focused on the long-term.
ETHBTC hit bottom last year in April, together with the rest of a market. A bullish phase developed until August 2025. Now, some altcoins peaked in May last year, 2025, others peaked in June, others in July, others in August, etc. All the altcoins, the entire market including Bitcoin, started to grow after a low in April 2025. Then each project can peak based on its own rhythm, its own cycle and its own nature.
The bottom was marketwide, the peak resulted in strong variations.
ETHBTC started its decline August 2025. The main low has hit in November and after a prolonged period of sideways, we saw a sort of capitulation late January this year, reaching a low last month, February 2026.
The action below water last month and this month created a signal that leaves no room for doubt. A higher low bottom. A bottom for the last correction and higher low long-term.
ETHBTC recovered back above the lows from July and August 2025 and looks green, ready to start a new bullish wave.
See what happened last year, the bullish move was a strong one and while it happened, the rest of the altcoins market also rose. Roses. Not red but green. Green roses.
Volume became extremely high last month and the strongest day produced a green close. The highest volume since May 2024. This is happening to reveal the bulls are entering the market. The Cryptocurrency Open Interest has been since this same date.
Ok. Back to basics. Higher low leads to higher high.
This is a strong chart, we can count on what it has to say. Crypto is going up.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Dead Cat Bounce or New Trend? Gold Faces Key Test at 4600 zoneGold started the week on a strong note, fully erasing the aggressive sell-off from early last week. Price pushed above the 4600 level and, at the time of writing, continues to hold comfortably above 4500.
The key question now is: has the market regained bullish momentum, or is this just a corrective bounce before continuation lower?
From my perspective, this recovery looks more like a reaction rather than the start of a new impulsive leg higher.
Why I expect a continuation lower:
- The move above 4600 lacks strong follow-through
- Price is approaching a key resistance zone where sellers previously stepped in
- The overall structure still suggests vulnerability after last week’s sharp drop
T rading Plan:
I’m not interested in chasing this upside. Instead, I’ll be watching for selling opportunities on rallies above 4600, especially if price shows rejection in that area.
Conclusion:
As long as price struggles to sustain above 4600, the more probable scenario is a revisit of the 4400 zone in the coming sessions.
GOLD - A short squeeze before the drop. Interest in 4435ICMARKETS:XAUUSD rolls back after a short squeeze at the daily level and closes the weekly session below 4,500. Fundamental factors, a rising dollar, and oil prices are putting pressure on the metal...
The geopolitical situation continues to escalate. The situation is complex; the West is trying to convince the public that there will be no ground operation in the Middle East, but all actual actions point to a protracted war. The dollar and oil may continue to rise in the medium term. Against this backdrop, inflation continues to accelerate, and no rate cuts are planned for this year. Gold is under pressure.
Technically, gold is trading within the 4600–4320 range. A retest of resistance failed to reach the upper end of the range and bounced lower, closing below 4500. It is important to observe market reaction during the Asian session, as there was significant activity and rumors over the weekend. In the current situation, gold cannot act as a hedge asset.
Resistance levels: 4544, 4601
Support levels: 4492, 4432, 4351
Focus on the upper levels: 4544–4600. A retest of the liquidity zone is possible. A false breakout and a price hold below the level would be a good signal for a decline. However, there is 4492.5 below—an important support level. A close below this zone could intensify the sell-off. As a target, I would highlight the 4435 zone of interest and the range support.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NDVA weekly view. Headline risks.Nvidia has been pulling back from the $190 level since the start of the war and is currently sitting below the 200d sma. Big tech is under pressure from rising oil prices, a stronger dollar and a possible self-induced recession if oil prices remain elevated. I have outlined two balanced area's on the chart; Balance Area #1 and Balance Area #2. I still have a bullish bias on the chart as long as price stays in Balance Area #2. Since late 2022 NVDA stock does not fall below the 40's RSI level very often on the weekly. Therefore there could be a chance we get an oversold bounce soon. If this occurs then I believe we could bounce back up to the 200d ma ($179)- roughly a 7% move. If we do and it rejects then I think it's possible we reject all the back down to the bottom of Balance Area #2 ($149). Or, If you take the top of Balance Area #1 and measure the percent move down to the bottom, it is 41%. The price has moved down 19% since the ATH. If you add another 21% to total the 41% move from Balance Area #1 you get $122; falling outside of Balance Area #2 and about 50% into Balance Area #2. I don't think NVDA is a trade unless it can reclaim the 8d sma (approx. $174).
NASDAQ (US100)The Nasdaq index as a whole remains in a downtrend. Prices have a chance to test the support zone of $22879-$22749. If prices fail to break through $22749, a short-term rebound is possible.
Technically, if the price can remain above $22,643, we expect a short-term rebound is possible.
However, the Nasdaq index is still likely to face selling pressure, especially near the key resistance zone of $24,639-$24,838. If the price fails to break through $24,987, could present a high-probability opportunity for sellers to step back into the market, in line with the dominant downtrend.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
This content is not financial advice. Always conduct your own financial due diligence.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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GOLD at Key Level 4584 | Market Awaits BreakoutGOLD ( TVC:GOLD ) | Technical Outlook
Gold has reached the key pivot level at 4584, placing the market in a critical decision zone.
As long as price remains below 4584, the market is expected to stay under bearish control, with downside targets at 4524 → 4487, and a break below these levels could extend the move toward 4379.
However, a confirmed 1H candle close above 4584 would shift momentum to the upside, pushing the price toward 4636, and further continuation could reach 4734.
From a macro perspective, any geopolitical de-escalation may support the bullish scenario.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 4584
Support: 4524 – 4487 – 4378
Resistance: 4636 – 4734
previous idea:
XRP Final Shake out! Target: $91–$500+ by July 9, 2026This is the final shakeout before the trend reversal.
Support zones mark the base.
March 30: Sell off: Senate recess
April 4th: Bottom Forms
April 13:(Good News about clarity act pumps markets)
April 13: Banking Committee Mark up. Market wakes up after recess. Volatility returns price finds Support.
April 30 – May 1: XRP Las Vegas event aligns with shift in sentiment. This event is here on purpose at this time.
May 11: Bullrun begins — technical confirmation expected.
Targets remain $91–$500+ by July 9, 2026.
If XRP reaches $90 by July 9th XRP will end the year around $589
If XRP reaches 500+ by July 9th we end the year around $1200
Hold steady & Good Luck.
-NeverWishing
XAU/USD | Gold Rebounds Strongly – Key Levels To Watch Next!By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4H timeframe, we can see that price continued to follow the projected bullish scenario and pushed higher once again after holding the key demand zones discussed in the previous analysis. During today’s session, Gold extended its recovery move and reached the important $4619 level. However, after touching this resistance area, strong selling pressure appeared again and price pulled back toward the $4570 region.
Despite this short-term correction, the broader context remains highly volatile as geopolitical tensions between Iran and the United States continue to influence the market. At the same time, recent comments from Trump about ongoing negotiations with Iranian officials have slightly reduced the panic in the oil market, which has helped stabilize risk sentiment and supported Gold’s recovery. It is also worth noting that just last week Gold dropped sharply to around $4100, and from that low the market has already rebounded more than $500, highlighting how aggressive the recent recovery has been.
From a technical perspective, the structure still shows signs of bullish continuation as long as the market holds above the nearby demand areas. The first important demand zone now sits between $4500 and $4545, while the deeper structural demand remains between $4350 and $4440. As long as price stabilizes above these zones, buyers may continue attempting to push the market higher. On the upside, the nearest supply zone is forming around $4620 to $4680, followed by the next major resistance area between $4720 and $4800, where stronger reactions could appear if price reaches those levels.
If bullish momentum continues to build from the current structure, the short-term upside targets to monitor are $4625, followed by $4655, then $4685, and potentially $4720 in case the market maintains its recovery momentum. As always, the reaction of price around these key supply and demand levels will determine the next major move.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
AUDUSD | FRGNT DAILY OUTLOOK | DXY WEAKNESS REQUIRED 📅 Q1 | W14 | D31 | Y26 |
📊AUDUSD| FRGNT DAILY OUTLOOK |
⚠️ASIA PROVIDED AN ENTRY -
💡DXY WEAKNESS REQUIRED TO BRING SHORTS INTO PLAY !
🔍 Analysis Framework
This forecast is built using an advanced adaptation of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured and disciplined approach:
• Marking Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
• Defining a clear, controlled trading range from those zones 📐
• Refining entries on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
• Waiting for confirmed Break of Structure (BoS) before execution ✅
This process ensures precision, removes emotional decision-making, and keeps me aligned with the overall market narrative.
💡 Core Philosophy
“Capital management, discipline, and consistency create longevity.”
A strong risk-to-reward model, paired with high-probability execution, is the foundation of sustainable trading 📈🔐
⚠️ Understanding Losses
"Losses are part of the game" — a mathematical certainty 🎲
They don’t define performance. Nor do they define you as a Trader.
They are managed, reviewed, and used as evidence for growth 📊
🙏 Final Note
Appreciate you taking the time to review today’s forecast.
Stay disciplined 🎯
Protect your capital 🔐
— FRGNT 🚀📈
📌 Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
It reflects my personal approach to the markets — a tested framework that has supported my own journey to consistent profitability in trading currencies.
This is not a signal service, and all trading decisions remain your own responsibility.
Additionally, this post is not intended to breach ANY TradingView House Rules.
FX:AUDUSD
US30 Under Bearish Pressure | Key Level 45650 in FocusUS30 | Technical Outlook
The Dow Jones (US30) is currently showing a bearish structure, after stabilizing below the key pivot level at 45650.
As long as price remains below this level, the downside movement is expected to continue toward 45365, and a break below it could extend further toward 44950.
However, a move above 45650 would shift momentum to the upside, targeting 46650, especially if geopolitical tensions begin to de-escalate.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 45650
Support: 45240 – 44950 – 44600
Resistance: 45980 – 46430
previous idea:






















